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Endurance Lending Group

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06/09/2026

6/9/26

10-year Treasury yields held steady near 4.54%, signaling that markets still anticipate
interest rates staying higher for longer.

Short-term rates have moved higher, with 2-year notes reaching their highest levels in over a year, suggesting investors increasingly expect the Fed to consider additional hikes despite political pressure to ease.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions showed signs of easing, as Israel and Iran agreed to halt attacks and President Trump signaled that broader peace talks are progressing.

Attention now shifts to CPI and PPI data, as stronger inflation readings could push the Fed to keep rates higher.

06/08/2026

6/8/26

There are no releases scheduled for today.

CPI and PPI will be the primary focus this week as investors digest the latest inflation data scheduled to release Wednesday and Thursday.

Iran has continued attacks on Israel as peace talks remain fragile amidst a volatile ceasefire.

Iran has threatened Israel that attacks will continue if Israel continues to target Lebanon.

Oil prices remain elevated as the conflict continues with prices now hovering around $91 a barrel.

The next Fed meeting is quickly approaching June 16-17th with new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh.

The Fed has held steady this year, but rising inflation could drive the Fed to raise rates before year end.

06/05/2026

6/5/26

The bond market came under pressure, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising seven basis points to 4.54% while the two-year climbed to 4.14% after a stronger-than-expected jobs report reinforced the case for tighter policy.

Nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000, beating forecasts, with upward revisions to prior months marking the strongest three-month stretch in over two years.

The unemployment rate held at 4.3% and average hourly earnings increased by 0.3%, pointing to continued labor market resilience.

Equities declined as investors priced in a higher likelihood of a Fed rate hike, with rate-sensitive sectors coming under pressure.

The data shifted focus back to inflation and policy risk.

06/04/2026

6/4/26

The bond market steadied with the 10-year Treasury yield down two basis points to 4.47%, as some investors appeared to move into safer assets amid renewed geopolitical tension.

While stocks came under pressure, bonds and oil found some support even as fighting in Lebanon continued, highlighting the uncertain outlook.

The standoff has kept markets focused on the risk that higher oil prices could push inflation back up.

The slight decrease in yields suggests investors are taking a more cautious stance and waiting for clearer direction, following a broader recent rise in yields.

Focus now turns to upcoming data including Friday’s employment report, alongside several Fed speakers, which could provide further insight into the rate outlook.

06/03/2026

6/3/26

The yield on 10-year Treasuries increased four basis points to 4.48%, reflecting pressure in bond markets amid rising oil prices and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.

Markets remain cautious after a fresh flare-up between the U.S. and Iran, in which Iranian missiles and drones targeted U.S. allies and were intercepted, prompting U.S. strikes on an Iranian drone command site.

In housing, Realtor.com’s May 2026 Housing Report shows that mortgage rates moved higher during the month, averaging about 6.53% by late May, up from earlier levels of 6.30%.

Median year over year listing prices fell 2.4%, while pending home sales continued to rise for a sixth consecutive month.

Despite rates being higher, buyer activity remains resilient.

Homes going under contract and overall pending sales activity are both higher compared to May 2025.

06/02/2026

6/2/26

Bond markets saw some relief with the 10-year Treasury yield falling three basis points to 4.43% and the dollar weakening as investors turned more cautious amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Conflicting signals around a potential Middle East peace deal have fueled demand for safer assets, helping push yields lower after recent selling pressure driven by expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.

Crude prices decreased 1.2%, pulling back from recent highs as traders weighed easing supply concerns against uncertain geopolitical developments.

Looking ahead, Wednesday will focus on ADP employment, ISM services, and the Fed’s Beige Book for further input on growth and rate expectations.

06/01/2026

6/1/26

On the geopolitical front, strikes were exchanged between Iran and the U.S. this weekend testing the ceasefire and the potential for a peace deal in the short run.

Oil prices have moved slightly higher again and are hovering near $90 a barrel currently.

Manufacturing data is on the charts this morning with S&P manufacturing and ISM manufacturing data being released at 9:45 a.m. and 10 a.m. ET.

Construction spending also releases at 10 a.m. ET.

The jobs market will be the focus this week with Job openings tomorrow, ADP employment on Wednesday, Initial jobless claims Thursday and the latest Unemployment report on Friday.

The jobs market has continued to show resiliency despite inflation moving higher in recent months.

05/31/2026

5/29/26

Bond markets were mostly flat in early trading, with the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield at 4.443%, slightly above opening levels of 4.437%.

Reports that Washington and Tehran agreed to a 60- day ceasefire framework eased oil prices and pushed yields modestly lower.

Meanwhile, PCE inflation data showed inflation remains a concern for the Fed, rising 3.8%. Initial jobless claims were near expectations at 215,000.

Today’s calendar is light, focused mainly on Fed speakers through the weekend.

Attention shifts next week to key labor data, including job openings, ADP employment, jobless claims, and Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls report, as the Fed balances steady employment against persistent inflation pressures.

Address

41000 Woodward Avenue Suite 350 East
Bloomfield Hills, MI
48304

Website

http://www.endurancelendinggroup.com/

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