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24/11/2011

JPY- Japan CPI- Consumer Price Index, the main measure of inflation, Thurs., Nov. 24, 6:30 pm, ET.

Inflationary pressures in Japan are expected to register a slight 0.1% m/m drop in October from 0.2% in September, but when it comes to Japan, a lot more interesting is the situation with the yen and its persistent strength. With the U.S. dollar giving away almost all of its post-intervention gains and approaching previous record lows, it would be prudent to place the yen on an intervention watch once again.

24/11/2011

GBP- U.K. GDP- Gross Domestic Product, the main measure of economic activity and growth, Thurs., Nov. 24, 4:30 am, ET.

The second reading of the U.K. GDP for the third quarter of 2011 is forecast to be in line with the preliminary estimate of 0.5% q/q growth compared with 0.2% q/q in the second quarter.

24/11/2011

EUR- Germany IFO Institute Business Climate and Expectations Index, a leading indicator of economic conditions and business expectations in the Euro-zone’s largest economy, Thurs., Nov. 24, 4:00 am, ET.

Following the drop in the ZEW sentiment index, the German IFO index is forecast to point to a gloomy business climate outlook with a reading of 105.5 in November from 106.4 in October.

23/11/2011

S&P 500 technical positioning presents conflicting cues, hinting the safe-haven US Dollar’s rally may see a temporary pause amid a recovery in risk appetite.

23/11/2011

USD- U.S. Consumer Sentiment, the University of Michigan’s monthly survey of 500 households on their financial conditions and outlook of the economy, Wed., Nov. 23, 9:55 am, ET.

Ending the weekly sequence of mixed U.S. economic data on a high note ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, the consumer sentiment index for November is forecast to bring another month of improvement with a reading of 64.6, compared with 60.9 in October.

23/11/2011

USD- U.S. Personal Income and Outlays, a measure of the income received and purchases made by consumers, released along with the Personal Consumption and Expenditures Price Index- a leading indicator of inflation preferred by the Federal Reserve, Wed., Nov. 23, 8:30 am, ET.

Released along with the U.S. Jobless Claims and Durable Goods Orders (with jobless claims forecast to decline for another week to 387K from 388K and orders for durable goods to drop by 0.7% m/m in October from -0.6 m/m in September), the U.S. consumer spending is forecast to rise by 0.4% m/m from 0.6% m/m and personal income to increase by 0.3% m/m in October from 0.1% m/m in the previous month. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE Index, is expected to show inflationary pressures inching higher by 0.2% m/m in October from the flat 0% m/m reading in September.

23/11/2011

GBP- Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Meeting Minutes, a comprehensive report of the central bank’s meeting that could provide an outlook on the economy, interest rates and future monetary policy, Wed., Nov. 23, 4:30 am, ET.

Two weeks after the Bank of England’s decision to keep rates at their record low 0.5% level since March 2009 for another month in November, the minutes could confirm that the Monetary Policy Committee is open to the idea of more quantitative easing and additional expansion of its Asset Purchase Program in upcoming months. Expectations of such monetary policy should weigh on the GBP which is also not immuned from risk aversion flows.

GOLD – Pricesbroke through support at 1711.13, the 23.6% Fibonacci extension level, as well as the rising trend line set...
22/11/2011

GOLD – Pricesbroke through support at 1711.13, the 23.6% Fibonacci extension level, as well as the rising trend line set from the September 26 low. The bears now aim to challenge the 38.2% Fib at 1654.44. The trend line, now squarely at the 1700 figure, has been recast as near-term resistance.

US DOLLAR – Prices completed a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders chart formation with a break through the setup’s neckl...
22/11/2011

US DOLLAR – Prices completed a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders chart formation with a break through the setup’s neckline at 9823, implying a measured target at 10,237. Interim resistance is found at the 10,000 figure, followed by the year-to-date high at 10,134. The 9823 level has been recast as near-term support.

22/11/2011

US Dollar Poised to Overcome 2011 High as S&P 500 Selling Continues

22/11/2011

EUR/USD, GBP/USD Scalp Setups- Bearish Bias Remains Intact

22/11/2011

USD- U.S. FOMC Meeting Minutes, a detailed record of the Fed’s last monetary policy meeting that may provide an outlook on the economy, inflation and the Fed’s future monetary policy, Tues., Nov. 22, 2:00 pm, ET.

With the Fed clearly staying the course, the minutes from the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting would be likely to serve as a reminder of the Fed’s cautious outlook on the economy and the U.S. central bank’s commitment to continue its ultra-accommodative monetary policy, while still keeping the QE3 door open.

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