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Rs 1.14 lakh crore of bad debts: The great government bank write-offThat is the amount of bad loans waived in last three...
11/02/2016

Rs 1.14 lakh crore of bad debts:

The great government bank write-off
That is the amount of bad loans waived in last three financial years, more than the write-off in the previous nine
Twenty-nine state-owned banks wrote off a total of Rs 1.14 lakh crore of bad debts between financial years 2013 and 2015, much more than they had done in the preceding nine years.
In response to an RTI application filed by The Indian Express, the RBI disclosed that while bad debts stood at Rs 15,551 crore for the financial year ending March 2012, they had shot up by over three times to Rs 52,542 crore by the end of March 2015.
Asked about the details of the biggest defaulters, whether individuals or business entities, whose bad debts to the tune of Rs 100 crore or more had been written off, the RBI said: “The required information is not available with us.” Banks are required to report the bad debts on a consolidated basis, it said.
Even as the government has been trying to shore up public sector banks through equity capital and other measures, bad loans written off by them between 2004 and 2015 amount to more than Rs 2.11 lakh crore. More than half such loans (Rs 1,14,182 crore) have been waived off between 2013 and 2015.
Only two banks, State Bank of Saurashtra and State Bank of Indore, have shown zero bad debts in the past five years.
In other words, while bad loans of public-sector banks grew at a rate of 4 per cent between 2004 and 2012, in financial years 2013 to 2015, they rose at almost 60 per cent. The bad debts written off in financial year ending March 2015 make up 85 per cent of such loans since 2013.
The RTI reply also disclosed that bad debts have declined only four times since 2004. The last time was in 2011.
An analysis of the information available with the RBI till 2012-13 also shows that between 2009 and 2013, both the advances by public sector banks to individuals and business entities as well as their amount of bad debts written off doubled. From 0.33 per cent of total advances in 2009, bad debts rose to 0.61 per cent in 2013.
Bank-wise break-up shows State Bank of India, India’s largest bank, is way ahead of others in declaring loans as unrecoverable, with its bad debts shooting up almost four times since 2013 — from Rs 5,594 crore in 2013 to Rs 21,313 crore in 2015.
In fact, SBI’s bad debts made up 40 per cent of the total amount written off by all other banks in 2015 and were more than what 20 other banks wrote off. In 2014 too, the bank’s bad debts alone comprised 38 per cent of the total of all banks. The figure of bad loans for 2014 and ‘15 combined, Rs 34,490 crore, was Rs 10,000 crore more than that for between 2004 and 2013, Rs 23,992 crore.
The country’s second-largest public sector bank, Punjab National Bank, has also witnessed a consistent rise in bad debts since 2013. These grew by 95 per cent between 2013 and 2014 but climbed by 238 per cent between 2014 and 2015 — from Rs 1,947 crore in 2014 to Rs 6,587 crore in 2015.
Reserve Bank Governor Raghuram Rajan has repeatedly expressed concern over the health of public-sector banks, and pushed for steps to ensure that banks classify certain stressed assets as non-performing assets (NPAs) and make adequate provisions to “strengthen their balance sheets”, besides working out schemes of merger.
With public sector banks sitting on over Rs 7 lakh crore stressed assets, including NPAs and restructured loans, Rajan recently said the estimates of NPAs being 17-18 per cent are bit on the high side and that entities should be careful not to treat NPAs as total write-offs but see if they can change promoters and repay as the economy recovers. He also said that some banks would have to merge to optimise their use of resources.
Gross NPAs of public-sector banks rose to 6.03 per cent as of June 2015, from 5.20 per cent in March 2015. RBI has asked banks to review certain loan accounts and their classification over the two quarters ending December 31, 2015, and March 31, 2016.

Courtesy :

The Indian Express

11/02/2016

Dewan Housing Finance, LMI focused (Low & Middle Income) 3rd Largest Home Loan & Housing Finance Company in India (after LIC Housing Fin & Indiabulls Housing Fin) with Assets under Management of over Rs. 66,000 crores, as posted good set of numbers for the quarter ended on 31-12-2015.

