Carl B Garcia Enrolled Agent LLC

Carl B Garcia Enrolled Agent LLC Contact information, map and directions, contact form, opening hours, services, ratings, photos, videos and announcements from Carl B Garcia Enrolled Agent LLC, Tax preparation service, 08008, Beach Haven, NJ.

Federally Licensed & Credentialed Tax Professional
Unlimited & Unrestricted Practice Rights (IRS & All States)
Individual, Business, Trust, Estates
Preparation, Complex Scenarios, Representation, Audits, Prior Years
Business Formation & Support Srvs

The golden years are not golden: Boomers are hoarding most of America’s wealth and power because they’re terrified of ou...
06/08/2026

The golden years are not golden: Boomers are hoarding most of America’s wealth and power because they’re terrified of outliving their money

Story by Nick Lichtenberg, Fortune
June 7, 2026

The Baby Boomers have most of the wealth and power in America, so why are they so angry when this gets pointed out?

In recent weeks, a collection of economic data and explanations of structural forces preventing important things like housing affordability, household formation and economic mobility have provoked many responses—some thoughtful, some angry, some even defensive, but increasingly urging me to look beyond the reliable generational framing.

“Your article is gross,” one wrote to me.

“There is no balance in the world we live in!” another said, adding, “a golf ball is a golf ball no matter how you putt it. So is the economy! Adapt!”

Another gave me a sense of the angst felt when broad macro strokes don’t capture the reality on the ground for every micro-case: ” You write like every boomer is sitting on a McMansion and a seven‑figure IRA,” one bereaved Boomer wrote to me. “A lot of us are one bad diagnosis away from losing everything.”

Still another wasn’t much of a hater at all, but wrote with wistfulness about what’s gone down. “Many boomers are poor, scared, and anxious about the life they have left,” they wrote. “They were led to believe that if they worked hard and climbed the corporate ladder you would eventually be able to be financially secure and retire at 65 and enjoy their ‘golden years.’ Many tried this approach but ran into misfortune along the way.” Either there was a layoff at 55 to 60 years old, unanticipated health issues, or others.

“Life happens. For many boomers, the golden years are not golden, and they don’t have much to look forward to. Their bodies are broken and they are still in debt. They are trapped in a life without a way out and their future does not look golden. Yes, they live longer, but for too many of them, not better and certainly not in a way they expected when they were younger.”

It speaks to the very real sense many Boomers have that things weren’t supposed to end up like this. The generation that rode cheap college, rising home prices, and the 401(k) revolution into late career was expected to bow out gracefully, freeing up houses and jobs for their kids and grandkids. Instead, millions are hanging on—staying in big homes they can’t quite afford to leave and in jobs they can’t quite afford to quit—because they’re confronting a grim reality: in financial terms, they are broke and living too long.

A generation that can’t afford to retire

Roughly 30 million “peak boomers” are turning 65 between 2024 and 2030. Two‑thirds of them will not be financially prepared to maintain their pre‑retirement lifestyles, according to an analysis by ALI Retirement Income Institute economist Jason Fichtner and colleagues that modeled their assets, expected lifespans, and spending needs. More than half have $250,000 or less in retirement savings—before health shocks, market downturns, or long‑term care—which means they will lean heavily on Social Security and work income to get by.

Vanguard’s research on “young baby boomers” reaches a similar conclusion from a different direction. Only about 40% of workers in their early sixties are on track to sustain their standard of living in retirement; the typical near‑retiree faces about a 24% income gap, roughly $9,000 a year. Other surveys find that nearly half of boomers have less than $100,000 saved and about a quarter have nothing set aside at all, despite being at or near traditional retirement ages. For a generation that could easily spend 20 to 30 years in retirement, the math does not pencil out.

