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BTCPAY247

BTCPAY247 places special emphasis on matters related to the fulfillment of our financial obligations. https://instabio.cc/BTCPAY247

02/13/2025

Analysis Today February 13, 2025.

👍 D1 Timeframe:

Two days ago, BTCUSD dropped sharply to absorb prior bullish momentum, but yesterday, buyers quickly pushed the price back up, signaling strength for further upside.

BTCUSD remains in a deep price compression phase, with yesterday's D1 candle still within the Double Inside Bar pattern. The prolonged consolidation suggests a potential strong breakout ahead.

Overall, BTCUSD is moving sideways within a trading range, with the dominant trend still bullish.

👍 H4 Timeframe:

BTCUSD continues to move within the current sideways trading range, with no clear trend structure yet.

A positive price action signal appeared yesterday when the price briefly dipped below the lower boundary before reversing sharply (see arrow). This false break created a bear trap, favoring a bullish outlook.

>> Today Strategy: remains a buy strategy:

1. Buy if the price breaks above the range and retests after approaching the 100,000 level.

2. Buy if the price revisits strong confluence support at 90,000 (PPZ + round number).

(check photo to see entry zones)

02/11/2025

Analysis Today February 11, 2025.

- NOTABLE ECONOMIC EVENTS AND DATA OF THE DAY:

Tonight at 10:00 PM (GMT+7), Fed Chair Powell testifies—an uncertain event that may impact markets.

- On D1 timeframe:

After four days of tight-range D1 candles, BTCUSD broke the pattern yesterday with a bullish close above the previous high, signaling stronger buying pressure. Volume also increased, reinforcing upward momentum.

BTCUSD remains in a compressed phase within a double Inside Bar pattern—the deeper the accumulation, the higher the breakout potential.

Overall, it continues to trade sideways within a large range, maintaining a bullish primary trend.

- On H4 Timeframe:

BTCUSD remains sideways on H4 with no clear trend.

The falling wedge, a bullish pattern, suggests a potential upside breakout.

A recent false break below the nearest low, followed by a strong rebound, signals short-term bullish momentum.

>> Today Strategy: BUY

1. Buy if the price breaks out above the falling wedge and then retests.

2. Buy if the price surges above 100,000, confirming a short-term bullish structure, then retests.

08/17/2024

Have you ever looked at your trading like a business?

And what does this actually mean?

Trading is more than just buying and selling. It's a full-blown operation.

Think of yourself as a CEO...

You've got a product (your trading strategy). A market (where you trade). And a goal (consistent profitability).

And like any other business, you need a plan, risk management, and a focus on growth.

If we want to succeed, we need to treat our trading and investing like the serious business it is.

Here’s how we can do this:

- Develop a solid business plan: Our trading strategy is our product. Make sure it meets a market need (identifies profitable opportunities).

- Test our product: Backtest our strategy to see if it works. This is like product testing before launch.

- Manage our inventory: Our open positions are our inventory. Manage our risk.

- Hire and fire wisely: Some trades work, others don't. Close losing trades quickly (fire them) and let winners run (keep our best employees).

- Protect our business: Use stop-losses and position sizing to manage risk. It's like insurance for our trading company.

- Trade wisely: Diversify our investments (trading different instruments) to spread risk. Don't put ALL our life savings into our one and only trading account.

- Know our market: Understand what we're trading.

- Grow our business and ourself: Once we're profitable, consider expanding our trading. Try new markets or strategies.

- Show up: Just like at a real job, we need to show up on time and be responsible. Be ready for our trading sessions. Stick to our trading plan and follow our strategies.

But starting a trading business is just the beginning…

…the real challenge is staying mentally strong and making it consistently profitable.

Happy trading 🙂

08/07/2024

The Dip is the signal!

Don’t sleep on this folks. It’s zilch when it comes to Bull-traps.

Watch closely how August movements prompts the Bull cycle fully.

Keep Going...

I tell all my students in “ELITE MASTERCLASS” we winning the Bull run. Many will come back to it in 4 years asking exact questions..

“Down or Up” ???

I might just wake up to a new movement in a few days and the talk of recession will definitely hunt the Global market.

If Donald J. Trump can be shot at then anything is possible this bull run.

Numbers, I’d say yassss to $150K BTC

BTCPAY247

07/25/2024

As traders we always ask ourselves questions about the market:

"Will it go up? Down? When's the next breakout?"

But there's one key question we often miss: Why do we need the market to behave a certain way?

Think about it. We chase specific setups, get upset by losses, and feel relieved by wins.

It's like needing the market to confirm our every move.

This constant need for control is a recipe for stress and frustrations.

Here's where a Stoic trading mindset comes in.

The Stoics taught that true happiness comes from accepting what you can't control (the market)...
..and focus on what you can (your trading strategy and risk management).

Early on, I wanted every trade to be a winner.

If the market didn't cooperate, I'd get frustrated and start taking FOMO trades.

