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林玖龍, 香港, Kowloon (2026)

04/01/2023

港股收盘分析：地产保险大涨，恒指暴涨647点！这两天香港市场赚钱效应明显，与2022年形成鲜明对比，这也印证了我之前的预测：不是港股不愿意涨，也不是港股不能涨，而是港股要把涨幅储备到2023年，不管你说是任务还是手段，总之，2023年的港股肯定会比2022年强很多！

老实说，对于今天的市场，我没有什么特别要强调的，一切都在按照预期发展。在这个过程中，我们耐心的持股等待上涨。不要乱来，安心持股就好，因为市场是轮动上涨的，只要你不乱动，上涨都轮到你的股票。大家知道，我目前重仓的是银行股。今天银行股继续上涨，加速上攻，符合我的预期。

对于明日之后的行情走势，其实已经一目了然。跨年度行情已经开始，从现在到2月份，都是长期赚钱的好时机！所以，现在真的没什么好说的，市场没有风险，个股的上涨才刚刚开始。如果现在还在和你谈风险的人，他真的是不会炒股！

还是那句话，在2023年2月份前，都是赚钱的好机会，希望大家能赶上这一波行情。只要抓住这一波，那么大家应该都能有不错的收获。利润都是积累出来的，不要想的太少，耐心的坚持下去！

最后一句话，不要执着于技术分析的太多花样，根本没有多大意义，也不要执着于行情的涨跌，这与你是否可以赚钱。只有把握好市场的底层逻辑，才能一剑封喉，实现自身价值，才能真正享受吃到大肉。

好了各位，跨年度行情开始了，一段暴利的行情来之不易，大量的中小盘股将翻倍行情，大家要抓住这一次赚钱的机会，懂的人已经在和我们一起吃肉，那些不了解的人还在为自己的错误买单！！！

Hong Kong stock market closing analysis: real estate insurance soared, the Hang Seng Index soared 647 points! In the past two days, the Hong Kong market has an obvious profit-making effect, which is in stark contrast to 2022. This also confirms my previous prediction: it’s not that Hong Kong stocks are unwilling to rise, or that Hong Kong stocks cannot rise, but that Hong Kong stocks must reserve the gains until 2023. Whether it is a task or a means, in short, the Hong Kong stock market in 2023 will definitely be much stronger than in 2022!

To be honest, I have nothing special to highlight about today's market, everything is developing as expected. In this process, we patiently hold shares and wait for the rise. Don't mess around, just hold your shares with peace of mind, because the market is going up in rotation, as long as you don't move around, it's your stock's turn to go up. As you all know, my current heavy position is bank stocks. Bank stocks continued to rise today, accelerating their upside, which was in line with my expectations.

For the market trend after tomorrow, it is already clear at a glance. The multi-year market has begun, and it is a good time to make long-term money from now to February! Therefore, there is really nothing to say now, the market has no risk, and the rise of individual stocks has just begun. If the person who is still talking about risks with you now, he really doesn't know how to trade in stocks!

Still the same sentence, before February 2023, it is a good opportunity to make money. I hope everyone can catch up with this wave of market prices. As long as you catch this wave, everyone should be able to have a good harvest. Profits are all accumulated, don't think too little, just stick to it patiently!

The last sentence, don't be obsessed with too many tricks of technical analysis, it doesn't make much sense at all, and don't be obsessed with the ups and downs of the market, it has nothing to do with whether you can make money. Only by grasping the underlying logic of the market can we seal the throat with a sword, realize our own value, and truly enjoy eating big meat.

Well, everyone, the New Year’s market has begun. A period of huge profits is hard to come by. A large number of small and medium-cap stocks will double their market. Everyone should seize this opportunity to make money. Those who understand are already eating meat with us. Those who don’t People who understand are still paying for their mistakes! ! !

03/01/2023

港股收盘分析：今日股市迎来开门红，恒生指数强势突破20000点，整个市场也很火爆，和我节前的预测基本一致，但是成交量依然不足，后市可能还是会慢慢发展。对于目前的股市，我有以下几点看法，供各位投资朋友参考。

首先，今天的涨幅非常扎实，因为今天其实有大量个股在上涨，按照今天个股的上涨情况来看，今天的指数至少要涨3%以上。虽然今日指数涨幅不大，但上涨个股数量超过65%，涨幅超过10%的个股超过50只。这说明今天的涨是很实在的，一点水份都没有！

可以说今天的市场已经完全走出了小牛市的感觉！所以很多人在收盘后还是不相信，2023年的股市真的不一样了吗？我可以肯定的告诉你，2023年股市一定要牛，尤其是恒生指数，因为它是有使命的，这个我后面会详细分析。

从上周开始，我就多次提醒，跨年度行情已经启动，从现在到2月份的很长一段时间内都是赚钱的好时机！但机会是留给有准备的人。两个月前，我们坚持以银行为主的大金融，期间高卖低买，高低交替了好几次。

自从我11月份讲到银行板块，短短两个月的时间，板块涨幅超过15%，里面的个股涨幅翻了无数倍！我说了，你可以选择大金融银行和大消费，过年之前持有就好了，保证给您丰厚的利润！现在回想起来，我的分析得到了验证！当然，在接下来的连续暴涨之后，我应该考虑出货。

朋友们，在2月份之前，恒生指数没有风险，指数会继续震荡上行，我们继续以持股为主。今天，恒指已经小幅试水，跨年行情悄然展开，懂的已经在吃肉了，不懂的还在为自己的错误买单！！！

如果觉得我的分析对你的股市投资有帮助，记得关注哦，不然下次找不到我了。

Closing analysis of Hong Kong stocks: Today's stock market ushered in a good start. The Hang Seng Index broke through 20,000 points strongly. The whole market is also very hot. It is basically consistent with my forecast before the holiday. However, the trading volume is still insufficient, and the market outlook may still develop slowly. Regarding the current stock market, I have the following views for your reference.

First of all, today's increase is very solid, because a large number of individual stocks are actually rising today. Judging from the rise of individual stocks today, today's index must rise by at least 3%. Although the index has not risen much today, the number of individual stocks with an increase of more than 65% and more than 50 individual stocks with an increase of more than 10%. This shows that today's rise is very real, there is no moisture at all!

It can be said that today's market has completely walked out of the feeling of a small bull market! So many people still don't believe it after the market closes. Is the stock market really different in 2023? I can tell you with certainty that the stock market must be strong in 2023, especially the Hang Seng Index, because it has a mission, which I will analyze in detail later.

Since last week, I have reminded many times that the multi-year market has started, and it will be a good time to make money for a long period of time from now to February! But opportunities are reserved for those who are prepared. Two months ago, we insisted on big finance with banks as the mainstay. During this period, we sold high and bought low, and alternated high and low several times.

Since I talked about the banking sector in November, in just two months, the sector has increased by more than 15%, and the individual stocks in it have increased countless times! As I said, you can choose a big financial bank and a big consumer, just hold it before the Chinese New Year, and you will be guaranteed huge profits! In retrospect, my analysis was validated! Of course, after the next consecutive surge, I should consider shipping.

Friends, before February, there is no risk in the Hang Seng Index, the index will continue to fluctuate upwards, and we will continue to focus on holding stocks. Today, the Hang Seng Index has tested the waters slightly, and the New Year’s Eve market is quietly unfolding. Those who understand are already eating meat, and those who don’t understand are still paying for their mistakes! ! !

If you think my analysis is helpful to your stock market investment, remember to pay attention, otherwise you will not find me next time.

03/01/2023

开门红！恒指如期突破20000点！跨年度行情已启动！！！

今天是2023年的第一个交易日，股市给了我们一份非常大的礼物：恒指强势突破20000点！！！

今日指数虽涨幅不大，但两市个股开花！这种赚钱效应还是很受欢迎的，至少这种现象已经很久没有出现了。春江水暖鸭的先知，个股的开花，争奇斗艳，已经可以说明市场气氛的回暖。

一个行情能不能做和指数关系不大，因为我们做的是个股。只要个股上涨，我们就可以大胆参与。从目前来看，恒指19000点的底部区间还是比较靠谱的。这是第一个好现象！

今日虽然多数个股上涨，但权重打压将导致大盘连续震荡，连续突破仍需银行股发力。我的想法是，不追涨不杀跌，继续走银行主导的大金融底层逻辑，持股不动！！！

朋友们，跨年度行情在上周正式启动。在这一波股指震荡上行的过程中，大量的中小盘股将轮流活跃。如果你把握好节奏，从现在到2月份很长的一段时间，都将是赚钱的好时机！

朋友们，新的一年，希望我的粉丝朋友们在新的一年里继续在股市共同奋进，风雨同舟。都说2023年是不平凡的癸卯免年，下次再见，就是一千年后了。而今年是黑兔年，又称金兔年、水年。黑色与水有关，水与财富有关。在华人的传统文化中，水就代表财富！

最后一句，祝大家新年快乐！新年发大财！！！

Good start! The Hang Seng Index breaks through 20,000 points as scheduled! The multi-year quotation has started! ! !

Today is the first trading day of 2023, and the stock market has given us a very big gift: the Hang Seng Index broke through 20,000 points strongly! ! !

