The Cabana Group

The Cabana Group We believe in a better, simpler, more confident way to invest and plan.

We bring traditional financial services, legal counsel, retirement solutions and wealth management under one roof to help individuals reach long-term financial goals. We have offices in Arkansas, Texas and Colorado and serve clients and advisors across the country. Social media disclaimers: https://thecabanagroup.com/disclaimers/social-media-guidelines/

Two straight weeks of gains to start 2023 must be a positive sign after what was a dismal 2022. https://thecabanagroup.c...
01/18/2023

Two straight weeks of gains to start 2023 must be a positive sign after what was a dismal 2022.

https://thecabanagroup.com/markets-kick-off-2023-in-the-black-after-a-dismall-2022-market-commentary-from-cabanas-ceo-january-18-2023/

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Stocks have now booked two straight weeks of gains to start 2023. This is a positive sign to me after what was a dismal 2022. Importantly, the benchmark S&P 500 is now back above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving average (SMA). This makes the fourth time since last spring that we have seen an.......

Thursday we get the December inflation report, and this will likely be the next catalyst up or down. http://ow.ly/rQpV50...
01/11/2023

Thursday we get the December inflation report, and this will likely be the next catalyst up or down.

http://ow.ly/rQpV50MnULs

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The new year has brought more of the same volatility as investors struggle to balance the odds of a recession this year with continued economic resilience. The Federal Reserve is still providing a hawkish backdrop at every opportunity. They have made it abundantly clear that short-term interest rate...

Market drops during the first half of this week lead us to believe that the market's recent rally is being tested yet ag...
12/09/2022

Market drops during the first half of this week lead us to believe that the market's recent rally is being tested yet again. http://ow.ly/UEnu50LZ67V

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It appears to me that investors may have once again sold the most recent rally attempt in stocks, which began in the middle of October. Despite surviving a test of support at the 3900 level two weeks ago, clearing 4000 (SPY) and favorable seasonality, the major equity indices all immediately droppe...

Following the Fed's comments, all major indices were up more than 3% yesterday. The Nasdaq was up almost 5%. As we sit t...
12/02/2022

Following the Fed's comments, all major indices were up more than 3% yesterday. The Nasdaq was up almost 5%. As we sit today, signs point to a year-end rally.

http://ow.ly/akYK50LT8t0

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The major stock indices managed to grind out a gain in the holiday-shortened week. This followed two weeks of digesting gains and testing prior support after the major move up on November 10. I previously suggested that this process was necessary, and we needed to see 3900 hold on the S&P 500 for a....

We have a lot of data and the Federal Reserve coming up. For now, things are looking up as we head into the Thanksgiving...
11/23/2022

We have a lot of data and the Federal Reserve coming up. For now, things are looking up as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday. http://ow.ly/HKmN50LMuBj

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As we head into the holiday season, let’s start this commentary by acknowledging what matters most – our friends and family. All our successes and failures in life are meaningless without the people who are there to share them. The older I get, the more this hits home. Today, I want to say a spe...

Investors cheered in a big way after last week's midterm elections and the October CPI report. http://ow.ly/z87J50LGAkgP...
11/17/2022

Investors cheered in a big way after last week's midterm elections and the October CPI report.

http://ow.ly/z87J50LGAkg

Please refer to the following link for important disclaimers regarding this material: https://thecabanagroup.com/disclaimers/social-media-guidelines/

I would like to start by acknowledging and thanking all our professional partners who came to Dallas last week for our Q4 Cabana Advisor Workshop. I cannot tell you how grateful I am to have partners who I believe genuinely care about their clients and the business of investing. This was our second....

Markets of all types continue to experience volatility around each data point that is reported. https://thecabanagroup.c...
11/08/2022

Markets of all types continue to experience volatility around each data point that is reported.

https://thecabanagroup.com/market-volatility-continues-ahead-of-this-weeks-potential-market-moving-events-market-commentary-from-cabanas-ceo-november-7-2022/

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Markets of all types continue to experience volatility around each data point that is reported. The Federal Reserve hiked rates another 75 basis points last week and Chairman Powell reiterated that there was more to come. Investors appear to have given up on a halt to rising rates and are hoping for...

There is an abundance of market-moving events over the next few weeks, including midterm elections. http://ow.ly/Vr3F50L...
10/28/2022

There is an abundance of market-moving events over the next few weeks, including midterm elections. http://ow.ly/Vr3F50Lnv9S

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Stocks are attempting another comeback after bouncing off support at the 3600 level (S&P 500) about 10 days ago. That level has now been held on four different occasions since June. As of this writing, the Dow Jones has cleared its 50-day moving average and the S&P 500 is fighting to do the same. Th...

Markets have seen a short bounce over the past few days, but that has already met some resistance. http://ow.ly/ecOc50L4...
10/07/2022

Markets have seen a short bounce over the past few days, but that has already met some resistance. http://ow.ly/ecOc50L4vgs

Social guidelines: https://thecabanagroup.com/disclaimers/social-media-guidelines/

Last week, we discussed the probability of a relief rally in stocks. At that time, the major equity indices were deeply oversold, as was the bond market. For reference, stocks were down between 8% and 10% during September, depending on the index. This followed a 4% or more loss in August. Bond yiel...

We have noted multiple technical warning signs of a pullback to those early summer lows - and perhaps another leg down. ...
09/27/2022

We have noted multiple technical warning signs of a pullback to those early summer lows - and perhaps another leg down. Unfortunately, those signs came to fruition over the past week. http://ow.ly/1sjf50KV7GV

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One week ago, we suggested that the pending Fed announcement on interest rates would be the impetus for a quick retest of the market’s 2022 lows, which occurred during the third week of June. Markets have consistently deteriorated since the end of August in the face of continued inflation and a un...

The Federal Reserve met this morning and will announce its decision on further rate increases tomorrow afternoon. http:/...
09/20/2022

The Federal Reserve met this morning and will announce its decision on further rate increases tomorrow afternoon. http://ow.ly/Fmlx50KOpp0

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Last week, August CPI (inflation) data came in above estimates, which put additional upward pressure on interest rates and provided support for the Federal Reserve’s hawkish position on continuing its rate hiking cycle for the remainder of the year. The bond market is now forecasting the fed funds...

Stocks have continued to edge lower over the past week as fears of a September rate hike build. http://ow.ly/niqB50KCNs8...
09/07/2022

Stocks have continued to edge lower over the past week as fears of a September rate hike build. http://ow.ly/niqB50KCNs8

Please refer to the following link for important disclaimers regarding this material: http://ow.ly/HB8m50KCNs5

Over the past several weeks we have discussed the “stock” market’s failure to re-claim the broad indices (S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow) 200-day moving averages and the implications of that. In sum, the reversal from that level in mid-August keeps the bear market downtrend intact. Moreover, stocks ...

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