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02/14/2023

To reach its climate neutrality goal by 2050, the EU is taking action to reduce emissions from cars as road transport accounts for one fifth of the EU’s CO2 emissions. In June 2022, Parliament backed the European Commission’s proposal of zero emissions from new cars and vans by 2035. Intermediate emissions reduction targets for 2030 would be set at 55% for cars and 50% for vans.

How do markets perform when the Fed pauses? • Over the past 40 years the Fed has paused seven times after concluding a t...
02/12/2023

How do markets perform when the Fed pauses?
• Over the past 40 years the Fed has paused seven times after concluding a tightening cycle. Following the final rate hike, policymakers held rates steady for about six months on average (ranging from a month to a little over year) before proceeding to cut rates to stimulate the economy.
• Stocks performed strongly in five of these instances, while they declined only modestly the other two. Investment-grade bonds also experienced above-average returns, as yields peaked a couple of months before the last rate hike.
• Likely benefiting from the easing in yields and financial conditions, technology was the best-performing sector, with the exception of the Fed pause in 2000 that coincided with the tech bubble bursting.
• History suggests that a Fed pause can be a catalyst for lower bond yields and higher equity valuations. This is consistent with our view that balanced portfolios, like a 60/40 stock-bond mix, are poised for a rebound after a historically tough year.

02/11/2023

WASHINGTON, Feb 10 (Reuters) - The United States on Friday extended the status of Britain and New Zealand as countries exempt from the U.S. foreign investment screening program, the Treasury Department said, having determined that those countries' own screening programs are robust enough.

U.S. Treasury's powerful Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) said it made the decision based on the countries' use of their own "robust foreign investment screening program."

02/10/2023

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Friday that the Federal Reserve needs to get its policy rate above 5% interest rate and then pause.
A so-called economic "soft landing" is "more probable now" if inflation keeps easing, he said. His base case still doesn't see a recession this year, he said during an interview on Wharton Business Radio.
At this point, he's not concerned that wage issues will drive inflation. Still, labor market structural issues need to be addressed, but that's outside of the Federal Reserve's mandate, Harker said.
In late January, Harker had said he expected the federal funds rate target range to rise to slightly above 5%. He also said he expected real GDP growth of about 1% this year and core inflation to fall to ~3.5% by the end of 2023.

02/09/2023

Thursday's news: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the Economic Club of Washington on Tuesday. Until then, markets will be on edge. Powell's comments on deflation led investors to aggressively enter the market last week to push up stock prices and ignore the prospect of another central bank rate hike. As investors began to reassess expectations for the Fed's monetary policy stance due to the unusually strong U.S. January nonfarm payrolls report released last Friday (3), the market is expected to pay close attention to Powell's speech, especially his views on the labor market. Last week's U.S. nonfarm payrolls release far exceeded expectations and the strong rebound in the services PMI, data that further reinforced market concerns that the Fed will stick to its rate hike policy. The latest market news is more mixed, but the three major stock indices, the market investor mentality is unchanged, the current long profit taking is relatively large, the market sells off a lot of pressure, be careful to avoid the current hot stocks. Credit Suisse pointed out that based on the overheated labor market, the market is too optimistic from the stock trend, Credit Suisse believes that the previous rise in technology stocks is based on the market believes that the inflation-adjusted 10-year benchmark U.S. bond yields, that is, the U.S. 10-year inflation-protected bond (TIPS) yields lower, but TIPS yields have risen in the past four days, as TIPS yields rise, the stock attractiveness will also decline:, Credit Suisse also pointed out that the market has recently overheated in the short term and there is a need for a market pullback.
Technically, yesterday the S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, the three major stock indexes are technical retracement, that is, profit-taking pressure is relatively large, especially technology stocks, represented by google, Microsoft, meta technology stocks, a moderate retracement, such technology stocks do not retrace in place, the S&P 500, Nasdaq index is difficult to organize an effective rebound, the current market is still dominated by oscillatory short, the S&P 500 support level near 4095, if 4095 volume fell below, the S&P 500 index will be further down, related stocks will also follow the index down, the analysts suggest that, for the time being, short-term do not hold technology-related large-cap blue-chip stocks. Choose some consumer, small metals, food stocks to choose hedge, market follow-up, if the market sudden positive, or negative, this analyst will be the first time prompt.

02/08/2023

Update: Tesla (196.81, 2.05, 1.05%) (TSLA.US) delivered 26,843 vehicles in China in January 2023, down 35.98% from 41,926 in December 2021, but up 38.75% year-over-year. Tesla sold 66,051 vehicles in China in January, of which 39,208 were exported. Including exports, January sales were up 18.38 percent sequentially and 10.37 percent year-over-year. Polar Discs jumped more than 20 percent before integrating ChatGPT to launch AI authoring tools. Analyst Nat Schindler said the upgrade is based on the accelerated growth of the company's website Viator, which is making a strong entry into the otherwise under-penetrated online experience booking market. Catwalk management has emphasized a continued focus on brand marketing, particularly at Viator, which could dampen short-term margins, but Bank of America is optimistic about Viator's long-term growth trajectory. Although Zhihu has not publicly tested the ChatGPT-like artificial intelligence chat robot "Wenxin Yiyin" in March as Baidu (160.22, 17.40, 12.18%) announced, some stock commentators have posted on social media platforms describing that in the Zhihu community, questions are seen as the starting point, and the resulting discussions and answers are the core of Zhihu's content. This is the core of Zhihu's content, which can be a natural fit with ChatGPT, an efficiency tool based on a conversation model with Q&A-type tasks, especially with Zhihu's long-established good knowledge-sharing environment and community atmosphere. The latest early news on the market is on the positive side, today's market three major stock indexes, is still a shock on the positive trend, the possibility of closing up is relatively large, but to exclude the market sudden factors, resulting in pre-disc good consumption, the
Technical: Dow Jones, S&P 500, NASDAQ, the three stock indexes are on the five-day average, the current retracement of the support level in the vicinity of the five-day average, should not chase the market up too much stocks, the analyst believes that the current field of funds in favor of balance, short-term funds are only a number of good stocks for the rotation of speculation, for unfavorable good stocks, the funds are on the cautious side, we should understand the short-term intervention in the stock Market positive, positive and negative factors. If you do not understand, you can contact us.

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