Although the index has not risen much today, individual stocks in the two cities are blooming! This money-making effect is still very popular, at least this phenomenon has not appeared for a long time. The Prophet of the Spring River Plumbing Duck, the blooming of individual stocks, and the competition for beauty can already explain the recovery of the market atmosphere.

Whether a market can be done has little to do with the index, because what we are doing is individual stocks. As long as individual stocks rise, we can boldly participate. From the current point of view, the bottom range of the Hang Seng Index at 19,000 points is relatively reliable. This is the first good sign!

Although most individual stocks rose today, the suppression of weights will lead to continuous shocks in the market, and continuous breakthroughs still require the efforts of bank stocks. My idea is, don't chase the rise and don't kill the fall, continue to follow the underlying logic of the bank-led big finance, and hold shares without moving! ! !

Friends, the New Year's Market was officially launched last week. In the process of this wave of stock index shocks and upward movement, a large number of small and medium-cap stocks will be active in turn. If you grasp the rhythm, it will be a good time to make money for a long time from now to February!

Friends, in the new year, I hope that my fans and friends will continue to forge ahead together in the stock market in the new year and stand together through thick and thin. It is said that 2023 is an extraordinary year of Guimao Mian. See you next time, it will be a thousand years later. This year is the Year of the Black Rabbit, also known as the Year of the Golden Rabbit or the Year of the Water. Black is associated with water, and water is associated with wealth. In Chinese traditional culture, water represents wealth!

The last sentence, I wish you all a happy new year! Make a fortune in the new year! ! !

28/12/2022

为什么全球经济不景气，只有穷人越来越穷？富人赚得更多吗？你是否注意到，新冠疫情爆发后，2020-2022年全球前10大富豪的财富表现平均增长了57%，他们到底是怎么做到的？

难道是因为有钱人更聪明吗？还是原来的经济制度是为了保护富人而设计的？这里有几个原因，让我来揭露几个原因。

第一是政府救助资金。每当经济危机来临时，人们的收入都会受到影响，这也会间接影响到我们的消费水平，这也会导致很多企业面临亏损，甚至倒闭。

但关键是，如果大公司面临倒闭危机，那么他们可能会裁员，失业人数会上升，所以很多群体可能无法度过经济危机。因此，当经济出现危机时，很多国家都会动用国家的应急储备基金来救助这些大企业。

但是比如马来西亚的1MDB，亏空和需要填补的债务坑谁来承担？没错，就是我们纳税人的钱。这听起来很不公平！当你面临失业或金融危机时，国家不会向你伸出援手。相反，那些大公司将能够立即获得政府补贴；而当经济增长时，富人也能赚到更多的钱。

这也是富人能够安然度过经济危机的原因之一，因为富人的企业大多能影响到国民经济，同时牵扯到诸多利益。如果一家大企业面临倒闭的风险，对政府来说无疑是一个重大损失！

其次，在购物时利用全球大减价。当经济不景气时，当普通人担心下个月能否活下来时，富人开始购物，但他们当然不会购买那些时尚单品。富人会趁着经济不景气，大公司资产缩水的时候，果断低价买入。截至2022年12月，股市跌幅超过30%，正是富人入市之时。

巴菲特通过他的旗舰投资公司积极购买股票，包括他自己的股票，此举体现了他的哲学：“别人贪婪时恐惧，别人恐惧时贪婪。”

因此，经济萧条对所有人来说未必都是坏消息。如果你有准备，你甚至可以利用经济萧条赚取平时赚不到的财富。

Why is the global economy depressed and only the poor are getting poorer? Do the rich earn more? Have you noticed that after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, the wealth performance of the top 10 richest people in the world increased by an average of 57% from 2020 to 2022? How did they do it?

Is it because rich people are smarter? Or was the original economic system designed to protect the wealthy? Here are a few reasons, let me expose a few.

The first is government bailout funds. Whenever an economic crisis comes, people's income will be affected, which will also indirectly affect our consumption level, which will also cause many companies to face losses or even go bankrupt.

But the point is, if big companies are facing the crisis of closing down, then they may lay off workers, the unemployment rate will rise, so many groups may not survive the economic crisis. Therefore, when the economy is in crisis, many countries will use the country's emergency reserve fund to rescue these large enterprises.

But for 1MDB in Malaysia, who will bear the deficit and the debt pit that needs to be filled? That's right, our taxpayers' money. That sounds so unfair! When you face unemployment or financial crisis, the state will not come to your aid. Instead, those big companies will be able to receive government subsidies immediately; and when the economy grows, the wealthy will also earn more money.

