06/25/2026
Three big stories collided this week and together they point to real opportunity ahead for buyers who are paying attention.
A new peace framework reopened the Strait of Hormuz and oil prices fell more than 5 percent. That matters directly for mortgage rates because energy has been the primary driver of the inflation that has been keeping rates elevated. Headline inflation just came in at 4.2 percent with energy alone up over 23 percent. That is one category doing the overwhelming majority of the work behind that alarming headline number.
Here is the good news underneath it. Strip energy out and core inflation rose just 0.2 percent for the month. This has been an energy story, not a runaway structural inflation problem. Those are two fundamentally different situations with very different implications for where rates go from here.
The Fed held rates steady this week as widely expected. With energy prices now easing meaningfully there is real room for the inflationary pressure that has been keeping mortgage rates elevated to start coming off. That is a genuinely encouraging development for buyers who have been watching and waiting.
The buyers who win in this environment are the ones focused on what they can actually control: their local inventory, the quality of their offer, and their personal timing. National news sets the mood in any given week. Your zip code sets the actual deal.
I am Huss Fennell with 717 Mortgage Group. Follow me for more weekly updates that matter to you and reach out if you want to talk through what this means for your specific situation.