David Risk estimation

David Risk estimation I have more than 10 years of investment experience, good at short-term multiple profits, but also has a medium and long-term layout vision

Goldman Sachs CEO: U.S. at risk of recession, inflation "very punitive"Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said the bank's c...
05/19/2022

Goldman Sachs CEO: U.S. at risk of recession, inflation "very punitive"

Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said the bank's clients are preparing for slower economic growth and falling asset prices, all because of the burden of "extremely punishing" inflation on the economy.
"The economy has the potential to fall into recession," he said in a phone interview, although he said he wasn't overly concerned about that risk, but cited estimates from economists like his own firm, Jan Hatzius, that the risk of recession over the next 12 to 24 months is at least 30 percent. He is watching closely to see if credit spreads begin to widen more significantly.

International airlines say air travel in Europe and the U.S. back to pre-epidemic levels of 60%The International Air Tra...
05/18/2022

International airlines say air travel in Europe and the U.S. back to pre-epidemic levels of 60%

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) says international air travel has been recovering strongly this year, with air travel in Europe and the U.S. returning to about 60 percent of its pre-epidemic levels. In an interview Tuesday, it said, "Last year, international travel was about 25 percent of 2019. It rose to 42 percent in the first quarter of this year." .
He said, "In fact, we're seeing very strong growth in some markets, the U.S., Europe, Latin America, all up to about 60 percent."
Walsh added that air travel in Asia, by comparison, is "only about 13 percent for 2019."

2022 National fixed asset investment grows 6.8% from January to AprilJanuary-April, the national investment in fixed ass...
05/17/2022

2022 National fixed asset investment grows 6.8% from January to April

January-April, the national investment in fixed assets (excluding farmers) 153,544 billion yuan, an increase of 6.8% year-on-year. Among them, private investment in fixed assets 868.72 billion yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year. From the ring, April fixed asset investment (excluding farmers) fell 0.82%. By industry, the primary industry investment 382.9 billion yuan, up 5.8%; secondary industry investment 4758 billion yuan, up 12.6%; tertiary industry investment 102136 billion yuan, up 4.3%

China's retail sales and industrial production shrink in AprilThe latest data from China's National Bureau of Statistics...
05/17/2022

China's retail sales and industrial production shrink in April

The latest data from China's National Bureau of Statistics showed that total retail sales contracted sharply by 11.1% year-on-year in April, the biggest drop since April 2020. The nation's industrial value added above the scale also fell 2.9 percent year-on-year. The latest data from China's National Bureau of Statistics showed that total retail sales, which reflect consumer activity, contracted sharply by 11.1% year-on-year in April, the biggest drop since April 2020. The value added of industries above national scale also fell 2.9 percent year-on-year.

U.S. stocks fell. The Dow fell for a fifth straight day. U.S. inflation data failed to dispel market concerns about inte...
05/13/2022

U.S. stocks fell. The Dow fell for a fifth straight day. U.S. inflation data failed to dispel market concerns about interest rates and the economic outlook. Apple shares fell dragged down the Nasdaq and S&P 500 index, non-essential consumer stocks and technology stocks led the decline. The Dow rose 423 points to 32,584 in the early part of the session. , then fell, the end of the market had fallen 361 points to 31,798 points.

BYD's Changsha plant will continue to operate and the company will upgrade its equipment to meet regulatory requirements...
05/12/2022

BYD's Changsha plant will continue to operate and the company will upgrade its equipment to meet regulatory requirements. Therefore, the bank lowered BYD's sales forecast for this year by 9% from 1.6 million units to 1.5 million units, and lowered its earnings per share forecast for this year by 12% to RMB2.58. As for H-shares, the target price is maintained at RMB303 and listed in the "Conviction Buy" list.

The report cited Musk's plan shown to investors that Twitter's advertising revenue is expected to be $12 billion in 2028...
05/09/2022

The report cited Musk's plan shown to investors that Twitter's advertising revenue is expected to be $12 billion in 2028, with amortization dropping to 45 percent of total revenue from 90 percent in 2020. User fee revenue will be $10 billion by then.

The U.S. Department of Labor announced that non-farm payrolls increased by 428,000 jobs in April, a flat month-over-mont...
05/07/2022

The U.S. Department of Labor announced that non-farm payrolls increased by 428,000 jobs in April, a flat month-over-month increase, the market expected an increase of 380,000; the unemployment rate remained at 3.6%, the market expected a decline to 3.5%. During the period, average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% month-on-month, the market expected a rise of 0.4%.

Data from the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that U.S. real GDP in the first quarter w...
05/05/2022

Data from the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that U.S. real GDP in the first quarter was -1.4% annualized quarter-over-quarter preliminary, lower than the 1% expected by the market and lower than the 6.9% in the fourth quarter of last year. The stock market has been shaken this week, and market opinions on the aftermath are divided. At the request of 61 Financial VIP subscribers, this week's research report analyzes Amcor Limited, a packaging products manufacturing company that is less sensitive to changes in the market environment

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