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The median forecast hit 4.9%, according to a survey of economists, after Powell said they would need to raise rates high...
12/14/2022

The median forecast hit 4.9%, according to a survey of economists, after Powell said they would need to raise rates higher than previously expected. This means that the FOMC will reduce the rate hike to 25 basis points in February and March next year, and then pause the tightening policy. Judging from the pricing of the current interest rate futures market, investors' views are also consistent.

FOMC will hold a monetary policy meeting on December 13-14 local time. At the meeting, the Federal Reserve slowed its ag...
12/14/2022

FOMC will hold a monetary policy meeting on December 13-14 local time. At the meeting, the Federal Reserve slowed its aggressive tightening policy, while signaling that interest rates will eventually be higher than previously expected, which seems to be a foregone conclusion. But the tricky part for Chairman Powell will be convincing investors that this isn't a signal of a dovish turn and that officials won't end their anti-inflation campaign prematurely. Currently, U.S. inflation remains three times above the 2% target.

A research report from Standard Chartered Bank lists 7 major black swan events in 20231. The Federal Reserve has made a ...
12/12/2022

A research report from Standard Chartered Bank lists 7 major black swan events in 2023
1. The Federal Reserve has made a major shift in monetary policy, from tightening to loosening;
2. The price of oil may fall to $40, another 50% drop from the current base;
3. The price of Bitcoin may fall by another 70% to $5,000;
4. The euro rose sharply because the conflict between Russia and Ukraine was resolved;
5. The Nasdaq index plummeted another 50%, and the U.S. stock market was in the same state as when the Internet bubble reappeared;

According to the hexagram of the US stock market in 2022, between 2022.12.7-2023.1.7 in the Chinese calendar, the US sto...
12/12/2022

According to the hexagram of the US stock market in 2022, between 2022.12.7-2023.1.7 in the Chinese calendar, the US stock market will usher in a sharp drop, and the Dow Jones index will fall from the current 33,596 points to 29,000 points, or even fall below this point .The corresponding S&P 500 index and Nasdaq index will all fall at the same time.

Peripheral gold prices rose, benefiting from a fall in the US dollar. Markets will focus on U.S. inflation data and the ...
12/09/2022

Peripheral gold prices rose, benefiting from a fall in the US dollar. Markets will focus on U.S. inflation data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting next week. Gold futures for February delivery in New York closed at $1,801.5 an ounce, up $3.5, or 0.19%. Spot gold is around $1788.

New York stocks rose. The number of new jobless aid claims in the United States increased by 4,000 last week, and invest...
12/09/2022

New York stocks rose. The number of new jobless aid claims in the United States increased by 4,000 last week, and investors expect the Federal Reserve to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 33,781 points, up 183 points, or 0.55%. The Nasdaq index reported 11082 points, up 123 points, or 1.13%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index was at 3963 points, up 29 points, or 0.75%.

[US stock ETF trading strategy on December 7]The U.S. dollar index is oversold and rebounding. The short-term is just em...
12/07/2022

[US stock ETF trading strategy on December 7]
The U.S. dollar index is oversold and rebounding. The short-term is just emotional fluctuations. Before the medium-term short-term trend does not change, maintain the idea of ​​short-selling on rallies, and wait for the direction to choose after the Fed's interest rate decision next week...

The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC ) fell 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 200 points, or 0.6%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq ...
12/05/2022

The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC ) fell 0.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 200 points, or 0.6%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was an outlier -- closing up 0.1%. Elsewhere in the market, the dollar index retreated as the greenback posted its worst monthly performance in more than a decade and U.S. Treasury yields held steady after sharp losses.

Professionals are exceptionally cautious, with most expecting the S&P to end 2023 below its current level.These strategi...
12/05/2022

Professionals are exceptionally cautious, with most expecting the S&P to end 2023 below its current level.

These strategists' forecasts come with hundreds of pages of research and analysis. The overall theme: Most Wall Street firms expect the U.S. economy to slip into a recession sometime in 2023. Many see more room for downward revisions to 2023 earnings forecasts, and some believe these downward revisions mean a lot of stock market volatility in early 2023. At the same time, many also expect a clear decline in inflation, which would give the Fed reason to ease its hawkish monetary policy stance. At least some strategists believe the Fed could even resume cutting rates if economic conditions deteriorate significantly.

Wall Street stocks fell first and then recovered, the three major indexes closed flat receive. U.S. job growth beats for...
12/03/2022

Wall Street stocks fell first and then recovered, the three major indexes closed flat receive. U.S. job growth beats forecasts, wages rise. The market believes that the Fed will continue to tighten monetary policy Policy. Summing up the week, the three major indexes all rose！

The U.S. November non-farm payrolls data was hot. As Wall Street worried that the Federal Reserve would consider a hawki...
12/03/2022

The U.S. November non-farm payrolls data was hot. As Wall Street worried that the Federal Reserve would consider a hawkish interest rate hike, the U.S. stock index opened lower on Friday (2nd) and then fluctuated. As the Fed’s "megaphone" reiterated that it is expected to raise interest rates by 2 yards in December , bargain hunters settled in, U.S. stocks narrowed their losses in late trading, the Dow Jones closed in red at 34.87 points, the S&P and the Nasdaq closed slightly lower, and the FX fell by more than 1%.

After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the pace of interest rate hikes may be slowed in Dec...
12/02/2022

After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the pace of interest rate hikes may be slowed in December as soon as possible, New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams (John Williams) did not comment on the rate hike in December on Thursday, but emphasized that the Fed Further rate hikes are needed to reduce excessive price pressures.

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