FS Insight

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We provide individuals with the same quality of research banks and hedge funds receive to

01/11/2023

Cameron Winklevoss, the co-founder of Gemini has released a second open letter to the board of DCG.

Winklevoss alleges that Genesis and DCG committed accounting fraud when DCG bailed out Genesis following the collapse of 3AC.

Per the rule of “first 5 days,” since 1950, when prior year is “negative” and first 5 days >1.4% (n=7), equities average...
01/11/2023

Per the rule of “first 5 days,” since 1950, when prior year is “negative” and first 5 days >1.4% (n=7), equities average +26% gain and higher 7 of 7 times.

-Tom Lee, CFA
Fundstrat Global Advisors

01/10/2023

Applying “consensus” +0.25% for Dec Core CPI (on 1/12), 3M annualized core will fall to 2.8%.

This is literally in “spitting distance” of Fed’s target & coupled with the softish wage data seen last week, points to far more dovish trajectory for data.

-Tom Lee, CFA
Fundstrat Global Advisors

01/10/2023

Keeping an eye on , liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) have outperformed this week.

In addition, alt layer-1 Aptos ($APT) has shown impressive returns, gaining over 42% this week and being the best performer in the top 100 tokens over the last 24 hours (+7.20%).

01/10/2023

A future bill that is the focus of growing concern is the legislation later this year to increase the debt ceiling.

There are reports that McCarthy made promises to his opponents to prevent a simple debt ceiling bill from coming to the House floor.

The ultimate power of a Speaker is determining the House schedule.

- Tom Block, Washington Policy Strategist

01/10/2023

The Metals rally in both precious and base metals has managed to extend up to areas which now look likely to cause some important resistance on this first major lift off the October lows.

This recent rally coincided with a similar but opposite move in both the US Dollar and also US 10-Year Treasury yields, both of which are now nearing support this week.

-Mark Newton, CMT

$GDX $HG_F $FCX

01/10/2023

We track the performance of six factors (growth, quality, low-volatility, momentum, size, and value) as part of our multi-factor strategy.

Over the past month, the best factor was , which outperformed the S&P 500 index by 3.0%.

- Adam Gould, CFA

01/09/2023

So far in 2023, S&P 500 gained +1.4% in first 4 trading days of 2023. Since 1950, this has happened 23 times.

Median gain is +17% for full year of those 23 instances with 20 of 23 showing gains (87% win-ratio).

Investors worry   playing "whack-a-mole" with equities, but if   tanks (with wages slowing), FCIs will ease. First 4 day...
01/09/2023

Investors worry playing "whack-a-mole" with equities, but if tanks (with wages slowing), FCIs will ease. First 4 days +1.4% is strong 2023 omen implies +23% gain.

Thomas J Lee, CFA
Fundstrat Global Advisors

Investors worry Fed playing "whack-a-mole" with stock prices, but if inflation tanks (with wages slowing), FCIs will ease... Over the weekend, I had a few

History Shows Odds Favor a 20% Stock Market Return in 2023, Fundstrat SaysFundstrat Global Advisors
01/06/2023

History Shows Odds Favor a 20% Stock Market Return in 2023, Fundstrat Says

Fundstrat Global Advisors

There are 3 possible catalysts that would enable stocks to produce 20% gains in 2023, according to Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

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