Dan, a 71-year-old who retired in 2021, wrote to me of his “head-down and plow-in-the-dirt mentality,” claiming he never missed a day of work in 18 years at a mechanic shop (third shift.) But in the past two or three decades, “we all (not just Baby Boomers) saw our spendable income shrink. How far is it going to shrink? No one knows. Not only that, many of our benefits have been substantially reduced or completely taken away.”

Although it’s true that he has acquired what look like “substantial bank accounts,” he worries about assisted living costing $10,000 a month. “No Baby Boomer wants to be in that situation but it is always in the back of our minds.” The only recourse is to keep working or to hang onto what they worked for — there is no choice about passing on wealth to the next generation when the economy feels precarious.

Dan gets at the core mismatch. A Stanford Center on Longevity analysis notes that a healthy 60‑year‑old woman today has more than a 50% chance of living to 90 and roughly a one‑in‑three chance of reaching 95; men aren’t far behind. Yet surveys as far back as the mid‑2010s found that only about 30% of workers aged 55 and older had accumulated $250,000 or more in retirement savings, even as actuaries were projecting 25‑ to 30‑year retirements as increasingly common.

Even if Boomers planned well for retirement, then, how could they plan for an explosion in lifespan and cost-of-living crisis? A widely cited survey from the Indexed Annuity Leadership Council found that 60% of boomers thought they needed less than $1 million to retire comfortably, and large shares underestimated their likely lifespan and overestimated their Social Security benefits. That combination—optimism about benefits, pessimism about how long they would live—helped produce a cohort that, on paper, owns more wealth than any in history, but in practice includes tens of millions of people who will struggle to finance the last third of their lives.

Stuck in big houses

The housing market is where this financial anxiety becomes concrete. Boomers and older Gen Xers own a disproportionate share of the nation’s three‑bedroom‑plus homes, including many in desirable urban and suburban neighborhoods. They bought those houses when prices were lower and interest rates were modest; many now hold mortgages with rates below 4% or own their homes outright.The reason boomers don’t move isn’t just sentiment—most boomer homeowners (about 54%) have no mortgage at all, so there’s little financial pressure to sell. A Redfin analysis of 2024 Census data found that empty-nest baby boomers (one- to two-adult households) own 28% of U.S. homes with three or more bedrooms, compared with 16% for millennial households with kids.

Housing economists talk about a “mortgage lock‑in” effect: when you have a low fixed rate and a large unrealized gain, selling and buying even a smaller place can raise monthly costs once you factor in today’s higher rates, taxes, and fees. That’s exactly what many older homeowners describe. A couple in Phoenix wrote that they “cannot afford to sell our home and move,” noting that one‑bedroom apartments now rent for more than their mortgage and that senior living facilities are out of reach. “We are not rich, just comfortable at the moment,” they said—emphasis on “at the moment.”

This attitude extends down to generations, based on a darkly funny exchange I got with a certain Gen Xer. “I do live in a 6400-sq-ft house with a $3 million view that’s paid off. I just want to say that if my continued existence can possibly make any younger people more miserable, broke, and whiny, then it’s all worth it. Sincerely, a Gen X who worked hard and has no problem with the younger generation paying high rent for crappy apartments while they build zero equity. Did you hear that sound? It was my heart breaking for the younger generation(s) (not).”

When I followed up to ask why younger generations seem whiny, I got a nice picture of that $3 million view, and the explanation, “I have no idea, but anytime I go on social media young people are complaining about their inability to buy a house or a car. I worked seven days a week most of my life for what I have; no one ever heard a single complaint out of me and they never will. And for the record, I am a hard-core liberal Democrat and always have been.”

An unequal pig in the python

None of this is evenly distributed. Wealth data show extreme inequality among older Americans: early work using the AHEAD survey found that households with someone 70 or older in the top tenth of the wealth distribution held around 2,500 times as much wealth as those in the bottom tenth, and more recent work finds that inequality has widened further since the late 1990s. Older Black and Latino households, renters, and those with chronic health conditions are far more likely to enter late life with low assets and high debt.

