29/05/2026
HFCL: From a quarterly loss of Rs 83 crore to a record profit of Rs 184 crore in 12 months.
A year ago, HFCL was struggling. High dependence on domestic government contracts with long payment cycles was hurting margins. The stock reflected that pain, spending nearly 20 months in deep consolidation.
But while the stock was going nowhere, the business was quietly being rebuilt.
Today, HFCL is no longer just a domestic telecom infrastructure company. It manufactures high fiber-count optical cables for global hyperscalers and AI data centres. It builds 5G routers and Wi-Fi systems. Through its defence subsidiary, it makes aerospace cables, electronic fuses, and drone detection radars.
Five years ago, exports were 4.5% of the order book. Today that number is over 41%.
The Q4 FY26 numbers reflect that shift clearly.
Revenue up 128% year on year to Rs 1,824 crore. EBITDA margins moved from negative to 18.47%. Full year PAT nearly doubled to Rs 329 crore. The order book is at an all-time high of Rs 21,200 crore, roughly 4x the company's annual revenue. That includes a single USD 1.1 billion global optical fibre cable contract, likely the largest ever won by an Indian telecom company.
The forward guidance is equally interesting. Defence revenue is expected to grow 7x by FY27. Data centre solutions alone are projected to add Rs 400 crore in FY27.
The chart is consistent with the fundamental picture. After a prolonged consolidation, HFCL broke out of a Rounding Bottom pattern on the daily timeframe with the highest volume seen in months. A business transformation and a technical breakout arriving together is not something you see every day.
The risks are real and should not be ignored. Promoter pledge levels remain a concern. Valuations have moved up sharply after the rally. Receivable cycles in government and defence contracts tend to be long, which puts pressure on working capital.
But the direction of change is hard to argue with. The company has diversified its revenue across telecom, defence, and data centres, reduced its dependence on domestic government orders, and built a global export business from scratch.
HFCL is not the same company it was three years ago. The market is just starting to price that in.
Not investment advice. Please do your own research before making any decisions.