Alpha Prime Capital

Directions Website Contact the business

Alpha Prime Capital Contact information, map and directions, contact form, opening hours, services, ratings, photos, videos and announcements from Alpha Prime Capital, Investment Management Company, 690 SW 1st Court #1701, Miami, FL.

Alpha Prime Capital is a registered investment management firm in Miami, Florida specializing in the Alpha Strategy, an investment strategy that uses fundamental analysis to invest in individual company equities and options.

09/21/2026

Sold all my $META today. Muse is amazing, but every AI company will have this. With tons of interchangeable options, there is no pricing power. Muse is free, burning tons of cash. If they start charging, will people switch to the next free/cheap option? $GOOG has Spark already and is charging, so probably forces them to lower price or go free. This AI capex buildout is incredibly expensive and the AI trade has been running hot for three years. $UBER and $LYFT were unprofitable for a decade in a duopoly. This is much worse in terms of capex cost and the number/quality of competitors. Could be early, but the market has turned into an unhealthy AI momentum trade once again with terrible breadth. Chasing seems ill-advised.

09/15/2026

Top picks currently: US Treasuries (especially 2yr futures)
$SE $FSLR $BABA $JD $KLAR $XYZ $CG $ONON $NU $ORCL $CENX $UBER $RDDT

09/12/2026

An Iran war that was promised to last a few weeks has now been going on over seven months. At this point, it is unlikely that it will end on US terms. Trump gave the Iranians the world with his MOU signed months ago. Surprisingly, they ripped it up shortly after. Why they did this is unclear as the terms were incredibly favorable to them. Our guess is that with fractured leadership, it only took a couple of anti-US extremists at the top to fire some missiles and poison the punch bowl for everyone.

There is an ongoing BRICS meeting and the Gulf foreign ministers are planning to meet Monday. These are the first major meetings taking place since the war started. All of the Gulf countries are suffering, so a desire for peace is shared. The main reason they will get a deal done without Trump is that Trump's forte is pressing you while your head is in a vice. He isn't a particularly smart businessman. He is an incredible marketer who quickly discovered you can get favorable terms when you have leverage on someone. Morally, that is a questionable strategy, but if you don't care, it can be very successful. Plenty of businessmen do this.

That is the reason why he has gotten a lot of deals done but can't get a deal with Iran and hasn't ended the Russia-Ukraine war, as he promised he would on day one. When you are the leader of the United States, you have almost the entire world in a vice grip. People can't say no. You don't need to be a smart person to get those deals done. What the two main failures have in common is that he doesn't have Iran or Russia in a vice grip. When that isn't the case, he is in uncharted territory, and he just throws things at the wall to see what will stick. Let's bomb Iran, no let's do more sanctions, no let's create a blockade, no let's... on and on. If it seems like he has no plan, it is because he has no plan. He has a one-page playbook, and that one page is ineffective here. If there is a football team and your only play is to run it up the middle, the team starts to panic when running it up the middle doesn't work.

08/09/2026

The markets have been closer to a momentum casino for much of this year and it still isn't totally normal, but with the news of Situational Awareness's public equity portfolio blowing up recently, peak craziness is likely behind us. You may or may not know a lot about Situational Awareness, but it is a hedge fund run by Leopold Aschenbrenner. It essentially was a levered long bet on AI stocks while shorting entire industries that could be hurt by AI, like software, at the same time. The returns were incredible up until July, as the hottest AI stocks began to falter and his shorts moved against him. The public equity portion of his portfolio blew up and was margin called. He ended up selling it to Citadel for a large discount, but from reports it basically was a zero for the fund. The fund also has a large private equity stake in Anthropic which the fund still holds huge unrealized gains in. This private equity stake likely saved him from himself, as he wasn't able to use leverage in private markets the way he did in public markets, in addition to private equity having the inability to move in price so violently in little time. From reading about him, he is obviously brilliant and knows more about AI than 99.9% of people, but his wife works at Anthropic and is within upper management's inner circle. How much of his performance is due to his personal knowledge and how much is due to insider information he learns through his wife is impossible to know. Besides this fund, there were likely many copycat funds that followed his trades and amplified the moves in individual stocks recently.

Overall, the economy remains pretty good. The no-hire-no-fire job market continues. Initial unemployment claims remain very low while overall hiring remains weak. The unemployment rate continues to inch lower recently, but this is due to labor force participation falling so it is falling for a bad reason. The US-Iran situation remains a complete mess, but oil prices are relatively tame and that has the biggest impact on the overall market and macroeconomy. One concern is that interest rates have risen substantially with the 30yr interest rate hitting the highest level since the Great Financial Crisis. The recent monthly payroll report was weak, so that could be a good thing in terms of cooling off interest rates. Big picture, the economy is fine and earning reports across the board have been coming in strong recently. That is usually a good setup for the stock market. There certainly aren't nearly as many deals as there were even a few weeks ago, but a melt-up in the near term is possible as the earnings picture looks good and the positioning reset from the recent washout in the market refreshes sentiment.

