07/20/2024
Hi everyone, Duncan Hsia here, mortgage broker and financial advisor, with another update on the housing market.
In this video, I delve into the latest CPI and PPI reports and their implications for inflation and the economy. With unemployment rising and key recession indicators on the verge of triggering, mortgage interest rates are on a downward trend and are expected to continue falling over the next couple of years.
The high interest rate environment has slowed new home construction, leading to fewer new home permits and a low inventory of existing homes. This situation creates a prolonged shortage of homes to meet ongoing demand. Demographics play a crucial role, with strong demand driven by millennials reaching homebuying age and baby boomers holding onto their homes longer.
Despite the tripling of mortgage rates in recent years, home prices have remained resilient. As rates decline, many buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines will enter the market, absorbing additional supply from forced sales or sellers waiting for lower rates. Today’s homeowners have triple the equity compared to 2008, which helps prevent a wave of foreclosures and short sales, even in the event of job losses.
Looking ahead, I expect housing prices to remain strong and mortgage rates to continue their downward trajectory. If you find a house you love and can afford, it makes sense to buy now and refinance later to avoid potential bidding wars.
Do you agree or disagree with my analysis? Drop a comment and let me know your thoughts!