The letters reflect that divide. At one end is the anxious, under‑saved retiree doing everything possible to stretch limited assets. At the other is the California homeowner who bought for just over $1 million and now sits on a home worth more than $4 million—but worries that selling would trigger close to $1 million in combined federal and state taxes. In the middle is a broad group that describes itself as “fine, but not secure” and treats staying in place—physically and professionally—as the only rational option.

A system built for shorter lives

It is easy to frame this as a morality tale about selfish boomers strangling the economy they built by refusing to move or retire. The reality is more structural, and in some ways more damning. Over several decades, the U.S. shifted retirement risk from employers and the state onto individuals just as lifespans were lengthening and housing and healthcare costs were exploding. Defined‑benefit pensions gave way to 401(k)s; long‑term care remained largely uncovered; tax and housing policy rewarded holding onto appreciating property rather than making room.

Boomers largely followed the script they were given: work hard, buy a house, save in tax‑advantaged accounts, rely on Social Security to fill in the gaps. Many are now discovering in their late 60s and early 70s that the script did not account for a 90‑plus lifespan or for the cumulative effects of wage stagnation, market crashes, and runaway medical costs. Seen from the outside, they look like a wall of retirees hoarding houses and jobs; seen from the inside, they look like a generation quietly terrified of running out of money before they run out of years. To then be blamed for this structural issue, instead of recognizing its reality, seems a bridge too far.

A 69-year-old real-estate consultant wrote to me to say that this reporting echoes conversations he often has with his two millennial children and five millennial nieces and nephews. “I have systematically and factually compared my affordability when I bought my first house with them,” he wrote. “In every analysis, the cost of homes were less, interest rates were much higher, the quality of the homes and the areas I could afford were not close to what they want.” Most millennials, he argues, are unwilling to do what needs to be done to get a house,” whether that’s save more to buy a house in a nicer neighborhood or pursue a house somewhere less fashionable. Overall, the added, this is “not a generational issue (though that’s is one the influences), but one of economics. It’s the sheer number of Boomers that creates the problem you describe, not the Boomers themselves.”

Baby Boomers face a money crunch in old age — even if they have a lot of money.
© Getty Images

U.S. mortgage rates are staying high – and the Federal Reserve can do little about itJun 6, 2026 4:23 PM EDTPBS News
06/07/2026

U.S. mortgage rates are staying high – and the Federal Reserve can do little about it

Jun 6, 2026 4:23 PM EDT
PBS News

Investors’ inflation expectations, much more than the central bank, are among the factors that affect the cost of home loans.

The hiring recession is over — but landing a new job is much harder than it looksThe May jobs report blew past forecasts...
06/07/2026

The hiring recession is over — but landing a new job is much harder than it looks

The May jobs report blew past forecasts. Why is it taking six months to find a new job?

By Andrew Keshner, MarketWatch
June 5, 2026 at 4:53 p.m. ET

Deep inside a strong jobs report for May, there was a set of numbers moving the wrong way: It’s taking out-of-work job seekers longer to find work — in some cases, much longer.

To be sure, experts say there’s a lot to cheer about in the report. It showed the U.S. economy added 172,000 jobs last month, blowing out the forecasts. The report may have smoothed over some frayed nerves about artificial intelligence coming for jobs.

But at the same time, the average length of unemployment climbed to 26 weeks, up from 24.4 weeks in April. That’s half a year of looking for work, tweaking resumes, applying, networking and then repeating the process.

The median length of unemployment showed nearly three months on the job hunt — 11.6 weeks in May, an increase when compared to April as well as a year ago.

The strong top-line numbers “obscure the same underlying story we’ve been telling for months: This is still a low-hire, low-fire market, and the calm on the surface reflects stillness underneath, rather than genuine momentum,” said Laura Ullrich, Indeed’s director of economic research.

More than one-quarter of unemployed workers have been out of work for over half a year, Ullrich said. That’s up from 20% a year ago, and above prepandemic levels. “The situation for many unemployed job seekers is grim, even in the midst of impressive monthly job gains,” she said.

