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Make the right decision in the trade, Central Park Tower, Manhattan, NY (2026)

He holds a Bachelor's degree in Business Administration from the University of Oregon and currently leads a team building a professional studio.

08/01/2024

𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝗱𝗼 𝗲𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗿𝘁𝘀 𝗷𝘂𝗱𝗴𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘀?
On July 10, I noted on my Patreon that the yellow candle in CRWD's chart indicated a bearish signal, suggesting that the downtrend would continue if the stock broke its final support level at $383.2.
Since then, CRWD has indeed continued to decline, breaking through its main support levels at $373 and $350. This downward movement aligns with a decrease in whale accumulation to 13.35%. In contrast, retail investors have been more active, accounting for 30.17%.
Additionally, the chart's second panel shows a shift from green to red bars seven trading days ago, indicating a change from bullish to bearish sentiment. For traders who acted on the yellow candle signal when CRWD was still trading around $390, this could have helped them avoid the subsequent sharp decline in the stock's price.
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07/22/2024

【𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐡𝐚𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐧 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐞𝐜𝐡 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬 𝐢𝐟 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐧𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟒 𝐞𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧? 𝐖𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐚𝐜𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞?】
Trump's re-election "could lead to widespread tariffs and reduced immigration." "Widespread tariffs and reduced immigration would lead to slower economic growth and higher inflation." This scenario would be a nightmare for the Fed because even as economic growth slows, higher inflation from potential tariffs would Limit the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. What's more, if Trump wins a second term as president and Republicans take control of Congress, the possibility of a surge in fiscal spending will also put a ceiling on the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. If Trump does not win the 2024 election, the stock market bubble will still face the potential risk of slowing corporate earnings, lagging Federal Reserve policy that ultimately affects economic growth, or "unexpected things, possibly geopolitical in nature."
While such trade and immigration policies pose a threat to economic growth, the Fed may be less willing to ease policy in such a scenario. That's because these policies would jeopardize its victory over inflation. That, in turn, could hurt stock market valuations as rising interest rates are expected to push bond yields higher, all else equal.
But I still firmly believe that by the end of 2025, before the bubble bursts, the S&P 500 will soar to a record high of 7,000 points. Similar to the dot-com bubble of 2000. It’s worth recalling that the dot-com bubble burst after the Federal Reserve tightened policy and U.S. Treasury yields rose.
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07/19/2024

【Where do technology stocks go from here?】
On the day the Federal Reserve released the Beige Book, the market encountered a super storm. As of the close, the Nasdaq index plummeted 2.77% to 17996.92 points, the largest one-day decline since December 2022; the S&P 500 index fell 1.39% to 5588.27 points; the Dow Jones Industrial Index rose 0.59% to 41198.08 points , continuing to hit record highs.
Among the top ten most valuable stocks in the U.S. stock market, except for Berkshire, which embraced the concept of "value rotation," the other nine stocks all fell. Nvidia, TSMC, and Yuan plummeted by more than 5%, and their total market value evaporated by more than 1,000 yuan in a single day. 6000 In addition, the U.S. semiconductor sector plummeted across the board, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 6.81%. It was the largest single-day decline since March 2020, and the total market value evaporated by nearly 500 billion US dollars. Among them, ASML US stocks plummeted 12.74%, AMD fell 10.21%, and Qualcomm fell more than 8%.
At present, a large number of funds from the grouped technology giants are hurriedly fleeing and continue to pour into the traditional blue-chip value sector, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to buck the trend and hit new highs. Regarding the plunge in technology stocks, Scott Rubner, managing director and tactical strategist of Goldman Sachs' global markets department, said bluntly: "I will not buy at this point. The S&P 500 Index will have no way forward. The only way to go is down," and warned that July 17 usually marks a turning point in U.S. stock returns, followed by August, which is usually the worst month for passive investment and mutual fund outflows.
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