02/10/2026
Interesting Rregional round up from valocity that was published this week and a hint at future Mortgage % rates
As the market expected, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lifted the Official Cash Rate (OCR) in September. Only one more OCR review remains before the General Election, with another before the end of the year. The Monetary Policy Committee forecasts the rate rising from the current 2.75% into the 3% range in 2027, which it expects will bring inflation back within its target band. The risk to watch is the Middle East, where recent escalation in the conflict has pushed fuel prices up. Longer-term mortgage pricing follows wholesale rates rather than the OCR directly. This means rising offshore bond yields can push fixed rates higher, even while the OCR tracks as forecast.
Treasury’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update (PREFU) has cut its house price outlook once again. It now forecasts a 0.4% fall in 2026 and only a modest 0.6% recovery in 2027.
property values monthly movement by region also no surprises unlesss you live in central Otago !