04/22/2022
So what does this mean: Well, let me tell you! It means...
Existing Home Sales, which measure closings on existing homes, showed that sales were down 2.7% in March at a 5.77M annualized pace. This likely measured activity in January and February, including some of the move higher in rates, but not all of it. On a year over year basis, sales are only down 4.5%, which is still quite strong considering higher rates, higher home prices, and tight inventory. And speaking of inventory, it did increase almost 12% from February to 950,000 homes for sale, which is down about 10% from last year. This is the normal inventory build that we discussed last month that occurs every year during this time. There is now a 2 Month’s supply of homes, up from 1.7 months, when 6 months is considered balance, speaking to the imbalance of supply and demand. Homes were only on the market for 17 days in March, down from 18. 87% of homes that sold were on the market for less than one month. This should continue to be supportive of home prices. The Median home price was reported at $357,300, which is up 15% year over year. This continues to get skewed by the mix of sales – sales on the lower end are down sharply, while sales above 500k are much higher. First Time Home Buyers have accounted for 30% of sales, which is a nice move higher from 28% in the previous report. Cash buyers increased from 25% to 28%, while investors purchased 18% of homes, down from 19%. Foreclosures and short sales account for less than 1% of all transactions.