Goodluck Capital

Goodluck Capital ๐ŸŒ goodluckcapital.com
๐ŸŽ–๏ธ SEBI Registered INH300006582
๐Ÿ“ˆ Trading and Investment Advisory
๐Ÿ”Ž Stock Market Analysis & Research

Look at the top 10 stocks ranked by 5-year CAGR from May 2021 to May 2026.The Nifty 50 CAGR over this same period is app...
01/06/2026

Look at the top 10 stocks ranked by 5-year CAGR from May 2021 to May 2026.

The Nifty 50 CAGR over this same period is approximately 13 to 14%. Every stock on this list delivered more than 1.5x the benchmark return over five years.

The list reinforces one observation: the biggest wealth creators in Indian large caps over both five-year windows have been in energy, defence, utilities, and cyclical financials, not in IT or consumption.

People keep saying "you should have bought XYZ in 2014." Most of those claims use peak 2021-2023 prices. We used May 202...
31/05/2026

People keep saying "you should have bought XYZ in 2014." Most of those claims use peak 2021-2023 prices. We used May 2026 live prices instead. Here is what the data actually looks like.

December 2014 entry, current prices as of May 2026.

KEI Industries: 92x
Tanla Platforms: 88x
Caplin Point Labs: 57x
Astral Ltd: 39x
Alkyl Amines: 36x
Avanti Feeds: 36x
Trent Ltd: 34x
Titan Company: 30x
PI Industries: 26x
Adani Enterprises: 24x

Data sources: Investing.com - Stock Market Quotes & Financial News , Simply Wall St, Business Standard, ICICI Direct, INDmoney, Stock Screener and fundamental analysis tool for Indian stocks - Screener . All prices verified May 2026 from primary listed exchange data. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Educational content. Not a buy or sell recommendation. Goodluck Capital is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst firm.

Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis || 31 May 2026 ๐Ÿ“ŠNifty fell 0.7% last week. Friday alone dropped 1.5%, driven by MSCI rebalancin...
31/05/2026

Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis || 31 May 2026 ๐Ÿ“Š

Nifty fell 0.7% last week. Friday alone dropped 1.5%, driven by MSCI rebalancing and profit booking near resistance.

India VIX closed at 16.19, down 9.2% for the week. Not panic. But nervousness is building near higher levels.

The index rejected trendline resistance and is back in consolidation.

Key levels this week:
Resistance: 23,800 to 24,000 and 24,400 to 24,500
Support: 23,500 to 23,400 and 23,100 to 23,000

Three things to watch: RBI MPC meeting on June 3 to 5, US-Iran negotiations, and crude oil prices which hit six-week lows last week.

Neither side has confirmed a breakout or breakdown. Aggressive bets do not make sense here. Watch the levels, protect gains, stay selective.

Analysis is only for educational purposes. Not investment advice.

Most people think the bank profits heavily from their EMI. The numbers tell a different story.We went through HDFC Bank'...
29/05/2026

Most people think the bank profits heavily from their EMI. The numbers tell a different story.

We went through HDFC Bank's Q2 FY26 numbers. For every โ‚น100 of interest a borrower pays, roughly โ‚น64 goes back to depositors, โ‚น21 covers operating costs like branches, salaries, and technology, โ‚น4 is set aside as a provision against potential bad loans, and only โ‚น11 remains as pre-tax profit. The government takes a share of that too before shareholders see anything.

On top of this, RBI regulations require banks to keep 21% of deposits locked up and not lent out at all. 3% as CRR, 18% as SLR. That directly compresses the bank's ability to earn on every rupee deposited.

What this means practically for home loan borrowers:

In the first year of a 20-year loan, roughly 82% of your EMI is interest and only 18% reduces your actual principal. By Year 20 that ratio reverses, but by then you have already paid close to โ‚น52 lakh in interest on a โ‚น44 lakh loan.

The savings account rate of 2.75% and the home loan rate of 9% are not arbitrary. That spread is the entire banking business model. Your deposit funds someone else's loan.

