03/17/2021
"๐๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ข ๐๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐, ๐๐ต๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด?" ๐ค
๐ This is a great question, and here is the answer...
The Fed can only directly control the fed funds rate, which is the rate that banks lend each other money overnight to meet reserve requirements. They don't directly set any other rates such as car loan rates, bank account or CD rates, or mortgage rates.
๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฎ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ, ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐. ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ผ ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐ณ๐น๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ ๐๐ผ ๐น๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐น๐ผ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐๐น๐ ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ.
When the Fed kept rates at zero today, they kept the fed funds rate at zero. However, the bonds that mortgage rates are based on are increasing in yield just like similar bonds such as the 10yr Treasury. As mortgage bond yields rise, so do mortgage rates. Right now mortgage bond yields are rising over concerns about inflation and the heating up of the economy through 2021.
๐ฆ๐ผ, ๐๐ต๐ถ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ผ, ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐น๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฝ ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ ๐ณ๐๐ฟ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ณ๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ, ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐ต๐ผ๐น๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ณ๐ณ ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ. ๐ก
๐๐ณ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐น๐ฑ ๐น๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ด๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฑ, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐พ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ, ๐'๐บ ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฒ.