بورصة لبنان و العالم

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Oil futures down for 4th straight session as markets eye Iran talksmore info more signals inbox me and register on: http...
01/04/2015

Oil futures down for 4th straight session as markets eye Iran talks

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Crude oil futures declined for the fourth consecutive session on Wednesday, as negotiations between western diplomats and Iran over Tehran’s nuclear program extended beyond Tuesday's deadline.
On the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for May delivery slumped 18 cents, or 0.34%, to trade at $54.93 a barrel during European morning hours after touching a session low of $54.71. A day earlier, Brent futures lost $1.18, or 2.1%, to close at $55.11.
Talks between Iran and six world powers over Tehran's nuclear program missed its deadline on Tuesday, but officials have agreed to continue talks in Switzerland for an extra day.
The west wants Iran to accept restrictions on its nuclear program in exchange for the removal of international sanctions.
Any sign of a deal between Iran and world powers could result in a flood of Iranian crude returning to an already oversupplied market.
Elsewhere, on the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for May delivery hit an intraday low of $47.13 a barrel, before trading at $47.23, down 38 cents, or 0.79%. On Tuesday, Nymex oil futures dropped $1.08, or 2.22%, to settle at $47.60.
Market players looked ahead to fresh weekly information on U.S. stockpiles of crude and refined products later in the day.
Wednesday's government report was expected to show that U.S. crude oil stockpiles rose by 4.2 million barrels last week, while gasoline stockpiles were forecast to decline by 1.0 million barrels.
After markets closed Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, said that U.S. crude inventories increased by 5.2 million barrels in the week ended March 27.
The report also showed that gasoline stockpiles fell by 4.1 million barrels, while distillate stocks rose by 18,000 barrels.
Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 458.5 million barrels as of last week, the most in at least 80 years, underling concerns over a supply glut.
Oil prices have fallen sharply in recent months as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries resisted calls to cut output, while the U.S. pumped at the fastest pace in more than three decades, creating a glut in global supplies.
Meanwhile, the spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $7.70 a barrel, compared to $7.51 by close of trade on Tuesday.
Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was down 0.1% to 98.60 early on Wednesday.
Later in the day, the U.S. was to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report, while the Institute of Supply Management was to release data on manufacturing activity.
Investors were also turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. employment report for February for further indications on the future path of monetary policy.
A strong U.S. nonfarm payrolls report was likely to add to speculation over when the Federal Reserve will begin to raise interest rates, while a weak number could weigh on the dollar by undermining the argument for an early rate hike.

Dollar slips lower against yen, euromore info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTHThe dollar sli...
01/04/2015

Dollar slips lower against yen, euro

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The dollar slipped lower against the yen on Wednesday as data pointing to weak business sentiment in Japan pressured equities lower, shoring up demand for the safe-have yen.
USD/JPY touched lows of 119.42 and was last down 0.2% to 119.88, off Tuesday’s one-and-a-half week highs of 120.35.
The Bank of Japan's tankan business sentiment survey showed that sentiment among Japan's large manufacturers held steady in the first quarter but is expected to deteriorate in the current quarter.
Japan’s Nikkei ended the session down 0.9% following the report, lending support to the yen.
Stronger-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data also dented demand for the dollar.
Official data showed that China’s manufacturing purchasing managers’ index edged up to 50.1 in March from 49.9 in February. Economists had expected the index to tick down to 49.7.
EUR/USD was up 0.41% to 1.0775, off Tuesday’s lows of 1.0712.
The euro looked likely to remain under pressure as uncertainty over Greece continued to weigh. Athens will run out of cash later this month unless it can reach a compromise with its creditors on a program of economic reforms in time to unlock more bailout funds.
Investors were turning their attention to the latest U.S. jobs report, due out on Friday, which was expected to support expectations for higher interest rates.
The U.S. was to release the ADP report on private sector jobs growth later in the day.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, eased 0.2% to 98.49.

Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH...
30/03/2015

Forex - EUR/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3

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The euro ended the week higher against the softer dollar on Friday, following lukewarm U.S. economic reports, including on economic growth, and cautious sounding comments by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.
EUR/USD was little changed at 1.089 late Friday and ended the week with gains of 0.6%.
Sentiment on the dollar was hit after data on Friday showed that the U.S. economy grew slightly less than forecast in the fourth quarter and another report showing that consumer sentiment deteriorated this month.
The Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, unchanged from the preliminary estimate and below economists’ forecasts for an upward revision to 2.4%.
Another report showed that the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index ticked down to 93.0 this month from a final reading of 95.4 in February.
The dollar remained subdued after Fed Chair Janet Yellen struck a cautious note on interest rates. In a speech on Friday, the Fed chief said a rate hike may be warranted later this year, but added that weakening inflation pressures could force the Fed to delay.
The speech echoed the Fed’s latest policy statement, released on March 18, which indicated that it may raise interest rates more gradually than markets had expected.
In the euro zone, Greece put forward new reform plans for approval late Friday, as part of a bailout extension review.
Officials from the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank were to examine the measures after earlier proposals were not accepted.
Elsewhere, EUR/JPY was little changed at 129.73 late Friday.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, ended the week down 0.66%, the second consecutive weekly decline.
In the week ahead, investors will be focusing the U.S. employment report for February, due out on Friday and Monday’s data on personal spending for further indications on the path of monetary policy.

Tuesday’s euro zone inflation report will also be closely watched.
Ahead of the coming week, i have compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, March 30
Japan is to publish preliminary data on industrial production.
In the euro zone, Germany and Spain are to release preliminary data on consumer price inflation.
The U.S. is to release reports on personal spending and pending home sales.

Tuesday, March 31
The euro zone is to release preliminary data on consumer inflation and the monthly employment report. Germany is to report on retail sales and the unemployment rate.
The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.

Wednesday, April 1
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report, which outlines private sector jobs growth, while the Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Thursday, April 2
The U.S. is to release data on the trade balance, initial jobless claims and factory orders.

Friday, April 3
Markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the U.K., U.S. and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with what will be a closely watched government report on non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average earnings.

Forex - GBP/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH...
30/03/2015

Forex - GBP/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3

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The pound moved higher against the softer dollar on Friday after lackluster U.S. economic reports and cautious remarks on interest rates by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.
GBP/USD was up 0.29% to 1.4893 in late trade.
Sentiment on the dollar was hit after data on Friday showed that the U.S. economy grew slightly less than forecast in the fourth quarter and another report showing that consumer sentiment deteriorated this month.
The Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, unchanged from the preliminary estimate and below economists’ forecasts for an upward revision to 2.4%.
Another report showed that the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index ticked down to 93.0 this month from a final reading of 95.4 in February.
The dollar remained subdued after Fed Chair Janet Yellen struck a cautious note on interest rates. In a speech on Friday, the Fed chief said a rate hike may be warranted later this year, but added that weakening inflation pressures could force the Fed to delay.
The speech echoed the Fed’s latest policy statement, released on March 18, which indicated that it may raise interest rates more gradually than markets had expected.
Sterling received a boost after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said the next move in interest rates is going to be up. The remarks came during a panel discussion at a Bundesbank conference in Frankfurt.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, ended the week down 0.66%, the second consecutive weekly decline.
In the week ahead, investors will be focusing the U.S. employment report for February, due out on Friday and Monday’s data on personal spending for further indications on the path of monetary policy.
U.K. data on manufacturing and construction sector activity will also be closely watched.

Ahead of the coming week, i have compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, March 30
The U.K. is to produce data on net lending.
The U.S. is to release reports on personal spending and pending home sales.

Tuesday, March 31
The U.K. is to produce data on the current account.
The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.

Wednesday, April 1
The U.K. is to release survey data on manufacturing activity.
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report, which outlines private sector jobs growth, while the Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Thursday, April 2
The U.K. is to release survey data on construction activity.
The U.S. is to release data on the trade balance, initial jobless claims and factory orders.

Friday, April 3
Markets in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the U.K., U.S. and Canada will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with what will be a closely watched government report on non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average earnings.

Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH...
30/03/2015

Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3

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The New Zealand dollar fell to a one-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates later this year.
NZD/USD hit 0.7543 on Friday, the pair's lowest since March 20, before subsequently consolidating at 0.7564 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.47% for the day and little changed for the week.
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said in a speech Friday that a rate hike may be warranted later this year, but added that weakening inflation pressures could force the Fed to delay.
The speech echoed the Fed’s latest policy statement, released on March 18, which indicated that it may raise interest rates more gradually than markets had expected.
Her comments came after the Commerce Department reported that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, unchanged from the preliminary estimate and below economists’ forecasts for an upward revision to 2.4%.
Another report showed that the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index ticked down to 93.0 this month from a final reading of 95.4 in February.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, inched up 0.1% to 97.65 on Friday. For the week, the index lost 0.66%, the second consecutive weekly decline.
Despite recent losses, the greenback looks likely to continue to strengthen, with the Fed still expected to raise interest rates ahead of other central banks.
In the week ahead, investors will be turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for further indications on the strength of the recovery in the labor market.

Ahead of the coming week, i have compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, March 30
The U.S. is to release reports on personal spending and pending home sales.

Tuesday, March 31
New Zealand is to produce reports on building consents and business confidence.
The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.

Wednesday, April 1
China is to publish its official manufacturing index. The Asian nation is New Zealand's second largest trade partner.
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report, which outlines private sector jobs growth, while the Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Thursday, April 2
The U.S. is to release data on weekly initial jobless claims, as well as reports on the trade balance and factory orders.

Friday, April 3
Markets in New Zealand will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with what will be a closely watched government report on non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average earnings.

Forex - AUD/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH...
30/03/2015

Forex - AUD/USD weekly outlook: March 30 - April 3

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The Australian dollar fell almost 1% against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, as traders digested the latest spate of U.S. economic data in their quest to gauge the timing of a future rate hike.
AUD/USD hit an intraday low of 0.7746, the weakest level since March 20, before settling at 0.7756 by close of trade, down 0.93%. For the week, the pair declined 0.28%.
The Commerce Department reported Friday that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 2.2% in the fourth quarter, unchanged from the preliminary estimate and below economists’ forecasts for an upward revision to 2.4%.
Another report showed that the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index ticked down to 93.0 this month from a final reading of 95.4 in February.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen struck a cautious note on interest rates on Friday.
In a speech, the Fed chief said a rate hike may be warranted later this year, but added that weakening inflation pressures could force the Fed to delay.
The speech echoed the Fed’s latest policy statement, released on March 18, which indicated that it may raise interest rates more gradually than markets had expected.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, inched up 0.1% to 97.65 on Friday. For the week, the index lost 0.66%, the second consecutive weekly decline.
Despite recent losses, the greenback looks likely to continue to strengthen, with the Fed still expected to raise interest rates ahead of other central banks.
In the week ahead, investors will be turning their attention to Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for further indications on the strength of the recovery in the labor market.

Ahead of the coming week, i have compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, March 30
The U.S. is to release reports on personal spending and pending home sales.

Tuesday, March 31
The U.S. is to release data on consumer confidence.

Wednesday, April 1
China is to publish its official manufacturing index. The Asian nation is Australia's largest trade partner.
The U.S. is to release the ADP nonfarm payrolls report, which outlines private sector jobs growth, while the Institute of Supply Management is to release data on manufacturing activity.

Thursday, April 2
Australia is to release data on the trade balance.
The U.S. is to release data on weekly initial jobless claims, as well as reports on the trade balance and factory orders.

Friday, April 3
Markets in Australia will be closed for the Good Friday holiday.
The U.S. is to round up the week with what will be a closely watched government report on non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate and average earnings

Iran nuclear deal may open oil taps in months, not weeksmore info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1...
17/03/2015

Iran nuclear deal may open oil taps in months, not weeks

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A possible deal over Iran's nuclear program that would phase out economic sanctions against Tehran is unlikely to flood world markets with more oil any time soon, despite Iran's declared intention to claw back market share lost because of the curbs.

Negotiators are still working out details of the deal they aim to seal by the end of June, but it would almost certainly lift sanctions only in stages, deferring even a partial return of Iranian crude exports until at least 2016, according to market experts, former U.S. officials, and Western diplomats.

