08/12/2025
Mortgage Rates Dip Again—Is This the Bottom?
Mortgage rates have dropped for the third week in a row, now sitting near 6.5%. That’s a savings of about $100/month on a $400,000 loan compared to just a few weeks ago. But the big question for Houston buyers is: Will rates fall further—or is this as low as they go for now?
Several factors are in play: this morning’s CPI report showed inflation holding steady, while job growth continues to slow. These data points are key drivers of mortgage rates, as they influence bond markets and the Fed’s next move.
While a Fed rate cut is likely in September, it’s important to know that mortgage rates often react before the Fed even acts. Much of the current drop has already priced in expectations for future cuts. That’s why waiting could mean missing out on today’s opportunity.
Houston’s market is also shifting. Inventory remains higher than usual, and price reductions are increasing, giving buyers more negotiating power—for now. But if rates hit 6%, buyer activity is expected to surge, tightening supply and pushing prices up.
Key takeaway: Don’t try to time the bottom. Rates are down. Inventory is up. Buyer sentiment is rising. The smart move is to act when your finances and goals align—not when headlines change.
Stay tuned for updates on key upcoming reports and what they mean for your mortgage rate.