02/09/2026
The Reserve Bank has raised the Official Cash Rate by 0.25%, to 2.75%.
This will likely flow through to higher floating and fixed mortgage rates over the coming weeks.
Why the hike? Inflation has jumped to 4.1%, mainly due to higher fuel prices caused by conflict in the Middle East.
The Reserve Bank expects this to ease and inflation to fall back within its target range by mid-2027.
The economy is recovering, but unevenly. Export-focused regions and businesses are doing well thanks to strong overseas demand and prices.
However, households in Auckland and Wellington are still feeling the pinch from job insecurity and flat house prices, which is keeping spending subdued.
Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank expects growth to pick up, the job market to improve, and mortgage holders' purchasing power to strengthen as inflation comes down. They've flagged that raising rates gradually now reduces the risk of needing bigger increases later.
For borrowers, this means rates may tick up a little further, but there's no signal of aggressive tightening ahead, the Reserve Bank appears to be taking a measured, "steady as she goes" approach.
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