Alex Gourley

Alex Gourley /*********/
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After a year in which nothing seemed to go investors' way, 2023 has, so far, been the polar opposite. Stocks are up hand...
02/06/2023

After a year in which nothing seemed to go investors' way, 2023 has, so far, been the polar opposite. Stocks are up handsomely while interest rates are down markedly. Last week brought a heavy dose of fresh information on each of the three central drivers for the market this year: the Fed, the jobs market and corporate profits. The outcome was another up week for the market, and while this recent rally is both welcome and reasonable, we don't think it should be viewed as confirmation that the coast is clear. In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we share our thoughts on several popular market takes and what last week tells us about the path ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Markets are off to a good start in 2023, but this comes on the heels of an extremely challenging 2022, in which both sto...
01/30/2023

Markets are off to a good start in 2023, but this comes on the heels of an extremely challenging 2022, in which both stocks and bonds logged declines for the year, something that hasn't occurred since 1994. There's good news for investors, however, as history shows down years for the stock market have typically been followed by healthy gains. While the clouds have not completely cleared, we think there are reasons to be optimistic. In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we examine what often happens after down years for the market and what it could mean for the year ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

After a positive start to the year in markets – in part driven by a better inflation narrative in the U.S. and globally ...
01/23/2023

After a positive start to the year in markets – in part driven by a better inflation narrative in the U.S. and globally – this past week investor sentiment seemed to turn somewhat lower. Equity markets turned negative mid-week after economic data pointed to a weaker U.S. consumer and manufacturing sector. Take a closer look at the rest of our key takeaways.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

The U.S. headline CPI eased further, with December marking the smallest annual increase since October 2021. Paired with ...
01/15/2023

The U.S. headline CPI eased further, with December marking the smallest annual increase since October 2021. Paired with the November and October data, core inflation has now slowed for three consecutive months, suggesting that a pattern of disinflation is emerging. Price pressures remain too high for the Fed's comfort, but the gradual cooling likely sets the stage for the Fed to downshift further in the pace of rate hikes. Read our latest weekly market update for thoughts on what the recent data could mean for the markets and investment strategy.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

While inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties have posed challenges for the market, the labor market has re...
01/09/2023

While inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical uncertainties have posed challenges for the market, the labor market has remained a bright spot. This was highlighted by the most recent payroll figures which showed that employment conditions remain quite resilient. Markets, however, took the news on the chin under the assumption that ongoing strength in the employment picture could threaten the downward path for inflation. In our latest Weekly Market Wrap, we note three key takeaways from the latest jobs report and what this may mean for the financial markets in 2023.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Take a look at our weekly market update.
01/02/2023

Take a look at our weekly market update.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

2022 was a challenging year for investors as multiple headwinds hit the economy and markets. As we look ahead, we think ...
12/26/2022

2022 was a challenging year for investors as multiple headwinds hit the economy and markets. As we look ahead, we think that inflation and central bank actions will remain in the driver's seat in 2023, but conditions could start to slowly shift in a more favorable way for the markets. With investors ready to turn the page on the calendar, we review some of the milestones that defined the markets over the past 12 months and offer some perspective on how these factors could evolve in the future.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

Last week, markets digested three key pieces of data – a CPI inflation reading that came in better than expected, Fed co...
12/19/2022

Last week, markets digested three key pieces of data – a CPI inflation reading that came in better than expected, Fed commentary that indicate their job is not done yet, and U.S. retail sales showing a consumer under pressure. Overall, while the Fed (and global central banks) remain vigilant for now, as inflation moderates and the economy softens in the months ahead, the need for peak restrictive policy may wane. We discuss five key takeaways from a busy market week in our Weekly Wrap below.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

The rally that began in mid-October stalled last week as markets have grown more anxious over the outlook for growth in ...
12/12/2022

The rally that began in mid-October stalled last week as markets have grown more anxious over the outlook for growth in in the year ahead. Nevertheless, it should not be lost that markets have staged an impressive run recently, with stocks and bonds logging solid gains over the past two months -- an important reminder for investors of the value of being opportunistic within a pessimistic market. In this installment of the Weekly Market Wrap, we take a look at a few noteworthy trends playing out underneath the market's surface that offer some potential signals about the mood of the market and possible implications for path ahead.

A summary of last week's market highlights and economic news.

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