JMC Wealth

06/23/2026

Treasury yields have risen as bond prices have fallen, reflecting renewed attention to inflation, interest rates, and investor sentiment.

Treasurys are U.S. government bonds, and their yields often move based on expectations for inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve policy.

When inflation remains elevated, investors may expect interest rates to stay higher for longer. That can make existing bonds less attractive, pushing prices down and yields up.

Higher Treasury yields can also affect other parts of the economy. The 10-year Treasury, for example, is closely tied to mortgage rates, which can influence homebuyers' borrowing costs.

Rising yields may also affect corporate borrowing, stock valuations, and the broader cost of capital.

While higher yields can signal concern, they can also reflect a market adjusting to new economic data. For consumers and businesses, the key takeaway is that bond market movement can ripple into borrowing costs and financial decisions over time.


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U.S. government bonds are sagging as investors fret that hotter inflation will keep interest rate cuts on hold.

06/19/2026

Markets don't take vacations. But your strategy is built for the bumps.

06/11/2026

Federal Reserve independence is receiving renewed attention as questions around political pressure and monetary policy continue to surface.

In recent remarks, former Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the central bank as facing a political “stress test,” emphasizing the importance of keeping monetary policy decisions insulated from short-term political influence.

At the center of the discussion is the idea that public trust matters. When households, businesses, and markets believe the Fed is making decisions based on economic conditions, that credibility can support confidence in the broader financial system.

The concern is that political pressure could push policymakers toward short-term decisions that may not align with long-term price stability.

History has shown that inflation can become harder to manage when interest rate decisions are delayed or influenced by outside pressure.

For the economy, the broader issue is not just who leads the Fed — it is whether the institution can maintain credibility while balancing inflation, employment, and financial stability.

The Supreme Court is expected to rule within weeks on Trump's attempted removal of a Fed governor.

06/05/2026

The Federal Reserve’s new chair is stepping into the role during a complicated moment for monetary policy.

Inflation has remained above the central bank’s 2% target, with recent price increases driven in part by higher energy costs. Some economists expect the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge to show continued pressure in upcoming data.

That creates a difficult balancing act. Holding rates steady may help address inflation, while lower rates could support borrowing and economic growth.

The labor market also remains an important part of the equation. Steady employment conditions may give policymakers more flexibility, but persistent inflation could limit the case for rate cuts.

The new chair has also signaled interest in reshaping how the Fed operates and communicates with markets.

For households and businesses, the key takeaway is that inflation, interest rates, and Fed communication can all influence borrowing costs, savings yields, mortgage rates, and broader economic confidence.

Warsh is taking over as Fed chair as the U.S. faces the hottest inflation in years, impeding the interest rate cuts that President Trump has demanded.

06/04/2026

Medicare supplemental insurance costs are rising, with many consumers seeing noticeable increases in recent months.

Some policyholders experienced significant jumps — including reports of increases as high as 45% for certain plans, while more typical adjustments are now landing in the double digits.

These policies help cover out-of-pocket costs not included in traditional Medicare, such as deductibles and copayments. Without supplemental coverage, there is generally no cap on annual healthcare expenses.

A range of factors are contributing to higher premiums, including increased use of medical services, rising healthcare costs, and demographic shifts.

At the same time, options for switching plans can be limited by timing, location, and health status, making it more challenging for some individuals to adjust coverage.

These trends highlight how healthcare costs and coverage choices can evolve over time, especially for those approaching or already in retirement.

Millions of people rely on the supplemental insurance to offset the deductibles, copayments, and other costs faced by enrollees in the traditional Medicare program.

06/01/2026

The timeline for normal shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains an important focus for global markets.

Recent prediction market activity suggests uncertainty around how quickly traffic through the strait could return to typical levels, even if broader diplomatic progress continues.

The Strait of Hormuz is a key route for global energy shipments, so changes in shipping activity can affect oil markets, fuel prices, transportation costs, and broader inflation trends.

Traders recently placed a 38% probability on traffic returning to normal by July 1, with higher odds for a later timeline.

While these numbers can change quickly, they offer a snapshot of how markets are weighing geopolitical risk, energy supply, and timing.

For households and businesses, the broader takeaway is that global shipping routes can significantly affect everyday costs, especially when energy markets are already under pressure.

Despite reports Iran could return the passageway to normal traffic flows within a month of a peace deal, Kalshi traders thought that was unlikely.

05/27/2026

Federal Reserve officials appear increasingly focused on how persistent inflation could shape future interest rate decisions.

Minutes from the most recent Fed meeting show that many officials supported keeping rates steady, while also noting that higher rates could become appropriate if inflation remains above the central bank’s 2% target.

The meeting also reflected a notable level of disagreement. The committee voted to hold its benchmark rate at 3.5% to 3.75%, but four members dissented — the highest number of dissents since 1992.

A key issue was whether the Fed’s statement should continue to suggest that a rate cut remained the more likely next move. Several officials preferred more flexible language, given ongoing inflation pressures.

For households and businesses, these discussions matter because interest rate decisions can influence borrowing costs, savings yields, mortgage rates, credit card rates, and broader economic conditions.

A majority of officials anticipated that interest rate increases would be necessary if the Iran war continued to aggravate inflation.

05/21/2026

One of the biggest adjustments in retirement?

Transitioning from earning a paycheck to creating one.

Your first year of retirement often comes with new financial decisions around income withdrawals, Social Security timing, healthcare costs, taxes, and spending habits. Having a strategy in place can help create confidence during this major life shift.

If retirement is on your horizon — or already here — this is worth the read:

https://ow.ly/EkoP50Z0Vvy

05/18/2026

The Senate has confirmed a new Federal Reserve chair, marking a leadership change at the central bank during a closely watched period for monetary policy.

The confirmation vote was 54-45, making it one of the closest votes for a Fed chair in the modern era.

The transition comes as policymakers continue to weigh inflation, interest rates, labor market conditions, and broader economic uncertainty.

The new chair previously served on the Federal Reserve Board and has been involved in monetary policy discussions during periods of significant economic stress.

As leadership changes, markets and policymakers will continue watching how the Fed approaches its dual mandate: supporting maximum employment while seeking price stability.

In the most divisive vote ever for a Fed chair, Warsh, 56, won confirmation to take over for Jerome Powell.

05/14/2026

Private employers added 109,000 jobs in April, up from the prior month and signaling continued stability in the labor market.

Job growth was concentrated in a few key areas. Education and health services led the gains, adding 61,000 jobs, while trade, transportation, and utilities added 25,000. Construction also continued to contribute, with 10,000 new jobs.

Even with the stronger headline number, hiring remains uneven across sectors. Some areas are still adding workers, while others are showing slower momentum or modest declines.

Wage growth also continued, with pay for workers staying in their roles rising 4.4% annually.

Overall, the latest data suggests a labor market that remains steady, but selective—with employers continuing to hire, though not across every part of the economy.

The report provided more evidence of a stable labor market and less incentive for the Fed to lower interest rates.