10/05/2026
🏡 The outlook for the Fed just changed. So why haven’t mortgage rates dropped?
September was a difficult month for mortgage rates, and rates remain elevated as we begin October.
But last week brought an important change: weaker employment data caused markets to significantly reduce expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike in October.
Normally, a cooling job market can be helpful for mortgage rates because it may reduce inflation pressure and give the Fed less reason to continue raising rates.
But mortgage rates don’t move based on one report.
The bond market is still balancing inflation concerns, oil prices, economic growth, and uncertainty about what comes next. That means we haven’t seen the weaker employment data translate into meaningful mortgage rate relief yet.
For homebuyers, the takeaway is not to assume rates are about to drop or continue climbing. Focus on what you can control: your budget, monthly payment, financing strategy, and whether the home makes sense for your goals.
If you’re thinking about buying a home or refinancing, give me a call and let’s look at your numbers. (425) 314-2219