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Global Securities Forum, 277 Grand Street, New York City, Garden City, NY (2026)

03/27/2023

🔥The latest industry news to share, the world's hottest event analysis, the most practical stock knowledge (banking crisis dragged down US stocks, Deutsche Bank, German government and ECB took turns to appease the market, three major stock indices opened lower, most popular Chinese stocks closed lower; traders further lowered Fed rate hike expectations, Fed rate swaps completely ruled out a 25 basis point rate hike in May)
✨ [US stock market news].
The three major US stock indexes opened lower on Friday, with most of the popular Chinese stocks closing lower. By the close, the Dow was up 0.41%, the Nasdaq was up 0.31% and the S&P was up 0.56%. The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 1.515% to close at 3.38%, a -40 basis point spread compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX fell 3.85% and Brent crude oil closed 0.81% lower. Spot gold continued to move higher from Nov 22 to date, closing 0.75% lower yesterday at $1978.25/oz. The US Dollar Index continued to retreat from its highs to close at 103.13.
The preliminary US Markit Manufacturing PMI for March recorded 49.3, a new high since October 2022. The preliminary services PMI registered 53.8, a new high since April 2022. So far, March has seen an encouraging recovery in economic growth, with business surveys showing output accelerating to its fastest level since May last year. the PMI figures are broadly in line with annualised GDP growth of close to 2%, painting a more positive picture of economic resilience than the recession of the second half of last year and early 2023. However, the economic upturn was uneven and largely driven by the services sector. While manufacturing output increased slightly, this largely reflected improvements in the supply chain, allowing firms to fulfil the backlog of orders that had built up during the post-epidemic surge in demand. What is clear is that new orders in manufacturing have fallen for six consecutive months. Unless demand improves, there appears to be little scope for maintaining current levels of production growth. Traders further downgraded Fed rate hike expectations, with Fed rate swaps ruling out a 25 basis point rate hike in May altogether.
Canadian retail sales recorded a monthly rate of 1.4% in January, a new high since May 2022. Eurozone manufacturing PMI recorded a preliminary reading of 47.1 in March, a new low since October 2022. The London Metal Exchange (LME) cut margins on copper to $700 per tonne from $724 per tonne and on tin to $3,350 per tonne from $3,842 per tonne, effective after the close of business on 29 March 2023. Russia is on the verge of committing to cut oil production by 500,000 bpd and will meet that commitment in the coming days, said Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak.
German Chancellor Scholz said Deutsche Bank was "very profitable" and there was no cause for concern. This comes after Deutsche Bank's share price fell and CDS soared on fears that the bank could become the next Credit Suisse. Deutsche Bank reportedly said it would redeem its US$1.5 billion of fixed-to-fixed reset rate Tier 2 capital notes due 2028 on 24 May 2023 at 100% of the principal amount and accrued interest up to, but not including, the redemption date. All necessary regulatory approvals have been received for the program and formal notice of redemption will be delivered in accordance with the indenture terms of the notes. Deutsche Bank's five-year credit default swap (CDS) fell a further 7 basis points from earlier Friday to 208 basis points, still the highest level since late 2018, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.
✨ [Industry Sectors] In terms of industry sectors, the S&P saw all nine of its major sectors close higher, except for financials and semiconductors, which closed down 0.06% and 1.73%, respectively: tech, energy, industrials, and communications closed up within 0.51%, raw materials closed up 0.81%, and daily consumption, real estate, and utilities closed up 1.7%, 2.57%, and 3.12%, respectively.
✨ [live news1. Ford plans to make driver assistance features the centrepiece of its next-generation electric F-Series pickup
2. Research firm Autonomous Research: Deutsche Bank is not the next Credit Suisse
3.Samsung's Lee Jae-yong visits China to attend annual meeting of China Development Forum
4.OpenAI applies for GPT-4 trademark in China
5.ChatGPT launches plug-in feature seen as 'Apple's App Store' moment

03/24/2023

👉2023 Financial Treasure Hunt 👈
[US Stocks Pre-Market] US stock index futures lower pre-market, bank stocks generally lower, US ChatGPT concept stocks stronger pre-market, Temple Group up over 10%, Baidu, BBAI up over 3% pre-market, Zhihu up over 2% pre-market, C3.ai up over 1% pre-market.