Progress in talks in Switzerland this month has contributed to a more than 10 percent slide in oil prices over the past week as some traders and analysts brace for up to 1 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude hitting markets, potentially doubling the estimated global supply surplus.

Many focus on how quickly Iran can technically resume pumping oil to pre-sanctions levels, assuming shipments could follow quickly and brushing off concerns about a diminished customer base and potentially neglected oil fields.

What oil bears may underestimate is the hurdles on the diplomatic path to Iran's return to world energy markets.

"Don't expect to open the tap on oil," one Gulf-based Western diplomat told Reuters. It is much easier to lift financial sanctions because so many components of Iran's oil trade have been targeted, the diplomat said.

To be sure, a nuclear deal could allow some Iranian oil to return to the market quickly. A Reuters analysis of industry data shows Iran has up to 12 million barrels of oil in floating storage off its shores, and it has leased a storage facility in China to ship crude to India and South Korea.

Some energy experts estimate that Iran could raise its exports by 500,000-800,000 barrels per day (bpd) within six months of sanctions being lifted, but that is likely to be a result of a gradual build-up.

"The initial market response (to a deal) is likely to be quite bearish," said Richard Mallinson, an analyst at consultancy Energy Aspects in London. "The attention is still on oversupply and there are enough people out there saying this could drive a rapid increase in Iranian volumes."

Yet whatever emerges this year "may not be the kind of flood of oil...that some in the market are worried about," Mallinson said.

FIGHTING BACK

Tehran is keen to recover market share lost under the U.S.-led sanctions that curbed the nation's oil exports to just 1 million bpd from 2.5 million bpd in 2012.

"Under no circumstance will we reduce our global market share, even by one barrel," Iranian oil minister Bijan Zanganeh said in November.

But for Iran to sell significantly more crude and repatriate hard currency earnings, many U.S. and European restrictions on its shipping, insurance, ports, banking, and oil trade would have to be lifted or waived.

Yet because they represent the bulk of world powers' leverage over Iran, initial relief would probably be modest, said Zachary Goldman, a former policy advisor at the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, where he helped develop Iran sanctions policy.

Goldman predicted the first step would be to allow Tehran to use more of its foreign currency reserves abroad, now limited to specific bilateral trade.

"It's discrete, and it doesn't involve dismantling the architecture of sanctions that has been built up painstakingly over the last five years," said Goldman, who now heads the Center on Law and Security at New York University.

Even with a nuclear deal, oil sanctions would probably effectively stay in place until early 2016, said Bob McNally, a former White House adviser under George W. Bush and now president of the Rapidan Group energy consultancy.

"I don't see why a political deal in March or April or even technical implementation in July would, from a sanctions compliance perspective, enable Iran to 'unload' its stored oil any time soon, if doing so significantly increased exports above current levels," McNally said in an email to Reuters.

Low oil prices may also limit how much Iran will want to ship abroad. Zanganeh has said that the country's oil industry could survive prices as low as $25 per barrel.

The latest price slump, however, may cause Tehran to think twice about flooding the market even if sanctions are lifted, said David Goldwyn, who served as the U.S. State Department's Special Envoy and Coordinator for International Energy Affairs from 2009 to 2011 and who now chairs the Atlantic Council's Energy Advisory Board.

"It may depend on how desperate they are for cash," he said.

Iran will also face stiff competition for its main Asian markets with fellow members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq.

Kuwait and other Arab OPEC members have raised doubts whether Iran will manage to ramp up production quickly given that some of its oil fields have stayed idle because of the sanctions.

Currency swings cost U.S. corporates $18.66 billion in fourth quarter: studymore info more signals inbox me and register...
17/03/2015

Currency swings cost U.S. corporates $18.66 billion in fourth quarter: study

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Foreign exchange swings cost North American corporates $18.66 billion in revenue in the fourth quarter, according to a report by currency risk management consulting firm FiREapps.

Total negative currency impact rose more than four-fold in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, and was the biggest since the height of the euro crisis, according to the report.

FiREapps analyzes currency effects on quarterly earnings of 846 North American companies, a subset of the Fortune 2000 companies that generate at least 15 percent of international revenue in two or more currencies.

