Arif Habib Commodities -Top Broker for Gold Forex Silver Cotton & Crude Oil

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Arif Habib Commodities -Top Broker for Gold Forex Silver Cotton & Crude Oil Rayaan Commodities serves Pakistan's largest client base of GOLD Investments Starting from Rs50/- But transactions in Futures carry a high degree of risk. I. II.

Arif Habib Commodities provide a wide range of services to a substantial and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments and high-net-worth individuals. As an investment arm of Arif Habib Group founded in 1973, the firm is based in Karachi. Leaders in commodity market research, corporate advisory, corporate & retail investment management, business consul

ting and commodity brokerage services of PMEX, Arif Habib Commodities, with a professional team provides premier services for investors with round the clock market leading research and advisory services. Arif Habib Commodities focuses on various commodities markets from precious metals to tropical soft commodities. THIS DOCUMENT SHOULD BE READ BY EACH AND EVERY PROSPECTIVE

CLIENT BEFORE ENTERING INTO COMMODITY FUTURES TRADING AND

SHOULD BE READ IN CONJUNCTION WITH REGULATIONS OF THE

NATIONAL COMMODITY EXCHANGE LIMITED (“NCEL”). NCEL has not passed the merits of participating in this trading segment nor has NCEL

passed the adequacy or accuracy of this disclosure document. This brief statement does

not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of trading. In light of the risks,

you should undertake such transactions only if you understand the nature of the Futures

Contracts (and contractual relationships) into which you are entering and the extent of

your exposure to risk. Risk of loss in trading in Commodity Futures Contracts can be

substantial. You should carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light

of your experience, objectives, financial resources and other relevant circumstances. Futures trading thus require not only the necessary financial resources but also the

financial and emotional temperament. In case of any consequences or loss in the Futures

segment, the Client shall be solely responsible for such loss and the Exchange shall not

be responsible for the same and it will not be open for any Client to take the plea that no

adequate disclosure was made or he was not explained the full risk involved by the

Broker. The Client will be solely responsible for the consequences and no contract can be

rescinded on that account. RISKS INVOLVED IN TRADING IN FUTURES CONTRACTS

Effect of "Leverage" or "Gearing"

The amount of margin is small relative to the value of the Commodity Futures Contract

so the transactions are 'leveraged' or 'geared'. Commodity Futures trading, which is conducted with a relatively small amount of

margin, provides the possibility of great profit or loss in comparison with the principal

investment amount. You should therefore completely understand the following statements before actually

trading in Commodity Futures Contracts and also trade with caution while taking into

account one's circumstances, financial resources, etc. If the prices move against you, you

may lose a part of or the whole margin equivalent to the principal investment amount in a

relatively short period of time. Moreover, the loss may exceed the original margin

amount. Commodity Futures trading involves daily settlement of all positions. Every day

the open positions are marked to market based on the Settlement price. If the

settlement price has moved against you, you will be required to deposit the

amount of loss (notional) resulting from such movement. This margin will have to

be paid within a stipulated time frame, generally before commencement of trading

next day. If you fail to deposit mark to market losses and additional margin by the deadline

or if an outstanding debt occurs in your account, the Broker may, without any

further notice to the Client, liquidate a part of, or the whole position, in order to

bring the margin to the required level. In this case, you will be liable for any

losses incurred due to such closeouts. III. Under certain market conditions, an investor may find it difficult or impossible to

execute transactions. For example, this situation can occur due to factors such as

illiquidity i.e. when there are insufficient bids or offers or suspension of trading

due to price limit or circuit breakers etc. IV. In order to maintain market stability, the following steps may be adopted: changes

in the margin rate, increases in the cash margin rate or others. These new

measures may be applied to the existing open interests. In such conditions, you

will be required to put up additional margins or reduce your positions. V. You must ask your Broker to provide the full details of the Commodity Futures

Contracts you plan to trade i.e. the contract specifications and the associated

obligations and ensure that your Broker takes no positions without your express

written authorization if you deem it necessary. Risk-reducing orders or strategies

The placing of certain orders (e.g., "stop-loss" orders, or "stop-limit" orders), which are

intended to limit losses to certain amounts, may not be effective because market

conditions may make it impossible to execute such orders. Strategies using combinations

of positions, such as "spread" positions, may be as risky as taking simple "long" or

"short" positions. Suspension or restriction of trading and pricing relationships

Market conditions (e.g., illiquidity) and/or the operation of the rules of certain markets

(e.g., the suspension of trading in any contract or contact month because of price limits or