[Important Information] Stock News
1. Swiss authorities and UBS (UBS.N) aim to complete the deal with Credit Suisse (CS.N) by the end of April at the earliest, sources said.
2. OpenAI announced the launch of a plug-in feature that gives ChatGPT the ability to use tools, network and run calculations to interact with over 5,000 applications.
3. Deutsche Bank (DB.N) will redeem $1.5 billion of subordinated Tier 2 capital notes due 2028 on May 24; the stock fell more than 11% at one point in the pre-market as credit default swaps (CDS) rose sharply.
4. UK Competition and Markets Authority says new evidence eases concerns over Microsoft (MSFT.O) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI.O) deal; final report to be released by 26 April.
5. The US Justice Department is investigating whether financial professionals helped Russian oligarchs evade sanctions and banks such as Credit Suisse (CS.N) and UBS (UBS.N) are under investigation, sources said.
6. Block (SQ.N) responded to being shorted by saying it intends to work with the US Securities and Exchange Commission to discuss possible legal action against Hindenburg.
7. Tesla Motors (Beijing) Ltd. expanded its recall of some imported Model S electric vehicles, totaling 2,649 units.
8. Moody's: downgraded the sponsor rating of First Republic Bank (FRC.N) and may further downgrade the rating in the future.
9. Reports that Samsung Group Chairman Lee Jae-yong is expected to travel to the US in April to meet with Lucid Group (LCID.O) executives, where the two sides are expected to discuss mainly cylindrical battery supply plans.
10. The official microblogging site of Lucid Motors (LI.O): As of March 24, 2023, Lucid Motors has delivered more than 300,000 units, setting a record for the fastest delivery of a new power luxury brand.

The next "Credit Suisse"? Analysts: This is clearly the next "domino" in everyone's mind】Frankfurt time on March 24 (Friday), Germany's largest bank, one of the world's major financial institutions Deutsche Bank (hereinafter referred to as Deutsche Bank) shares fell for the third consecutive day, as of press time once fell nearly 15%, a new global crown in 2020 A new low since the early days of the pneumonia outbreak. Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, said, "We're still on tenterhooks waiting for another domino to come down and Deutsche Bank is clearly the The next domino on everyone's mind."

[ChatGPT gets online, book hotels, watch stock prices! After Google it's Apple's turn to panic?] Since its release on 30 November last year, OpenAI's ChatGPT has been iterating faster than anyone could have imagined - after updating the big model to GPT-4, OpenAI dropped another "bombshell" on 23 March US time -- announcing a plug-in feature that gives ChatGPT the ability to use tools, network, and run computations. According to some analysts, this new feature is designed to enhance ChatGPT's language model, enabling it to access the latest information, perform calculations and use third-party services.

[Top 20 US Stock Turnover: Nvidia closes 2.73% higher, jumps to 5th largest listed company by market cap in the US; Microsoft Bing's global app downloads jump 8x] Nvidia closed 2.73% higher, trading at US$15.27 billion. As of Thursday's close, Nvidia's market capitalization was US$671.62 billion and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway's market capitalization was US$659.07 billion, marking Nvidia's jump to the 5th largest publicly traded company by market capitalization in the U.S.; Microsoft closed 1.97% higher, trading at US$10.12 billion, with data showing that after integrating artificial intelligence, Microsoft Bing's global app downloads jumped 8-fold, while Google search App downloads fell 2% over the same period.

03/23/2023

Former senior equity analyst at Red Shirt Capital
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03/22/2023

1、Fundamental stock selection
Stock fundamentals mainly look at some macroeconomic policies, industry and the basic situation of the company, including the company's business philosophy strategy, company statements, etc..
Macroeconomic policy mainly refers to some tight monetary policy, fiscal policy and the impact of loose monetary policy, fiscal policy on stocks. For example, the country adopts loose monetary policy and increases the money supply, which will increase the amount of capital in the stock market to a certain extent, prompting the rise of the general market and driving the rise of individual stocks.
By analyzing the industry, investors can make reasonable investment strategies. For example, if the individual stock belongs to a high-tech industry, or an industry supported or supported by the state, with great development potential, investors can consider buying in modest amounts.
The basic information of the company mainly includes the company's corporate business philosophy strategy, the company's financial statements, and the analysis of the company's announcements.
Among them, the financial statements mainly include the balance sheet, cash flow statement, and income statement. Through the comprehensive analysis of earnings per share, net profit, accounts receivable turnover, gearing ratio, return on assets, current ratio, and speed ratio in these statements, as well as the analysis of P/E ratio and P/N ratio, to determine whether the stock can be a value investment.
2、Technical stock selection
a. K-line graph. Mainly choose those stocks whose k-line graphs are in buying patterns, for example, stocks with morning star, red three soldiers and other buying patterns.
b, technical indicators. Investors can choose macd, kdj indicators appear golden cross, or bottom divergence pattern of the stock.
c. Chips. Stock chip concentration in more than 70% better, which indicates that the main force holds a large number of chips, after the main force has enough chips, it is bound to pull up, so the stock price is easy to rise.
In the stock chip distribution chart, if the display above the hedge plate more, it means that the above pressure is more serious, the stock later rise more difficult, investors should continue to wait and see short position, if the chip distribution chart in the hedge chips less, more profit chips, it means that the stock above the pressure is less, the stock rise more easily.