Earnings per share of North American corporates were hurt by $0.06 on an average, nearly double the 2013-2014 average and the highest since FiREapps began measuring the impact of currency swings.

A slew of U.S. multinational companies, from DuPont (N:DD) to Procter & Gamble (N:PG), have showed that a strong U.S. dollar hurt their earnings, and several blue-chip exporters said the situation will get worse if the greenback holds its strength.

The number of companies reporting a negative impact was 6.4 percent higher in the fourth quarter than in the third quarter, according to FiREapps.

A strong U.S. dollar is hurting multiple sectors, including industrial companies such as 3M Co (N:MMM), technology companies like Microsoft Corp (O:MSFT) and Apple Inc (O:AAPL), airlines such as American Airlines Group Inc (O:AAL), healthcare companies, including Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (N:BMY) and Pfizer Inc (N:PFE), and consumer firms like Procter & Gamble - which all garner a large portion of their sales from outside the United States..

EUR/USD edges higher with German, E.Z. data on tapmore info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH...
17/03/2015

EUR/USD edges higher with German, E.Z. data on tap

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The euro edged higher against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday, as sentiment on the greenback remained vulnerable after a string of downbeat U.S. data, while investors eyed upcoming reports on German consumer sentiment and inflation in the euro zone.
EUR/USD hit 1.0599 during late Asian trade, the session high; the pair subequently consolidated at 1.0592, adding 0.23%.
The pair was likely to find support at 1.0456, Monday's low and a 12-year low and resistance at 1.0683, the high of March 12.
Official data on Monday showed that U.S. industrial production rose just 0.1% in February, falling short of expectations for a 0.2% gain, while manufacturing output dipped 0.1%.
Another report showed that manufacturing activity growth in New York State slowed in March for a second straight month as new orders fell.
The data came after the U.S. Department of Labor reported on Friday that producer prices fell 0.5% last month, while the University of Michigan said that its consumer sentiment index fell to a four-month low this month.
Meanwhile, the euro found some support after Italy's central bank governor expressed concerns on Monday over that the pace of the currency's fall since the ECB launched its trillion-euro quantitative easing program early last week.
He added that there were risks the program could overshoot its goal, as well as fuel an excessive rise in asset prices.
The single currency was also higher against the pound, with EUR/GBP edging up 0.18% to 0.7138.
Later in the day, the ZEW Institute was to release a report on German economic sentiment, as well as revised data on consumer inflation.
The U.S. was to report on building permits and housing starts.

GBP/USD rises off 8-month trough after U.K. trade datamore info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5...
12/03/2015

GBP/USD rises off 8-month trough after U.K. trade data

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The pound rose against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, pulling away from eight-month lows after data showed that the U.K. trade deficit narrowed more-than-expected in January and as sentiment on the greenback weakened ahead of U.S. economic reports due later in the day.
GBP/USD hit 1.5014 during European morning trade, the session high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.4984, gaining 0.39%.
Cable was likely to find support at 1.4891, Wednesday's low and an eight-month low and resistance at 1.5099, Wednesday's high.
In a report, the U.K. Office for National Statistics said the country's goods trade deficit narrowed to £8.41 billion in January from £9.93 billion in December, whose figure was revised from a previously estimated deficit of £10.15 billion.
Economists had expected the goods trade deficit to narrow to £9.7 billion in January.
The pound had weakened on Wednesday after data showed that U.K. manufacturing production declined 0.5% in January, disappointing expectations for an increase of 0.2%, while industrial production fell 0.1% in January, compared to expectations for a 0.2% gain.
Meanwhile, the dollar came under pressure as investors eyed data on U.S. retail sales and initial jobless claims due later in the day. The U.S. currency had rallied broadly on the back of last week's strong employment report.
Sterling was steady against the euro, with EUR/GBP at 0.7067.

the daily technical analysis overview for some Indices and Commodities:more info more signals inbox me and register on: ...
12/03/2015

the daily technical analysis overview for some Indices and Commodities:

more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH

the daily technical analysis overview for some currencies more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly...
12/03/2015

the daily technical analysis overview for some currencies

more info more signals inbox me and register on: http://bit.ly/1H5hvTH

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