This low-hire, low-fire dynamic and lengthy job hunts have spooked many workers, who are now opting to cling to their jobs instead of making a jump. Even with the solid May report, labor-market experts said they still see a cautious workforce.

Glassdoor’s measure of worker confidence hit a record low in May, said Daniel Zhao, the job site’s chief economist. People remain worried about their job security, and quit rates are less than expected for this level of unemployment.

There was an increase in people leaving their jobs voluntarily, rather than being laid off, in May — but experts cautioned against reading too much into that uptick

“We’re starting to see early signs of movement, but it’s too soon to call it a meaningful shift away from job hugging,” said Ger Doyle, ManpowerGroup’s regional president for North America.

This type of “job hugging” can be a problem for a person’s pay and their long-term career arc. Job changers were paid 6.5% more year over year in May, while job stayers saw a 4.4% pay bump, according to ADP.

Right now, prices are going up while wages gains are struggling to keep pace.

“Honestly, it looks like the hiring recession is over,” Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, said on a social-media post. Last year, the U.S. economy was adding 10,000 jobs a month on average, she noted. This year, it’s been 114,000 new jobs per month — and 188,000 on average in the past three months.

“Almost every industry is hiring again except tech and finance. There are a lot of encouraging signs for the labor market heading into summer. (Unfortunately, inflation is a lot worse),” Long wrote.

So there’s been a bump in hiring — and not just for healthcare jobs — yet it’s taking longer for unemployed people to find work. What gives?

Doyle explained the disconnect by noting that employers are taking more time to make hiring decisions.

“Even when workers are ready to move, the path into a new job is simply less immediate than it used to be,” he said. “Workers may be more willing to move, but the labor market still isn’t making it easy to land somewhere new.”

Doyle said the ManpowerGroup’s own data show increased hiring in sales, operations, finance and service roles. In white-collar work, AI-related skills will also help a person’s chances. Meanwhile, jobs in security are a “blue-collar standout,” he added.

One way to find work faster could be seeking out jobs that require five days a week in the office, career experts say. That may be particularly true for younger workers just coming out of college: The rise of remote work is a big reason why younger workers have faced a tough job market, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

It’s still rough out there for many job seekers.
Photo: Getty Images

US oil exports surge, draining domestic crude inventories toward rock bottomBy Shariq Khan and Arathy SomasekharReuters,...
06/07/2026

US oil exports surge, draining domestic crude inventories toward rock bottom

By Shariq Khan and Arathy Somasekhar
Reuters, June 5, 2026
7:01 AM EDT, Updated June 5, 2026

Summary

Some 400 oil storage tanks sprawled across Cushing, ​Oklahoma, are nearly empty, drained by refiners worldwide to plug a massive shortfall in global supplies caused by war in the Middle East.

Cushing is among the largest oil ‌storage hubs in the world. Oil levels in its tanks have fallen rapidly since the war began and Iran effectively closed tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Cushing inventories near operational minimum, risking supply disruptions and crude quality issues

US crude exports hit record highs as global supply disrupted by Iran war

Phillips 66 internal estimates show Cushing could hit operational minimum as soon as June end

At the prairie town that calls itself the pipeline crossroads of the world, some 400 oil storage tanks sprawled across Cushing, ​Oklahoma, are nearly empty, drained by refiners worldwide to plug a massive shortfall in global supplies caused by war in the Middle East.

June 2026 US Jobs ReportStaffing Industry AnalystsJune 5, 2026The May Employment Situation, released today by the US Bur...
06/06/2026

June 2026 US Jobs Report
Staffing Industry Analysts
June 5, 2026

The May Employment Situation, released today by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), indicates that total nonfarm employment rose by +172,000 in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, while temporary help services employment increased by +1,400 jobs. The temporary agency pe*******on rate was 1.57% in May, unchanged from a revised 1.57% in April. The national unemployment rate was effectively unchanged at 4.30% compared to an April rate of 4.34%.

