06/04/2026
Quick myth I need to bust, because I get this question almost every week:
"The Fed cut rates, so mortgage rates are dropping, right?"
Not quite. The Fed sets short-term rates. Mortgage rates follow the long-term bond market, which moves on its own. That is why you can watch the Fed cut and still see mortgage rates go the other way. They are two different things.
Here is what I am actually watching right now: inflation is still sticky, oil and global headlines keep adding pressure, and the economy and job market are holding up stronger than expected. All of that tends to keep rates from falling fast. My honest read is range-bound for now, not a big drop.
So what does that mean for you? Do not try to time the perfect bottom. That is a losing game. The smarter move is to know where you stand and act when a real window opens for your numbers, not when a headline tells you to.
I track this every single day so you do not have to. When there is a genuine opportunity for your situation, I will tell you straight. Have a question about your numbers? Send me a message.
Phong Truong | Mortgage Advisor | Financial Suit / NEXA Lending LLC
NMLS #1755092 | Equal Housing Lender | Licensed in TX, FL, LA