"circuit breakers") may increase the risk of loss due to inability to liquidate/offset

positions. Deposited cash and property

You should familiarize yourself with the protections accorded to the money or other

property you deposit particularly in the event of a firm insolvency or bankruptcy. The

extent to which you may recover your money or property may be governed by specific

legislation or local rules. In some jurisdictions, property that has been specifically

identifiable as your own will be pro-rated in the same manner as cash for purposes of

distribution in the event of a shortfall. In case of any dispute with the Broker, the same

shall be subject to arbitration as per the Regulations of the Exchange. Commission and other charges

Before you begin to trade, you should obtain a clear explanation of all commission, fees

and other charges for which you will be liable. These charges will affect your net profit

(if any) or increase your loss. Trading facilities

The Exchange offers electronic trading facilities, which are computer-based systems for

order routing, ex*****on, matching, registration or clearing of trades. As with all facilities

and systems, they are vulnerable to temporary disruption or failure. Your ability to

recover certain losses may be subject to limits on liability imposed by the system

provider, the market, the clearing house and/or Broker firms. Such limits may vary; you

should ask the firm with which you deal for details in this respect. This document does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects involved in

trading on a Futures market. The Client should therefore study Futures trading carefully

before becoming involved in it.

Research Report
03/09/2026

Research Report

03/09/2026
03/09/2026
03/09/2026

Rayaan Commodities
# # # Aaj ka Khulasa (Urdu Roman me – Clients ke liye asan):

**DXY 99.76 (3-week high) | 10Y Yield 4.81% | WTI $90.77**

- **Sona $4,348:** Mehfooz panah talab, $4300 support – **BUY on dip**
- **Chandi $66.33, Tanba $6.605:** Industrial demand mazboot – **BUY**
- **WTI $90.77:** America-Iran kashidgi – Tezi ka rujhan, **90.20-90.50 BUY**
- **Soybean $13.04 (+2.25%):** EPA + China buying se Dec 2023 high – **Strong BUY**
- **Index Futures:** Dow -1.06%, Nasdaq -1.31% – **SELL** – Yield pressure
- **Forex:** USD/CAD SELL (1.38427) – Oil mehenga CAD mazboot, USD/JPY 158.58 BUY on dip

**Top 5 Mawaqe:**
1. WTI BUY 90.20 SL 89 TP 93.50
2. Gold Buy 4320-40 SL 4280 TP 4420
3. Soybean BUY 12.95-13.05 TP 13.60
4. Copper BUY 6.55-6.58 TP 6.72
5. USD/CAD SELL 1.3860 TP 1.3680

> Ye report sirf maloomati maqasid ke liye hai, mali mashwara nahi.