The bank is not extracting unusually high margins. Sector GNPA is at a 15-year low of around 2.1%, which means provisioning costs are actually low right now. The spread still exists because the cost of running the liability franchise is significant.

One practical implication: prepaying principal in the early years of a loan has an outsized impact. Every rupee applied to principal in Year 1 effectively saves you that amount compounded at your loan rate over the remaining tenure. On a 20-year loan at 9%, that math is significant.

Understanding the structure does not make the EMI smaller. But it does help you make better decisions about prepayment timing.

Data: HDFC Bank Q2 FY26 standalone results (October 2025), RBI Trends & Progress Report (December 2025), RBI Monetary Policy April 2026. Educational content only. Not investment advice.

HFCL: From a quarterly loss of Rs 83 crore to a record profit of Rs 184 crore in 12 months.A year ago, HFCL was struggli...
29/05/2026

HFCL: From a quarterly loss of Rs 83 crore to a record profit of Rs 184 crore in 12 months.

A year ago, HFCL was struggling. High dependence on domestic government contracts with long payment cycles was hurting margins. The stock reflected that pain, spending nearly 20 months in deep consolidation.

But while the stock was going nowhere, the business was quietly being rebuilt.

Today, HFCL is no longer just a domestic telecom infrastructure company. It manufactures high fiber-count optical cables for global hyperscalers and AI data centres. It builds 5G routers and Wi-Fi systems. Through its defence subsidiary, it makes aerospace cables, electronic fuses, and drone detection radars.

Five years ago, exports were 4.5% of the order book. Today that number is over 41%.

The Q4 FY26 numbers reflect that shift clearly.

Revenue up 128% year on year to Rs 1,824 crore. EBITDA margins moved from negative to 18.47%. Full year PAT nearly doubled to Rs 329 crore. The order book is at an all-time high of Rs 21,200 crore, roughly 4x the company's annual revenue. That includes a single USD 1.1 billion global optical fibre cable contract, likely the largest ever won by an Indian telecom company.

The forward guidance is equally interesting. Defence revenue is expected to grow 7x by FY27. Data centre solutions alone are projected to add Rs 400 crore in FY27.

The chart is consistent with the fundamental picture. After a prolonged consolidation, HFCL broke out of a Rounding Bottom pattern on the daily timeframe with the highest volume seen in months. A business transformation and a technical breakout arriving together is not something you see every day.

The risks are real and should not be ignored. Promoter pledge levels remain a concern. Valuations have moved up sharply after the rally. Receivable cycles in government and defence contracts tend to be long, which puts pressure on working capital.

But the direction of change is hard to argue with. The company has diversified its revenue across telecom, defence, and data centres, reduced its dependence on domestic government orders, and built a global export business from scratch.

HFCL is not the same company it was three years ago. The market is just starting to price that in.

Not investment advice. Please do your own research before making any decisions.


In 2022, the Indian government rewrote the rules of the electronics industry.Every brand selling phones, laptops, ACs or...
28/05/2026

In 2022, the Indian government rewrote the rules of the electronics industry.

Every brand selling phones, laptops, ACs or TVs must now recycle a fixed percentage of what they sell. By FY 2027-28, that target hits 80%. Miss it, pay environmental compensation.

A compliance market was born. And a handful of authorised recyclers became the infrastructure that makes the entire system work.

Eco Recycling Limited (BSE: ECORECO) is one of them. Operating since 2005. Near-zero debt. Capacity expanded over 4x. FY25 EBITDA margin north of 70%.

The story is real. The risks are also real.

Swipe through for the full picture, the regulation, the numbers, and the questions worth asking before you form a view.

Everyone bought HAL.But India's defence budget is โ‚น6.21 lakh crore in FY25 โ€” and HAL is just one company in one segment ...
28/05/2026

Everyone bought HAL.

But India's defence budget is โ‚น6.21 lakh crore in FY25 โ€” and HAL is just one company in one segment of a much larger ecosystem.

Here's the full map most retail investors haven't seen yet.