Employment increased in most industry groups. The group with the largest gain was Leisure and hospitality, which added +70,000 jobs; followed by Government, which added +52,000 jobs; and Health and social assistance, which added +47,200 jobs. The greatest declines in employment were in the Financial Activities sector, which fell by -22,000; the Education sector, which fell by -6,600; and the Wholesale Trade sector, which declined by -3,700.

BLS Revisions:

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for March was revised up by 29,000, from +185,000 to +214,000, and the change for April was revised up by 64,000, from +115,000 to +179,000. With these revisions, employment in March and April combined is 93,000 higher than previously reported.

The change in temporary help services employment in March was revised up, from an increase of +5,300 to an increase of +8,000, and the previously estimated April increase of +7,900 was revised up to a gain of 8,700. On net, temporary help services employment in April was 3,500 higher than previously reported.

Geographic Data

The most recent state employment data reflect April. In April, employment gains were greatest in Florida (+40.5 thousand), North Carolina (+16 thousand), and Minnesota (+15.9 thousand), while employment growth was most rapid in New Mexico (+0.64%), Minnesota (+0.53%), and New Hampshire (+0.42%). Employment declined the most in New York (-10.6 thousand), California (-3.3 thousand), and Washington (-3.1 thousand), and declined the most rapidly in North Dakota (-0.42%), Vermont (-0.29%), and Delaware (-0.16%).

In Florida the sectors which added the most jobs were Other Services, which grew by +6.5 thousand jobs, and accounted for 16 percent of total net employment growth; and Health Care and Social Assistance, which added +6.3 thousand and accounted for 15.6 percent of net job growth. In North Carolina the sectors which added the most jobs were Leisure and Hospitality, which grew by +5.7 thousand jobs, and accounted for 35.6 percent of total net employment growth; and Professional and Business Services, which added +3.1 thousand and accounted for 19.4 percent of net job growth.

In April, job growth was uneven across the three largest state staffing markets, with total employment falling in California (-3,300), nearly flat in Texas (+300), and showing strong growth in Florida (+40,500). Below these headline figures, however, all three states saw increasing employment within the employment services industry, which contains but is slightly broader than staffing: California added +1,000 employment services jobs, Florida added +1,500, and Texas added +3,100. Overall, these state staffing markets appear to continue their recovery.

Job Openings

The latest job openings data indicate that the total number of unfilled job vacancies, nationwide, at the end of April increased by 10.6% from 6.9 million to the end of March, to 7.6 million. The greatest number of vacancies was in the Professional and business services sector, with 1.72 million openings, followed by Health care and social assistance with 1.47 million openings. The greatest increase in openings was in the Professional and business services sector (+668 thousand), and the most rapid growth was in the Professional and business services sector (+63.8%). The greatest decline in openings was in the Financial activities sector (-134 thousand), and the most rapid decline was in the Financial activities sector (-26.7%) sector.

SIA’s Perspective

The US economy added +172,000 jobs in May, and the initially estimated advance of +115,000 in April was revised up to +179,000. With current estimates of job gains break-even (gains needed to keep the unemployment rate steady) in the range of -10,000 to +30,000, reflecting low labor force growth, these figures are strong. Today’s initial estimate for May was nearly double the +89,000 anticipated by a Bloomberg survey of economists. Between the upward revisions, the strength of today’s initial estimate, and the trends of the last several months, anyone who was still questioning the labor market acceleration can put those concerns to rest. Notably, this strength comes despite headwinds from energy and commodity market disruptions. Even with inflation-adjusted earnings falling over the last few months, as a result of these disruptions, the US consumer remains resilient and the US consumer is who drives the US economy.

