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Dow Theory Forecasts

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Dow Theory Forecasts

Stock recommendations and analysis every week for individual investors looking for actionable advice

06/08/2026

Much of the stock market’s action can be explained with just three variables: inflation, interest rates, and corporate earnings. With expectations for all three on the move, now seems a good time to take a closer look at the trend in each. Click to read: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/inflation-interest-rates-and-earnings-growth/

05/22/2026

Stocks have an outstanding track record in years following the midterm elections, delivering an annualized return of 20.3% from 1950 to 2025. Click for more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/post-election-rallies/

05/20/2026

A series of events — some surreal, others tragic, and most of the rest unusual — can help explain the stock market’s volatile and somewhat disappointing performance in 2026. Click for more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/enduring-the-midterm-malaise/

05/18/2026

There is value in tracking economic trends. They tell us about the direction of the economy, which in turn informs us about the health and mindset of consumers (accounting for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity) and businesses (about 15%). Read more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/who-should-we-believe/

05/15/2026

U.S. gross domestic product rose 2% on an annualized basis in the March quarter, a solid showing in the wake of the December quarter’s 0.5% expansion. Read more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/growth-picks-up/

05/13/2026

Sometimes focusing on just a few big questions can help put things in perspective. Here are three worth asking: Click here https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/three-big-questions/

05/11/2026

Helped by the ongoing ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the possibility of more talks this weekend, West Texas Intermediate crude-oil prices have declined 16% from their April 7 closing high near $113 per barrel. Read more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/oil-prices-bounce-around/

04/22/2026

Q: Foreign stocks are setting the pace even after a strong showing in 2025. I don’t want to be left behind like last year. Can you suggest a few stocks or funds? Click for answer: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/qa-foreign-stocks/

04/15/2026

The capitalization-weighted S&P 500 Index trades at 21.7 times expected year-ahead earnings, about 15% above the 10-year norm of 18.9 and 31% higher than the 20-year norm of 16.1. Click here for more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/counting-the-cost/

04/13/2026

The University of Michigan said consumer sentiment fell 6% in March from February levels. We can blame inflation fears for much of that decline. Read more: https://dtf.horizonpublishing.com/market-looks-past-consumer-concerns/

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