10/31/2026
Your retirement budget is probably wrong. Here's why 👇
Most people assume their monthly spending will stay steady or slowly climb with inflation throughout retirement.
But JP Morgan studied the actual banking and credit card behavior of real retirees, and what they found flips that assumption on its head.
Real retirement spending doesn't go up over time. It drifts downward. Most retirees aren't even keeping pace with inflation, and by their 90s, they're spending about 30% less than they did in early retirement.
There's another layer to this: early retirement spending tends to be volatile. Big swings from year to year are the norm, not the exception. Around 63% of newly retired people experience this. But when you zoom out over a 20, 30, or 40-year retirement, the overall trend curves downward.
If your retirement plan is built around a spending number that keeps climbing year after year, you may be overestimating what you actually need, and that could be costing you years of your life that you could have spent retired.
Watch to see what your spending curve might actually look like, and what that means for when you can afford to stop working.
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MDRN Wealth LLC is a financial advisor serving professionals and business owners who want to retire early.