Looking to other recent data, large, rapid increases in job openings are good news for staffing demand, signaling either or both of renewed labor demand or intensifying recruiting difficulties. However, the extreme concentration of new job openings within the Professional and business services sector is eyebrow-raising. This could signal new demand for non-healthcare professional staffing segments, but as this sector includes staffing itself and staffing activities typically constitute a large portion of the sector’s total job openings, this surge may instead merely reflect the uptick in staffing activity, particularly as indicated by the SIA | Bullhorn Staffing Indicator for the high-volume industrial segment. Additionally, I suspect the April job openings figures will be revised downwards in future release. The increase was almost entirely driven by Professional and business services, and the month-on-month change in openings for this sector were nearly six standard deviations above their average month-on-month change (z-score of 5.88), something never seen before in the history of these data. This suggests that either something extraordinary occurred in April or that these initial estimates were unusually impacted by issues in data reporting by firms. The first closing response rate from firms within the Professional and business services sector was at its highest of the year in April, suggesting the spike is not reflective of data collection issues.

If the spike in Professional and business services sector job openings is not revised away nor reverses in subsequent releases, particularly as hiring rates and volumes remain relatively steady in the sector, that would suggest a sudden and extreme increase in recruiting difficulty such as from a severe mismatch between employers demands and available jobseekers.

Outside of the Professional and business services job openings spike, the JOLTS data show little change from established trends. They otherwise indicate the low-hire, low-fire environment is largely continuing, with overall labor turnover pulling back from March’s increase and similar to its February level in April.

Long-term unemployment is surging in the U.S.There are hidden costs for workers and the economyPublished Thu, Jun 4 2026...
06/05/2026

Long-term unemployment is surging in the U.S.
There are hidden costs for workers and the economy

Published Thu, Jun 4 2026 12:00 PM EDT
Updated Thu, Jun 4 2026 2:55 PM EDT
Alex Harring, CNBC Business

KEY POINTS

The number of Americans facing unemployment for at least 27 weeks has climbed above 1.8 million on average this year.

Long-term unemployment can have ramifications on financial, emotional and family health that linger even after they reenter the workforce.

Long-term unemployment can have ramifications on financial, emotional and family health that linger even after reentry into the workforce.

America’s Social Security trust fund is disappearingLegislators have just six years to fix thingsThe Economist Jun 2nd 2...
06/04/2026

America’s Social Security trust fund is disappearing

Legislators have just six years to fix things
The Economist
Jun 2nd 2026, NEW YORK

AMERICA’S SOCIAL Security trust fund for the country’s elderly citizens is now more than old enough to be drawing a pension itself. When the programme launched in 1940, its future must have seemed assured. Lots of money went in and little came out: for each retired person drawing benefits, more than 150 workers were contributing to the fund, which invested in Treasury securities.

Today, after years of demographic transformation—lower birth rates bringing fewer workers to the labour force, and longer lifespans for the fortunate recipients—the ratio of workers to recipients is less than three to one. In 2017 the reserves held in the trust fund peaked at $2.8trn. Since then, the fund’s size has dropped by $400bn, with more money leaving it in payments to retirees than has entered it in the form of contributions. Outflows are accelerating, and some time around the end of the next presidential term, in late 2032 or early 2033, the fund will run dry.

Washington has a little more than six years to find a remedy, which means that senators elected in November may still be serving their term when the fund runs out. If nothing is done, the immediate consequences for pensioners will be dire. Payments will drop by around 23%, and will slide further in the following decades. The gap between the fund’s revenue and payments last year is estimated to have been around $209bn, about 0.7% of GDP, a gap which would have to be covered by borrowing. The system has been in a similar position before, but that was then.

Big amendments to Social Security have been secured in different political contexts: in 1965 Lyndon Johnson harnessed a supermajority in both houses of Congress to ram through changes that expanded the programme. He created America’s federal health-insurance schemes at the same time. In 1983, when the fund was months away from depletion, Democrats and Republicans inked an agreement that steadily increased the retirement age from 65 to 67 and broadened the tax base.

