10/02/2026
🏡 Friday Mortgage Market Update
We finally got some relief in the bond market this week after a difficult month for bonds and mortgage rates.
Since the beginning of September, Treasury yields have climbed significantly. Inflation concerns, higher oil prices, expectations for additional Fed rate hikes and heavy government borrowing have all put pressure on bonds. The 10 year Treasury yield rose to levels we have not seen in years.
Then came this week.
ADP reported stronger private sector job growth of 90,000 on Wednesday, which initially supported the idea that the economy remained strong.
But today’s official jobs report told a very different story.
The economy added only 29,000 jobs in September, well below expectations. August was revised down from 162,000 jobs to 133,000, and July was revised from a gain of 21,000 to a loss of 10,000. Unemployment also increased to 4.2%.
📉 That is where we finally saw some relief.
The weaker employment numbers caused investors to rethink how aggressively the Fed may need to raise rates. Bond prices moved higher, Treasury yields dropped and mortgage pricing improved.
The 10 year Treasury yield fell roughly 6 basis points today after reaching its highest level since 2007 earlier this week.
The bottom line: After weeks of rising yields and mortgage rates, today’s weaker jobs data gave the bond market a reason to correct.
It does not mean rates are suddenly heading lower from here. It simply means we finally got some positive news for the bond market.
And after the move we have seen since September began, I’ll gladly take a little relief. 🏠