03/20/2023

🔥Latest industry news to share, analysis of the world's hottest events, most practical stock knowledge (Banking crisis drives risk aversion, three major stock indices shake out lower, regional banks close sharply lower; FedEx surges 8% after results, FY23Q3 cost-cutting profit beats estimates, raises EPS full-year guidance)
✨ [US Stock Market News].
The three major U.S. stock indexes shook lower on Friday, with regional banks closing sharply lower. By the close of trading, the Dow was down 1.19%, the Nasdaq was down 0.74% and the S&P was down 1.1%. The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 3.991% to close at 3.44%, a -39 basis point spread compared to the two-year Treasury yield. The panic index VIX rose 10.96% and Brent crude oil closed down 3.15%. Spot gold continued to move higher from Nov 22 to date, closing up 3.51% at $1986.6/oz yesterday. The US Dollar Index continued to retreat from its highs, closing at 103.86.
The OECD raised its global economic growth forecast for 2023 to 2.6% from 2.2%. Goldman Sachs now expects the ECB to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in May, compared to its previous forecast of a 50 basis point increase, and now lowers its terminal rate estimate to 3.5% from 3.75%. The ECB held a special supervisory board meeting to review developments in the banking sector following the market turmoil. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said: I believe there is still room for rates to be cut below -0.1%.
Chicagoland (CME) cut margins on WTI crude oil futures for April contracts to $6,000 per contract, compared to $6,600 previously, and also cut margins on crude oil futures contracts expiring in May-December by $200-600. These measures came into effect on 17 March. The London Metal Exchange (LME) delayed the resumption of nickel trading in the Asian session by one week.
Eleven major Wall Street banks, including Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, injected a total of $30 billion into First Republic Bank; in addition, First Republic Bank said it was evaluating the composition of its balance sheet and would suspend stock dividends and focus on reducing borrowings. UBS and Credit Suisse are opposed to forcing a merger, sources close to the situation said. Sources: At least four global banks have imposed restrictions on new deals with Credit Suisse Group and at least two are taking steps, including cutting unsecured exposures in new deals with Credit Suisse. Credit Suisse clients have withdrawn US$8.8 billion from prime money market funds in three days. Charles Schwab said it gained about $16.5 billion in core net new assets this week.
✨ [Industry Sectors] All 11 S&P sectors closed lower: tech edged down 0.14%, semiconductors, consumer staples, communications, and utilities closed down 1% or less, healthcare, raw materials, energy, and industrials closed down 1.65% or less, and real estate and financials closed down 2.29% and 3.22%, respectively.
✨ [Live News
1. "Fed sounding board": Fed raises rates by 25 bps or leaves them unchanged, will likely depend on market reaction in coming days
2. Sunac plans tax cuts ahead of 2025 election if UK inflation falls below 3%
3. Tesla plans to double the annual capacity of its Berlin factory to 1 million vehicles
4.BYD invests in AI chip company Kunlunxin
5. Indian startups have about $1 billion in Silicon Valley banks

03/20/2023

U.S. stocks pre-market highlights: Credit Suisse plunged nearly 60% before the bell! Goldman Sachs expects the Fed will not raise interest rates this week
1. U.S. stock futures higher, Nifty futures up 0.02%, S&P 500 futures up 0.05%, Dow futures up 0.07%.
2. European stocks rose, Germany's DAX rose 0.56%, the FTSE rose 0.42%, France's CAC rose 0.85%, the European Stoxx 50 index rose 0.83%.
3. the Federal Reserve and five other central banks announced coordinated action on Sunday to increase liquidity through permanent dollar swap arrangements to boost liquidity supply.
4. Goldman Sachs said it does not expect the Fed to raise interest rates this week due to stress in the banking system.
5. WTI crude oil was down 0.88% at $66.34 per barrel. Brent crude oil was down 0.79% at $72.39/barrel.
6. Spot gold stood at $2,000 per ounce for the first time since March 2022.
7. Credit Suisse is in crisis, plunging 57% in pre-market. UBS finally agreed to buy Credit Suisse for a consideration of 3 billion Swiss francs. Also the Swiss government announced that Credit Suisse's Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds with a nominal value of 16 billion Swiss francs were completely written down. According to CITIC Securities, there are two scenarios that would trigger a write-down of Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds, either when Credit Suisse's CET1 ratio is below the required level (5.125% or 7%), or when there is a PoNV event. And this imputation event falls under the second scenario triggered.
8. First Republic Bank, which fell more than 70% last week, fell 17% in pre-market. Sources said the company may raise funds through a private offering of new shares. The downgrade by the rating agency came days after the group's rating was downgraded to junk status by S&P Global and again on Sunday local time. In addition, Moody's downgraded First Republic Bank's rating to B2 from Baa1.
9. New York Community Bank jumped 28% in pre-market, the group's subsidiary will take over the deposits of the Signature Bank's transition bank from the FDIC and 40 Signature Bank branches will operate under the New York Community Bank Group

03/20/2023

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03/17/2023

QS is currently in the uptrend line, and the current daily K-line rebound signal of the morning star, there will be a certain amount of upside, pay attention to my private letter to get specific stock strategies

03/17/2023

OSTK From the daily K-line trend, the current daily K-line is in a bottoming process, short-term support near 17.20, MACD also shows a contraction upward process, short-term can pay attention to it, there is some room for upward movement.

03/17/2023

Today we recommend two selected rising pull-up stocks with positive trends.

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