6 sectors. 15+ listed companies. All on NSE/BSE.

๐Ÿ”น Aerospace โ€” the jets, engines and missiles
๐Ÿ”น Naval โ€” submarines, destroyers, frigates
๐Ÿ”น Electronics โ€” radar, avionics, communication systems
๐Ÿ”น Ammunition โ€” shells, propellants, artillery components
๐Ÿ”น Drones & Sensors โ€” UAVs, electronic warfare, optics
๐Ÿ”น Cyber & Software โ€” simulators, embedded systems, C4ISR

India is no longer just buying defence equipment from the world.
It's building it.

The Atmanirbhar Bharat push has quietly created one of the most investable domestic themes of this decade โ€” across segments most people haven't even heard of.

The question isn't whether India's defence sector will grow.
The question is: which part of the supply chain are you positioned in?

Follow our Threads Page ๐Ÿ‘‡
https://www.threads.com/

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) || 27 May 2026 Analysis ๐Ÿ“ŠTata Technologies listed at โ‚น1,400 in November 2023 with massive e...
27/05/2026

Tata Technologies (TATATECH) || 27 May 2026 Analysis ๐Ÿ“Š

Tata Technologies listed at โ‚น1,400 in November 2023 with massive expectations. By March 2026, the stock had crashed to โ‚น507, a 63% wipeout from the portfolio.

But quietly, things have started to change.

Q4 FY26 was a turnaround quarter:
- Revenue grew 15% in just one quarter to โ‚น1,572 Cr
- Net profit jumped from โ‚น6.6 Cr to โ‚น204 Cr sequentially
- EBITDA margins expanded to 16%, the highest in a while
- Dividend of โ‚น11.70/share declared
- Management guided double-digit growth plus margin expansion for FY27

The business has clearly hit an inflection point.

The stock is now telling the same story. From its March low, Tata Tech has rallied ~40% to โ‚น720. And it's now testing the long-term descending trendline that has rejected every rally since IPO.

A breakout above โ‚น730 could open the path to โ‚น780 and โ‚น870 in the medium term. A rejection takes it back to the โ‚น650 base.

But 81% of services revenue comes from the auto sector, with heavy reliance on the Tata Motors ecosystem. Valuations remain premium versus peers. This is a real business turnaround, but not a risk-free trade.

For long-term investors who believe in India's product engineering and EV transformation story, Tata Tech is back on the radar.

What's your view? IPO redemption or value trap?

Disclaimer: Any views or recommendations are based on publicly available information and research and should not be construed as a guarantee of returns. Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Did you notice something strange? ๐Ÿค”
26/05/2026

Did you notice something strange? ๐Ÿค”

Apollo Hospitals (APOLLOHOSP) || 25 May 2026 Analysis ๐Ÿ“ŠApollo Hospitals delivered one of the strongest quarters in India...
25/05/2026

Apollo Hospitals (APOLLOHOSP) || 25 May 2026 Analysis ๐Ÿ“Š

Apollo Hospitals delivered one of the strongest quarters in Indian healthcare.

Indiaโ€™s largest hospital chain quietly posted record numbers while the stock broke out to fresh 52-week highs after months of consolidation.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Profits jumped 36% YoY
๐Ÿ‘‰ Quarterly revenue crossed โ‚น6,600 crore
๐Ÿ‘‰ Margins hit an all-time high
๐Ÿ‘‰ โ‚น10/share dividend announced

Even more importantly, Apolloโ€™s pharmacy and digital health businesses turned profitable for the first time.

- Apollo plans to separately list its pharmacy and digital health business by early 2027.
- This could create a standalone healthcare platform with potential revenues of โ‚น25,000+ crore.
- For existing shareholders, that means exposure to TWO separate businesses through ONE stock today.
- After nearly 6 months of moving sideways, the stock has now broken out with strong volumes and fresh momentum.
- For long-term investors tracking Indiaโ€™s healthcare growth story, Apollo Hospitals is becoming difficult to ignore right now.

Not investment advice. Always do your own research.

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