09/09/2026
The Fed’s next move will get plenty of attention.
But if rates start moving higher again, the bigger story may be what happens after that first increase.
In four of the last five hiking cycles, the S&P 500 was higher a year after the first hike. The exception was the aggressive 2022–23 cycle, when rates climbed from 0.25% to 5.5%.
See why the pace of future rate hikes may matter just as much as the first move:
https://buff.ly/cNB6u67
Stocks were flat last week, but the S&P 500 continues to hold above its June peak. This level is a logical area of support. The 50-day moving average,