It has achieved total income growth of 4% QoQ to Rs. 1,884 crores and NII growth of around 3.1% at Rs. 467 crores vis-à-vis Rs. 453 crores. It is important to note that DHFL’s 362 Company locations in India, complemented with 357 centers through alliances, is skewed towards Tier II and Tier III cities, almost 80%, where growth was impacted due to poor monsoon and lower wage growth in rural areas. So considering this, performance is seen quite healthy.

Disbursements during Q3 amounted to Rs. 6,428 crores, which reflects robust growth of 28% QoQ and 30% YoY.

Most of the other metrics have remained stable on QoQ basis, including NIM of 2.86%, Cost to Income ratio of 26.3% and RoA of 1.6%. However, GNPA ration rose just a tad bit, from 0.81% in Q2 to 0.84% in Q3, which is nominal.

PAT is placed at Rs. 185 crores as against Rs. 180 crores QoQ, which missed estimates as 10% sequential rise in Provisions (Rs. 81 crores) restricted PAT growth.

Book Value per share (as on 31-12-2015) is worked out at Rs. 174, which is close to its market price of Rs. 183.

Going ahead, being one of the largest players in the LMI segment augurs is seen quite positive, given that the company is targeting to increase its AUM by FY17 by focusing on increasing its pan India presence and setting up branches in the untapped LMI markets, as Low pe*******on levels in the LMI segment provide significant potential for housing finance companies.

Interestingly, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala holds 3.43% stake in the company.

Dewan Housing Finance, currently ruling at its 52 week low levels of Rs. 161, has corrected near 40% in past one and half months, and seen having bottomed out, as per experts.

Despite poor monsoon and rural wage growth, company reported 3% QoQ NII growth, while near 80% of its AUM are skewed toward LMI group (Low & Middle Income) in tier II and tier III cities.

Disbursements during Q3 amounted to Rs. 6,428 crores, which reflects robust growth of 28% QoQ and 30% YoY, in spite of adverse macro environment.
Stock is now ruling below its book value of Rs. 174, which is likely to rise to Rs. 180 by end of FY16.

Considering over 40% correction, healthy loan growth, hopes of good monsoon in 2016 with discount to its book value, are seen quite positive for this counter.

Keep it under your radar!!

11/02/2016

Shares of Dr. Reddy’s rose over 3% intraday, now ruling at Rs. 2,925, as the company informed exchanges that meeting of the Board of Directors of the Company will be held on February 17, 2016 to consider the Buyback of Equity Shares.

As of December 31, 2015, the promoters held 25.57% stake in Dr Reddy’s Laboratories, while the public shareholders held 74.43% holding.

The stock hit an all-time high of Rs.4,383 on 19 October 2015 and since then it fell over 37% due to warnings letter on 3 facilities.

Going ahead, with tepid guidance of sales in Q4FY16 and challenging competitive landscape looming large for US generics, India formulations is the only visible earnings driver for the company.

USFDA issues in three plants will also complicate approvals of key generics such Xeloda and Propofol in near term.
Experts believe that current market price factors in most of the pain

10/02/2016

Carborundum Universal Ltd (Other Industrial Products)

# Market Cap.: 3,272.65 Cr.
# Current Price: 173.80
# Book Value: 63.17
# Stock P/E: 24.70
# Dividend Yield: 0.72%
# Face Value: 1.00
# Listed on BSE and NSE
# 52 Week High/Low: 201.00 / 149.00

Pros:
# Company has reduced debt.
# Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 22.44%

Cons:
# Stock is trading at 2.75 times its book value
# Promoter's stake has decreased
# The company has delivered a poor growth of 10.27% over past five years.
# Promoter holding is low: 0.00%
# Company has a low return on equity of 8.72% for last 3 years.
# Company might be capitalizing the interest cost
# Earnings include an other income of Rs.125.61 Cr.

*****All information given here is largely based on fundamental perspective. Please analyze the stocks before investing...

09/02/2016

Fall of JUST DIAL

Just Dial falls below issue price of 530.
Rev growth
Q3FY16: 11%
Q2FY16: 16%
Q1FY16: 25%
Q4FY15: 26%
Q3FY15: 29%
Q2FY15: 31%

2 concerns in Just Dial - growth coming off + high institutional holding (Promoter holding 32% vs inst holding of 67%)

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