The changes required need not be drastic if they are made soon. Research published last year by Wendell Primus and Tara Watson of the Brookings Institution and Jack Smalligan of the Urban Institute suggests a series of fixes. They would raise payroll taxes fractionally, from 12.4% to 12.6%, and add some workers in local and state governments who do not currently pay into Social Security. At the same time, they suggest increasing retirement ages for better-paid workers from 67 to 70 and taxing their benefits more.

But getting the policy right is not the problem. The politics of Social Security and partisanship are both far more thorny than they once were. “A bipartisan group of people could pencil it out and we’d have a reform done, but that’s completely different to the political calculus,” says Daniel Bunn, president of the Tax Foundation, a fiscal think-tank.

Imagining a repeat of the aisle-crossing deal that fixed the system in 1983 is now extremely hard. Based on data from Voteview, a research project cataloguing every American congressional vote for almost the past century and a half, legislative polarisation has never been as high as it is today. What’s more, President Donald Trump has shifted the Republican Party’s position on Social Security, an area where the Democrats have tended to command more public trust. During the 2024 presidential campaign all discussion of reform to the system was avoided, and Mr Trump’s platform promised no cuts and no increases to the retirement age.

It is not just Washington inertia that makes reforms tough. In polling conducted by YouGov for The Economist, 71% of respondents believe Social Security spending should be increased, more than for any other category of government spending. In the same poll, 45% say it should be increased a lot. The proportion who wish it to be reduced is just 5%, slightly less than the share of Americans who believe that covid-19 vaccinations were used to microchip the population.

A small clutch of politicians have more inventive proposals. Senators Tim Kaine, a Democrat, and Bill Cassidy, a Republican, want the federal government to borrow a huge sum, $1.5trn, to invest in risky assets like stocks. The proposal meets one of the long-held criticisms of the fund: that it has been much too conservative. Given its long-term liabilities, they argue, the fund could have taken far greater risk and reaped greater returns.

But the proposal offers nothing to improve the finances of Social Security in the short, medium or even quite long term: Mr Cassidy and Mr Kaine propose that the new $1.5trn investment compound and grow in size over 75 years, after which its returns can offset the borrowing needed to keep Social Security running in the interim. The Centre for Retirement Research at Boston College estimates that would require the government to borrow $25trn.

America’s public spending on old-age welfare, at 7.3% of GDP, is below the average in the rich world, and far lower than the double-digit figures in many European countries. But the American budget deficit is unusually large by rich-world standards, at almost 7% of GDP in 2025, compared with a little more than 2% among the other advanced economies.

Security theatre

Some analysts are less worried about the exhaustion of the account. Not only has the regime been rescued before, but in some ways it is an accounting trick. Had the federal government decided to finance Social Security payments from general taxation in 1940, rather than hypothecating American payroll taxes for the purpose, the government might have run smaller budget deficits in the past (when the trust fund was growing) and will run larger ones in the future (after its depletion). The net effect, they argue, is basically a wash.

There is some truth to the fact that the fund is a book-keeping oddity: the trust is money the government owes to itself. But if the fund is an accounting fiction, it is nevertheless a legally binding one. When the fund is spent, payments will fall automatically. The politicians who control Congress between now and then will determine its future generosity, funding model and fiscal sustainability.

The existence of the trust, and the hypothecated taxes which pay for it, provide some fiscal discipline. A direct connection between taxes paid by today’s workers and benefits received by today’s pensioners helps to assure some element of intergenerational balance, so endless liabilities are not passed down to younger generations. But acting early to tackle well-known problems before they reach a crisis moment is not how Washington works. In the absence of that, expect yet more borrowing.

Address

08008
Beach Haven, NJ
08008

Alerts

Be the first to know and let us send you an email when Carl B Garcia Enrolled Agent LLC posts news and promotions. Your email address will not be used for any other purpose, and you can unsubscribe at any time.

Contact The Business

Send a message to Carl B Garcia Enrolled Agent LLC:

Share