09/05/2026
Just finished analyzing every U.S. midterm since 1978.
The result? The stock market almost always dips before midterms.
12 midterms
12 declines
Most bottoms happen right before the vote
Some declines were huge (‑25%, ‑26%, ‑47%)
Others were mild pullbacks
It’s one of the most consistent market patterns I’ve seen.
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