10/14/2026
📉 Two People Retire With $1,000,000. Who Ends Up With More Money?
Let's look at a completely hypothetical example.
Imagine two people retiring at age 65.
Both have:
💰 $1,000,000 invested
🏖️ $50,000 in annual withdrawals from the account
📈 The exact same five annual investment returns
There's just ONE difference…
The ORDER in which those returns happen.
🔵 RETIREE A: THE MARKET STARTS STRONG
Their first five annual returns are:
Year 1: +20%
Year 2: +15%
Year 3: +10%
Year 4: -5%
Year 5: -10%
After withdrawing $50,000 at the end of each year, their remaining investment balance is approximately:
💰 $1,059,036
🟢 RETIREE B: THE MARKET STARTS POORLY
Their first five annual returns are:
Year 1: -10%
Year 2: -5%
Year 3: +10%
Year 4: +15%
Year 5: +20%
After making the EXACT same $50,000 annual withdrawals, their remaining investment balance is approximately:
💰 $970,885
WAIT A MINUTE… 🤯
Both retirees:
✅ Started with $1,000,000
✅ Withdrew $250,000 over five years
✅ Experienced the exact same five investment returns
But after just FIVE YEARS…
Retiree A has $88,151 MORE than Retiree B!
And the only difference was the ORDER of their investment returns.
This is called SEQUENCE OF RETURNS RISK.
Here's why it matters…
When you're still working and contributing to retirement accounts, a market downturn can actually provide an opportunity to purchase investments at lower prices.
But when you're RETIRED and withdrawing money to pay your bills?
A significant market decline early in retirement can be much more damaging.
You're withdrawing money from an already reduced portfolio, leaving fewer dollars invested to participate in a potential recovery.
And here's the part I really want people to think about…
You could have a million dollars saved, earn the average investment returns you were expecting, and STILL experience a very different retirement than you planned.
That's why retirement planning isn't just about reaching a certain account balance.
It's about having a strategy for what happens AFTER you retire.
💰 How much can you sustainably withdraw?
📉 What happens if the market drops 20% during your first year?
🏦 Where will your retirement income come from?
🛡️ How can you manage the risk of selling investments during a downturn?
The biggest investment risk in retirement isn't always how much the market falls.
Sometimes it's WHEN the market falls.
And THAT is why a retirement income strategy can be just as important as the investments themselves. 📈
Disclaimer: Hypothetical example for educational purposes only. Assumes $1,000,000 initial investments, the stated annual returns, and $50,000 withdrawals at the end of each year after investment returns. The 6% figure is the arithmetic average of the five annual returns, not the compounded annual growth rate. Excludes taxes, fees, and inflation. Actual investment returns and outcomes will vary.