SALT Funds Management

SALT Funds Management Contact information, map and directions, contact form, opening hours, services, ratings, photos, videos and announcements from SALT Funds Management, Investment Management Company, Level 3, Imperial Building, Queen Street, Auckland CBD, Auckland.

Our investment philosophy centres on the belief that share markets have characteristics that lead to market inefficiencies that can be exploited over time to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.

19/12/2024

This week’s NZ GDP data incorporated significant upward revisions to history that means the recession has come later and been deeper than previously reported but has left the level of GDP in broadly the same place. That profile, however, does seem to cement in a 50bp cut in the OCR at the RBNZ’s February meeting. This week also saw the Treasury’s latest fiscal update, showing the massive task ahead for the Government in achieving fiscal consolidation while meeting our many fiscal challenges in a weak economy.

28/11/2024

Another super-sized interest rate cut from the RBNZ this week with the Bank reducing the OCR by 50bp to 4.25%. They flagged a further 50bp cut in February, so that seems a sensible starting assumption. However, if the economy pans out the way we think it will, there may not be much more to come after that.

08/05/2024

Stronger-than-expected US corporate earnings, and a moderated market view of the risks to bond yields, has allowed an early-May rebound in the US market toward record highs. NZ shares have sat out the offshore bounce, while Australia rose this week as the Aussie Central Bank indicated additional tightening is not their base case.

18/04/2024

March quarter New Zealand inflation data still has us expecting a first interest rate cut from the RBNZ in November.

The most significant outcome of the Federal Reserve’s latest FOMC meeting wasn’t the near-term monetary policy signals. ...
27/03/2024

The most significant outcome of the Federal Reserve’s latest FOMC meeting wasn’t the near-term monetary policy signals. Rather, it was the seemingly innocuous blip higher in the Committee’s estimate of the long-term (neutral) interest rate. Is this the start of a trend? We think so.

Read the full report here:
https://www.saltfunds.co.nz/salt-insights

24/08/2023

As central banks start to signal their next moves will be “data dependent”, markets will be watching each data point with extra scrutiny. This week the key data points, both offshore and here at home, were weaker than expected. So, what does this mean for monetary policy?

Two years ago, as we were starting the process of building out Salt’s global and diversified product range, we began by ...
29/06/2023

Two years ago, as we were starting the process of building out Salt’s global and diversified product range, we began by giving ourselves time to think about the world into which we were launching these products. We wanted to know not only what opportunities lay ahead, but also what challenges would need to be navigated. That process led to the development of ten structural themes that helped inform the answer to our many questions, including which asset classes we wanted access to, which global managers thought about the future in much the same way as us and were already building solutions to fit, and what an optimal portfolio construction would look like.

Two years later, we thought it timely to review those themes, especially since the initial work was undertaken under the cloud of the global pandemic. As you would expect given their structural nature, the themes remain much the same, though many have evolved over the last two years.

The conclusions also are much the same. First and foremost, the world is a more challenging place in 2023. Heightened political tensions and rising political fragmentation have clear and obvious implication for growth, inflation, and markets.

Furthermore, the retreat of globalisation, challenging demographics, and high and rising public debt levels all argue for lower growth, higher inflation, and shorter economic cycles in the period ahead. But it’s not all bad news as digital transformation and the shift to more sustainable business practices, particularly in energy, provides plenty of opportunities for active investors.

Please click on the following link to read the full report…..

https://www.saltfunds.co.nz/structural-themes

15/06/2023

While a contraction in March quarter GDP confirmed New Zealand is in a technical recession, it’s important to note there’s a lot of noise in the data. Furthermore, whether we are in a recession or not is a secondary consideration to whether the RBNZ has done enough to return inflation to target.

Relief at legislation passing through the US Congress to suspend the debt ceiling for two years belies the bigger issue ...
14/06/2023

Relief at legislation passing through the US Congress to suspend the debt ceiling for two years belies the bigger issue of US long-term fiscal sustainability. Indeed, many countries are now facing into increasing calls for new spending and/or tax relief while public debt is already on an unsustainable upward trajectory. Even here in New Zealand, where our current debt position is more favourable than many, the challenges are just as great and will require our politicians to make some hard calls sooner rather than later.

READ THE FULL REPORT HERE: https://www.saltfunds.co.nz/publications

26/05/2023

The RBNZ hiked 25bp this week but also called time on the rate hiking cycle. We’re ok with that - as you will recall from our preview, we think the Bank had already done enough. But its important to emphasise this is just a pause. Further hikes can’t be ruled out if the data warrants it. But for now, we turn our attention to the length of time rates will stay elevated.

19/05/2023

Budget 2023 added a bigger demand impulse into the economy than we were expecting. That could shift the dial on the RBNZ’s OCR deliberations. In a stretched economy, what fiscal policy giveth, monetary policy may have to taketh away. We only have to wait till next week to see how the RBNZ responds.

11/05/2023

Monetary policy is entering an interesting phase as central banks around the world start to pause their aggressive rate-hiking cycles. In the US, while the regional banking crisis can’t be ignored, we think it’s the labour market that ultimately matters most. That means we don’t see interest rate cuts this year.

Address

Level 3, Imperial Building, Queen Street, Auckland CBD
Auckland
1010

Opening Hours

Monday 9am - 5pm
Tuesday 9am - 5pm
Wednesday 9am - 5pm
Thursday 9am - 5pm
Friday 9am - 5pm

Telephone

+6498692933

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