06/11/2026
Inflation Resurfaces, Fixed Income Perspectives – June 2026
For at least the next several months, inflation will likely remain the key driver of both the direction of interest rates and the shape of the Treasury yield curve. A sustainable resolution to the Iran conflict would likely bring down inflation and return bond yields to their previous levels. In that scenario, the yield curve would likely revert to its prior steepening trend. Conversely, a prolonged stalemate or escalation in hostilities may continue to drive up energy costs and put additional upward pressure on inflation and bond yields. Under those conditions, further curve flattening would be expected. See the data…https://www.equitycompass.com/content/Insights/content/demasi_fixed_income_perspectives_june2026.pdf