08/02/2026

Trump’s data service has now gone live. Yes, for a fee you can now get the President’s market moving social media posts faster than everyone else. Due to the continued lack of pushback on all of his family’s corruption, he feels bold enough to sell insider information out in the public as President of the United States for personal profit. If you see a grandmother with an open purse and a few dollars hanging out, please help her as at this point, that could prove to be all too tempting for a greedy POTUS lacking a moral compass. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/01/trump-medias-new-data-service-gives-faster-access-to-trumps-posts.html

07/27/2026

Fundamentals for tech have improved while prices have fallen. Nothing but good news lately, but positioning needed a washout after a big move up. Haven’t liked $QQQ this much in a while.

07/18/2026

Top current picks: $MSFT $SE $NU $JD $AVGO $ORCL $FSLR $KLAR $CENX

07/16/2026

Tonight, the one individual who has committed the most election fraud in the history of the US will go on national TV to spew lies and deranged bull s**t about the system he attempted to cheat. Weird that Republicans could have complete control of Congress and the Presidency in such a corrupt system out to get him... If his terrible performance as a President and role model for the world wasn't enough to dissuade you from supporting him, he is now in need of a new teleprompter operator, as his was just let go for insider trading on prediction markets. I guess he forgot that only the Trump family can get away with corruption and grifting. You are welcome to apply.

06/09/2026

The S&P 500 continues to march higher despite negative macroeconomic shocks driven by policies out of the White House (tariffs and Iran war). Muscle memory continues to prompt any short-term market sell-off to be bought. Why?

We explain below...

Market Resilience vs. Economic Headwinds
S&P 500 at Highs: Despite US-Iran tensions, elevated oil prices, and drag from political policies (tariffs and inflation), the market remains near record highs.

The Insulation: The US economy is anchored by a resilient private sector, a dominant service industry (less sensitive to energy costs), and an unstoppable AI investment cycle. It is hard to screw up the US economy.

The Two-Tiered Market: AI vs. The Consumer
Superficial Strength: The index level hides a massive divergence. The AI trade is carrying the S&P 500, while many stocks tied to the consumer (Nike, Uber, Chipotle) underperform.

Capex Boom: Companies supplying AI infrastructure (Nvidia, Micron, Lumentum) are seeing unprecedented profits.

The Risk: Most AI stocks are priced as if the boom will last forever, flashing warning signs of a painful eventual bust.

Structural Shift: Momentum Over Value
The New Players: Long-term value investors are being crowded out by short-term participants like retail traders, momentum funds, and multi-manager "pods." More people are buying stocks than buying companies. This means stocks are treated more like a ticker symbol that moves up and down, rather than as if one is buying a stake in the business.

Chasing Performance: Because pod managers face immediate job risk for underperformance, they have a short-term focus. They cannot act like a Warren Buffett buying an attractively priced stock knowing it will go up over time as the company grows. Microsoft and Meta both continue to execute well and are historically cheap, but no one wants to buy them if the stocks aren't going up. People want to make money today.

Distorted Pricing: Market action is driven by chasing whatever is hot today and aggressively shorting whatever is falling, with less of a focus on long-term fundamentals. Pods and others must remain market neutral, so they must pair longs with shorts. Simply buying what has strong positive momentum and shorting what has strong negative momentum.

Gamification and Overall Less Serious Nature: The market and the rest of society has become less serious. Everyone is betting on everything. The President and top CEOs like Jensen Huang (who used to be much more normal) are attempting to pump up individual stock tickers daily. Political corruption, stock pumping, and other third-world country-style actions are causing individual stocks to move with third-world country-style volatility.

Overall we remain constructive on the market but are avoiding the hottest areas such as the AI trade. The economy remains ok and we don't see the Federal Reserve raising rates like many now assume. Our top five picks: $MSFT $META $SE $NU $PDD

03/23/2026

The last few weeks have been news whiplash on the daily. So many statements made and then contradicted shortly after, sometimes in the next sentence. In times like this, it is best to just ride it out. As we saw this morning, one tweet and the market could rally hard. Eventually the rally will continue. The UK's Keir Starmer welcomed talks between the US and Iran - and revealed he was aware they were taking place, which gives Trump's tweet this morning credibility. No one wants this war to go on any longer than it has to, so a deal should be made soon.

Things like this happen from time to time. The trick is to not get scared out of your investments at the wrong time. This discomfort is the price of admission to make a nice return over the long run. Usually it isn't the President that loves to tout how much the stock market is up, continuing to make decisions that push it lower, but that's the world we live in, unfortunately. Top picks: $AMZN $APO $BX $CPNG $DKNG $FOUR $GPN $JD $KKR $MELI $META $MNDY $MSFT $NU $PDD $PINS $PYPL $OWL $RDDT $ROOT $SE $XYZ

Address

690 SW 1st Court #1701
Miami, FL
33130

Alerts

Be the first to know and let us send you an email when Alpha Prime Capital posts news and promotions. Your email address will not be used for any other purpose, and you can unsubscribe at any time.

Contact The Business

Send a message to Alpha Prime Capital:

Shortcuts

Share