03/09/2026

📊 RAYAAN COMMODITIES | ARIF HABIB GROUP
Daily Global Markets & PMEX Research Briefing
Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026 | Time: 03:50 UTC (08:50 PKT)
🌍 GLOBAL MARKET SUMMARY
• US Dollar Index (DXY): The greenback hovers near 99.40 (-0.15%), consolidating below multi-week highs as Treasury yields stabilize.
• US 10-Yr Yield: Anchored at 4.79%, maintaining an elevated platform on steady secondary supply and persistent inflation hedging.
• Federal Reserve: Restrictive monetary stance reinforced by policymakers, dampening expectations of aggressive near-term easing.
• Energy & Geopolitics: WTI holds firm above $86.00/bbl on OPEC+ supply discipline and heightened geopolitical risk.
• Risk Sentiment: Relief bids support major equity benchmarks, while bullion sustains strong physical backing.
📈 1. PRECIOUS & INDUSTRIAL METALS
Gold (GC)
• Price: $4,446.20 | Chg: +$31.60 | 5h Chg: +0.48%
• Range: High $4,452.80 / Low $4,410.20 | Open: $4,414.60
• Pivots: PP: 4,425.9 | R1: 4,441.5 | R2: 4,468.5 | S1: 4,398.9 | S2: 4,383.3
• Commentary: Bullion remains heavily supported above $4,400/oz by safe-haven accumulation and debt sustainability hedges. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: High
Silver (SI)
• Price: $66.16 | Chg: +$0.70 | 5h Chg: +0.62%
• Range: High $66.40 / Low $65.30 | Open: $65.46
• Pivots: PP: 65.72 | R1: 66.14 | R2: 66.82 | S1: 65.04 | S2: 64.62
• Commentary: Silver consolidates gains above $66.00/oz, bolstered by gold correlation and green electrification demand. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
Copper (HG)
• Price: $6.6100 | Chg: +$0.0040 | 5h Chg: +0.12%
• Range: High $6.6210 / Low $6.5980 | Open: $6.6060
• Pivots: PP: 6.6083 | R1: 6.6187 | R2: 6.6313 | S1: 6.5957 | S2: 6.5853
• Commentary: Red metal is boxed in a tight band around $6.61/lb amid steady grid infrastructure procurement. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Medium
Platinum (PL)
• Price: $1,762.00 | Chg: +$1.50 | 5h Chg: +0.09%
• Range: High $1,768.00 / Low $1,755.00 | Open: $1,760.50
• Pivots: PP: 1,761.7 | R1: 1,768.3 | R2: 1,774.7 | S1: 1,755.3 | S2: 1,748.7
• Commentary: Base support holds above $1,755/oz supported by industrial autocatalyst replacement. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
Palladium (PA)
• Price: $1,349.00 | Chg: -$4.50 | 5h Chg: -0.33%
• Range: High $1,365.00 / Low $1,342.00 | Open: $1,353.50
• Pivots: PP: 1,352.0 | R1: 1,362.0 | R2: 1,375.0 | S1: 1,339.0 | S2: 1,329.0
• Commentary: Softness persists under $1,360 resistance amid structural supply overhangs. Momentum is Bearish.
• Bias: SELL | Confidence: Medium
⚡ 2. ENERGY
Crude Oil WTI (CL)
• Price: $86.49 | Chg: +$0.34 | 5h Chg: +0.40%
• Range: High $87.10 / Low $85.90 | Open: $86.15
• Pivots: PP: 86.50 | R1: 87.10 | R2: 87.70 | S1: 85.90 | S2: 85.30
• Commentary: WTI retains strength above $86.00/bbl due to OPEC+ production discipline and persistent geopolitical risk premiums. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: High
Natural Gas (NG)
• Price: $2.930 | Chg: +$0.020 | 5h Chg: +0.68%
• Range: High $2.965 / Low $2.895 | Open: $2.910
• Pivots: PP: 2.923 | R1: 2.952 | R2: 2.993 | S1: 2.882 | S2: 2.853
• Commentary: Firm above $2.90 supported by steady LNG export flow and seasonal thermal consumption. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Low
🌾 3. AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
US Corn (ZC)
• Price: 541.80¢ | Chg: -3.20¢ | 5h Chg: -0.22%
• Range: High 546.50¢ / Low 540.20¢ | Open: 545.00¢
• Pivots: PP: 542.8 | R1: 545.5 | R2: 549.1 | S1: 539.2 | S2: 536.5
• Commentary: Rallies capped by harvest yield expectations; solid baseline support rests near 539¢. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Medium
US Soybeans (ZS)
• Price: 1,303.14¢ | Chg: +1.39¢ | 5h Chg: +0.11%
• Range: High 1,308.50¢ / Low 1,298.00¢ | Open: 1,301.75¢
• Pivots: PP: 1,303.2 | R1: 1,308.4 | R2: 1,313.7 | S1: 1,297.9 | S2: 1,292.7
• Commentary: Domestic crush volume anchors prices above 1,300¢ against South American competition. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Medium
US Wheat (ZW)
• Price: 774.30¢ | Chg: -0.45¢ | 5h Chg: -0.06%
• Range: High 778.00¢ / Low 771.50¢ | Open: 774.75¢
• Pivots: PP: 774.6 | R1: 777.7 | R2: 781.1 | S1: 771.2 | S2: 768.1
• Commentary: Wheat remains pinned below 778¢ amid abundant Black Sea export supplies. Momentum is Bearish.
• Bias: SELL | Confidence: Low
US Cotton #2 (CT)
• Price: 74.25¢ | Chg: +0.15¢ | 5h Chg: +0.20%
