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17/08/2013

Corporate India is not happy with capital control restrictions imposed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on investments abroad, saying the Indian economy is going back to the ’80s when investments by Indian companies abroad were almost zero – thanks to the stiflingcapital controls.
Chief excutive officers (CEOs) said they were aware of the situation on the current account deficit (CAD) front, prompting the RBI to impose a cap on outward investment but added the capital control moves would be a dampener to India’s global aspirations. A host of Indian companies, including the Tatas, the Birlas, the Mahindras and the Ruias of Essar made acquisitions abroad in the last five years to grow their businesses. “It is ironic that we have controls on capital on Independence Day. Feels like the 1980s. Well, the silver lining is that I feel young again,” Anand Mahindra, chairman, Mahindra & Mahindra, tweeted. In fact, in June this year, Delhi-based Apollo Tyres announced it would take over US-based Cooper Tires for $2.5 bn.
The Birlas announced they would invest another $1 billion in the US in a fertiliser unit and another $1bn in Novelis in Latin America. But the CEOs fear the panicky measures announced by RBI on Wednesday to restrict how much Indians and companies can invest abroad would further scare away investors.
“RBI’s step to contain the current account deficit by imposing a cap on outward investment acts against the Indian economy’s globalisation drive and detracts from the overall reforms process,” said Kris Gopalakrishnan, executive vice-chairman of Infosys and president of Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). “We are deeply concerned such a measure would also prove counter-productive as it would disrupt the ongoing investment plans of corporates,” Gopalakrishnan said. He added the move would further vitiate investor confidence, which is already low, and would send a wrong signal India was not a place for doing business. The long-term credibility of the country, too, would suffer, as foreign businesses might have doubts about policy stability.
According to the CII President, to stabilise the rupee, it would be appropriate to initiate policies which prevent the influx of non-essential imports such as coal and iron ore and augment forex inflows by encouraging foreign direct investment by promising a conducive and stable policy regime and liberalising foreign institutional investment by removing short-term capital gains tax.
It is hoped the above measures would be temporary and the caps on overseas investment would be removed sooner rather than later, said Gopalakrishnan.
Naina Lal Kidwai, HSBC India head, said the markets on Friday experienced a free fall and hade not reacted well to the central bank’s restrictions on rupee flows offshore, with heightened fears that more restrictions might come, including for foreign institutional investors. “These fears need to be addressed — after all, India has never restricted dividend flows offshore or indeed sales of equity share proceeds even when the situation was more dire. The fall in the rupee essentially underlines weakness in the economic fundamentals,” Kidwai, who is also head of Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, said.
“We would want to reiterate that the current depreciation is more symptomatic in nature. We hope the recent liquidity tightening measures and rupee outflow restrictions announced by the RBI and the ministry of finance are temporary and would be reversed once we are on firm ground. At this juncture, instilling confidence among investors should be the most important task at hand,” Kidwai said.

07/06/2012

Dlf buy 194 sl 184 tgt 205 213
Essaroil buy @54 sl 50-51 tgt 59-66
Jswsteel hold with an tgt of 671-735
Relcapital hold with an tgt of 347-384
Unitech close above 22.7 tgt 26-30 sl 20
Relinfra above 489 tgt 510-519

19/03/2012

Life Insurance Corporation(LIC ) really is a life saver, at least for the government of India as it truly came to the rescue of the government at the very last minute. For proof, consider how it salvaged the government’s hurriedly organised 5 percent stake sale in state-run oil producer ONGC.

Just minutes before the stake sale closed, LIC stepped in an acquired as much as 4.408 percent of ONGC.

LIC bought 37.7 crore shares of ONGC at Rs 303.67 per share , which totals about Rs 11,450 crore. Given that the oil giant’s shares slipped 5 percent since the Union Budget was announced on 16 March, that investment is now worth Rs 10,216 crore, down by nearly Rs 1,200 crore.

In the Budget, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee announced a hike in the cess on crude and petroleum oil to Rs 4,500 per tonne from Rs 2,500 per tonne.

According to our sources, the cess imposes an extra cost on all oil-producing companies like ONGC, Cairn India, Reliance, etc. Sudhir Vasudeva, chairman and managing director, ONGC, told CNBC TV18 that the budgetary measures would impact the company by Rs 5,500 crore at the profit before tax level.

Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee announced a hike in the cess on crude and petroleum oil to Rs 4,500 per tonne from Rs 2,500 per tonne. Reuters
Clearly, this led to a fall in the stock’s price — and consequently, a reduction in the value of shares that LIC bought in the stake sale. While ONGC — and the government— may have been spared the blushes, clearly, there seems to be no such to protect the investments of the thousands of individuals who invested in LIC’s insurance premiums, which was used to hoover up ONGC’s shares.

Based on this news, Bank of America Merril Lynch has cut its outlook on ONGC to ‘neutral’ with a price target of Rs298 per share. (The brokerage firm had a buy rating on the stock earlier). “We downgrade ONGC to neutral given the hit from rise in cess and also as hope of reforms are fading after the recent state election results”. it said in its recent report.

The government sold a 5 percent stake in ONGC because it wanted to raise some more money to meet its disinvestment target of Rs 40,000 crore for the financial year ending March 2012 (the ONGC stake sale raised that amount to Rs13,895 crore).

19/03/2012

KINGFISHER AIRLINES

The ground is being prepared for the suspension, or even cancellation, of Kingfisher Airlines‘ scheduled operator permit licence.

Top official sources told on Monday that the airline was issued a show-cause notice towards end-February asking it why its licence should not be suspended for flouting several conditions. It was given a 15-day time limit for a satisfactory reply.

Kingfisher’s reply has been received but sources said the airline had not been able to satisfactorily explain why its licence should not be cancelled. “Their (Kingfisher’s) only response has been that their accounts have been frozen by the tax department and they are helpless in this situation.”

No respite from crisis. Reuters
With the 15-day deadline now over, there are now few valid reasons for not taking action against the airline. Among the reasons being cited for suspension are the extreme financial stress of the airline, its inability to maintain the integrity of flight schedules and extensive passenger inconvenience.

The sources said Civil Aviation Minister Ajit Singh was aware of the entire situation with regard to Kingfisher Airlines and discussions are on within the government on what steps should be taken next.

“The airline should show definite recovery. Who will be responsible if there is a (safety related) incident tomorrow?,” these sources wondered.

It is interesting to note that the airline has substantially increased its daily departures after chairman Vijay Mallya met striking pilots last week. The pilots had refused to fly citing salary arrears and, at one time, daily departures were down to 78. But on Sunday, the airline reported 138 departures.

Mallya is likely to be summoned by the government to find out his intentions, but unconfirmed reports say that the liquor baron himself might be looking for a quiet, dignified exit from the bleeding airline business.

Suspension or cancellation of the licence would be one way out.

09/06/2011

Buy & Hold IDFC @ 134.3

09/06/2011

Buy & Hold DLF @ 234

09/06/2011

Buy & Hold ICICI Bank 1100 June Call @ 10.5

27/05/2011

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27/05/2011

Our LT 1650 Call buy given on 26th May @ 48 made an high of 67 an upward movement of 38% in an Single Day

27/05/2011

YES Bank Buy Recommended on 25th May @ 281 now 297. Book Full Profit and Exit

26/05/2011

Buy & Hold LT 1650 Call @ 48

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