This "if-then" mentality (if the market goes up, then I'll be happy) made me take a lot of bad decisions.

Which again just resulted in more frustrations.

So I made a shift to a Stoic mindset.

One of the ways I did this was to start accepting that the market has its own rhythm...
..and some trades simply won't go my way.

Losses became learning experiences. Not punishments.

This helped me to focus on my strategy and make clear-headed decisions.

Think of it like this: You have a great trading plan, but the market goes dead. No movement...

Wishing for a breakout won't make it happen.

Instead, a Stoic trader accepts the situation as it is. He/she exits the trade and wait for the next opportunity.

The market may be unpredictable, but your approach doesn't have to be.

If you need a place to start practicing a Stoic mindset, then try this:

Don't waste energy on the things you can't control. Accept them. And instead focus on what you can control.

Then watch your trading improve.

Happy trading 🙂

07/15/2024

/USD (GOLD)

After the shooting incident at Donald Trump's party speech and as safe havens gained value.

The Chinese economy slowed down and loosing ground + the was also affected (China & Australia are important cooperation partners in imports and exports). China is the biggest exporter to Australia. So when China turns red face a drop, and vice versa.

(those who don't know it better to learn it will save themselves from future difficult situations)

The first liquidity zone was respected and pushed gold higher.

07/11/2024

🔔INTERVENTIONS IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET BY CENTRAL BANKS

*EXAMPLE;

THE BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) to keep safe and stable in the near future ( i hope 😅)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this section we will see the operation where the central bank can intervene in the foreign exchange market by changing its available foreign exchange (buying or selling foreign exchange), to establish a specific exchange rate or to maintain the exchange rate within certain limits.

In particular, the central bank of a country or union has the option, through interventions, to keep its currency overvalued (when the determined level of the exchange rate is lower than that which corresponds to the balancing of exchange supply and demand) or undervalued (when, after interventions, the exchange rate is above the equilibrium rate)

For example, if the supply of foreign exchange increases, an excess supply of foreign exchange will be created, which will tend to depress the exchange rate (appreciation of the domestic currency).

👉1st / To keep the exchange rate stable, the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market and BUYS (ABsorbs) the surplus foreign exchange from the PUBLIC (CITIZENS), increasing its foreign exchange reserves, offering the holders (citizens) domestic money, resulting in the supply curve of money to return to its original position (NORMALITY)

👉2nd / On the contrary, an increase in the demand for foreign exchange will create an excess demand for foreign exchange which will lead to upward trends in the exchange rate and we will have a devaluation of the value of the domestic currency. In order to keep the exchange rate stable, the central bank intervenes in the foreign exchange market and SELLS foreign currency to the PUBLIC (CITIZENS) in order to cover the excessive demand for foreign exchange WHILE REDUCING its available foreign exchange and ABSORBING domestic money from the PUBLIC (CITIZENS)

As a result, the foreign exchange supply curve shifts to the right according to the height of the excess foreign exchange demand.

🚨In order for this intervention to be effective, the country's CENTRAL BANK MUST have SUFFICIENT foreign exchange reserves.

📊Watch each country's foreign currency reserves news on the calendar.

07/08/2024

/USD

TF : 4H/D

Fundamentals

After the NFP announcement, the US dollar depreciated on confirmation of rumors of a slight slowdown in the economy in June and a small increase in unemployment rate in USA. This led banks to sell USD to get liquidity with the aim of buying USD massively and in large quantities for the upcoming news next week. They plan to keep USD high as they prepare for the upcoming election so the DXY will remain in an uptrend with some small dips to the downside.

Technicals

RSI (4) : 60.32 ---- overbought area ~80

Stoch : 90.24 / 81.86 ---- Highly overbought levels

signal : sell after confirmation from lower timeframes

TP : 1.07 xx

Tip : If you want to travel and exchange EUR to USD it is advised to do it soon...USD will become more expensive from time to time..

06/19/2024

Some traders will rather be right than make money.

As traders we can forget that the market can remain irrational longer than we can remain solvent.

I was (and still am) fascinated by the markets and always wanted to find a reason why it moved.

Wanted to find the reason why XYZ stock went up. Or why EURUSD went down etc.

And I wanted it to be the right reason.

I was captivated by fundamentals, PE ratios, market theory, news catalysts… you name it.

However, I quickly realized that if I wanted to be right, I should have a discussion with my neighbor's dog... 😄
.. and I learned that if I wanted to stay in the game long term, my predictions and need to be right didn’t mean anything.

Predictions are fine. But what I found was that the price action of the market is more important.

I can have a prediction about where the market will go. But today I will never trade without price action confirming my prediction.

Trading based on my prediction alone will just make my trading journey way shorter than what I want.

So today I’ll leave the predictions and hindsight explanations to the experts on TV.

The simple fact is that markets don’t always make sense. And that’s fine. I learned to accept that.

The unexpected will occur. And I don’t need to be right.

Because I live to play another day.

Happy trading 🙂

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