• Range: High 74.80¢ / Low 73.90¢ | Open: 74.10¢
• Pivots: PP: 74.32 | R1: 74.73 | R2: 75.22 | S1: 73.83 | S2: 73.42
• Commentary: Oscillating around 74.20¢ on routine textile mill spot buying. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Low
🏛️ 4. GLOBAL EQUITY INDEX FUTURES
Dow Jones Futures (YMU26)
• Price: 53,183.00 | Chg: +62.00 | 5h Chg: +0.12%
• Range: High 53,230.00 / Low 53,090.00 | Open: 53,121.00
• Pivots: PP: 53,167.7 | R1: 53,245.3 | R2: 53,307.7 | S1: 53,105.3 | S2: 53,027.7
• Commentary: Industrial constituents lead gains; holding above 53,168 favors 53,245 test. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQU26)
• Price: 29,179.50 | Chg: -6.75 | 5h Chg: -0.02%
• Range: High 29,235.00 / Low 29,120.00 | Open: 29,186.25
• Pivots: PP: 29,178.2 | R1: 29,236.3 | R2: 29,293.2 | S1: 29,121.3 | S2: 29,063.2
• Commentary: Consolidating around 29,180 as megacap semiconductors absorb rate yield resistance. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Medium
S&P 500 Futures (ESU26)
• Price: 7,678.50 | Chg: +2.00 | 5h Chg: +0.03%
• Range: High 7,688.00 / Low 7,665.00 | Open: 7,676.50
• Pivots: PP: 7,677.2 | R1: 7,689.3 | R2: 7,700.2 | S1: 7,666.3 | S2: 7,654.2
• Commentary: Positive bias while above 7,677 PP with targets set toward 7,690. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
💱 5. MAJOR FOREX PAIRS
EUR/USD
• Price: 1.1597 | Chg: +0.0012 | 5h Chg: +0.10%
• Pivots: PP: 1.1593 | R1: 1.1608 | S1: 1.1582
• Commentary: Mild recovery off 1.1578 base; bulls targeting 1.1610. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
GBP/USD
• Price: 1.3496 | Chg: +0.0013 | 5h Chg: +0.10%
• Pivots: PP: 1.3493 | R1: 1.3511 | S1: 1.3479
• Commentary: Testing 1.3500 threshold with resistance at 1.3520. Momentum is Neutral.
• Bias: NEUTRAL | Confidence: Medium
USD/JPY
• Price: 154.20 | Chg: -0.35 | 5h Chg: -0.23%
• Pivots: PP: 154.33 | R1: 154.62 | S1: 153.92
• Commentary: Rejection at 154.60 pivots favors pullback toward 153.90 support. Momentum is Bearish.
• Bias: SELL | Confidence: Medium
USD/CHF
• Price: 0.8845 | Chg: -0.0013 | 5h Chg: -0.15%
• Pivots: PP: 0.8852 | R1: 0.8865 | S1: 0.8831
• Commentary: Safe-haven Swiss flows press rate below 0.8850. Momentum is Bearish.
• Bias: SELL | Confidence: Medium
USD/CAD
• Price: 1.3610 | Chg: -0.0012 | 5h Chg: -0.09%
• Pivots: PP: 1.3616 | R1: 1.3634 | S1: 1.3592
• Commentary: Firmer crude supports CAD, keeping pair capped under 1.3620. Momentum is Bearish.
• Bias: SELL | Confidence: Medium
AUD/USD
• Price: 0.6715 | Chg: +0.0010 | 5h Chg: +0.15%
• Pivots: PP: 0.6714 | R1: 0.6729 | S1: 0.6699
• Commentary: Firming above 0.6714 pivot on improved global sentiment. Momentum is Bullish.
• Bias: BUY | Confidence: Medium
Cross Pairs Quick-View:
• EUR/GBP: 0.8593 | PP: 0.8593 | R1: 0.8605 | S1: 0.8582 | Bias: NEUTRAL
• EUR/JPY: 178.82 | PP: 178.94 | R1: 179.28 | S1: 178.48 | Bias: SELL
• GBP/JPY: 208.11 | PP: 208.25 | R1: 208.66 | S1: 207.71 | Bias: SELL
• AUD/JPY: 103.55 | PP: 103.63 | R1: 103.87 | S1: 103.32 | Bias: SELL
• EUR/CHF: 1.0257 | PP: 1.0260 | R1: 1.0272 | S1: 1.0245 | Bias: NEUTRAL
• JPY/GBP: 0.004805 | PP: 0.004802 | R1: 0.004815 | S1: 0.004793 | Bias: BUY
🎯 TOP 5 TRADING OPPORTUNITIES
1️⃣ GOLD (GC) - BUY
• Entry: $4,435 – $4,442
• SL: $4,418.00 | TP1: $4,465.00 | TP2: $4,485.00
• R:R: 1:2.0
• Rationale: Intraday continuation above 4,425 PP driven by ongoing sovereign debasement hedging.
2️⃣ CRUDE OIL WTI (CL) - BUY
• Entry: $86.20 – $86.50
• SL: $85.40 | TP1: $87.50 | TP2: $88.40
• R:R: 1:1.9
• Rationale: Tight physical balance and OPEC+ quota discipline defend $86.00 floor.
3️⃣ USD/JPY - SELL
• Entry: 154.40 – 154.60
• SL: 155.05 | TP1: 153.80 | TP2: 153.30
• R:R: 1:1.8
• Rationale: Intraday failure below 154.62 R1 amid Yen cross short-covering.
4️⃣ SILVER (SI) - BUY
• Entry: $65.80 – $66.10
• SL: $65.20 | TP1: $66.90 | TP2: $67.50
• R:R: 1:1.8
• Rationale: High-beta gold tracking with solid breakout volume above $65.70.
5️⃣ DOW FUTURES (YMU26) - BUY
• Entry: 53,130 – 53,170
• SL: 53,040 | TP1: 53,280 | TP2: 53,380
• R:R: 1:1.7
• Rationale: Sustained strength above 53,168 pivot targeting fresh session highs.
📌 OVERALL MARKET OUTLOOK
Cross-asset trade favors upside momentum across hard commodities and industrial cyclicals, led by Gold and WTI Crude. PMEX market participants should prioritize buying pullbacks in metals/energy while trading technical ranges in major FX pairs.
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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