This is also one of the reasons why the rich can survive the economic crisis safely, because most of the enterprises of the rich can affect the national economy and involve many interests at the same time. If a large enterprise faces the risk of bankruptcy, it will undoubtedly be a major loss for the government!

Second, take advantage of global sales when you shop. When the economy sucks, when ordinary people worry about surviving the next month, the rich start shopping, but of course they don't buy those fashion items. The rich will take advantage of the economic downturn and when the assets of large companies shrink, they will decisively buy at low prices. As of December 2022, the stock market has fallen by more than 30%, which is when the rich enter the market.

Buffett aggressively buys stocks, including his own, through his flagship investment firm, a move that embodies his philosophy: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful."

So a recession isn't necessarily bad news for everyone. If you're prepared, you can even take advantage of a recession to make a fortune you wouldn't normally make.

28/12/2022

港股收盘分析：跨年度行情今日正式开市！恒生指数反弹的号角已经吹响。在此我提醒各位股民朋友，2022年仅剩两个交易日，如果你还在犹豫，那你将错过这波港股的上涨！！！

今天恒生指数高开高走，然后一路震荡上行。当然，这都是在我的预期内！今日以金融银行为主的蓝筹股以上涨为主，板块指数上涨3.32%，这也是我坚持重仓守候的领域，具备有较强的持续性，可以继续坚定持有。今日消费股有所回落，但下行空间不大，短期可能会继续震荡，不必过于担心。

过去两周，恒指持续在19000点附近震荡。之前我一直跟大家说，恒指从14597点开始的调整周期上限是10天。这一次，自9日以来未能突破20000点，经过8天的调整，第9天开始企稳，第10天正式启动跨年度行情。这是一件好事，良性的循环。当然，由于短期缺乏成交量和市场情绪，近半个月上涨节奏缓慢。不过没关系，只要趋势没问题。

我一再说，恒生指数的上涨一定要靠大金融，尤其是我一再强调的银行股，这是决定市场走向的核心力量！因为恒生指数要继续上涨，银行股必须继续发力，带动上涨的逻辑和情绪。其他板块目前没有此核心力量，这也是我重仓银行股的底气。

我还要提醒大家，从逻辑和技术的多重判断来看，目前恒指整体不存在系统性风险爆发的可能。至少我认为2023年3月之前，恒指不可能再出现大跌，因为短期的利空消息也已经耗尽，目前正处于回升阶段。

我很清楚，很多人在股市中难以生存。正如我之前反复强调的，市场已经进入淘汰赛阶段。随着全球疫情封锁的恢复，大部分人都会逐渐回归正常的生活轨道，股市也不会容许那么多不坚持的人在里面生存。后期股市的上涨他一定不可能赚到钱，所以早点退出可能是件好事！

认识我的朋友都很了解我。我经历了太多的股市上涨周期，只有像我这样，才能在股市长久生存。风轻云淡，无宠无辱，我有我的自信，我也有我的倔强！

最后一句话，做好自己！2023年，所有行业，一定是大浪淘沙，我们只能坚持让自己勇敢的活着，加油！如果您觉得我的分析对您的股市投资有帮助，记得关注哦，不然下次就找不到我了。

Analysis of the closing of Hong Kong stocks: the multi-year market officially opens today! The clarion call for the Hang Seng Index's rebound has sounded. Here I would like to remind all shareholders and friends that there are only two trading days left in 2022. If you are still hesitating, you will miss this wave of Hong Kong stocks' rise! ! !

Today the Hang Seng Index opened high and went high, and then fluctuated all the way up. Of course, this is all within my expectations! Today, the blue-chip stocks dominated by financial banks are mainly rising, and the sector index rose by 3.32%. This is also an area where I insist on waiting heavily. Today's consumer stocks have fallen back, but there is not much room for downside. They may continue to fluctuate in the short term, so don't worry too much.

Over the past two weeks, the Hang Seng Index has continued to fluctuate around 19,000 points. I have been telling everyone before that the upper limit of the adjustment cycle of the Hang Seng Index starting from 14597 points is 10 days. This time, it failed to break through 20,000 points since the 9th. After 8 days of adjustments, it began to stabilize on the 9th day, and officially launched the multi-year market on the 10th day. This is a good thing, a virtuous cycle. Of course, due to the lack of short-term trading volume and market sentiment, the pace of rise in the past half month has been slow. But it doesn't matter, as long as the trend is okay.

I have repeatedly said that the rise of the Hang Seng Index must rely on big finance, especially the bank stocks that I have repeatedly emphasized. This is the core force that determines the direction of the market! Because the Hang Seng Index wants to continue to rise, bank stocks must continue to work hard to drive the logic and emotions of the rise. Other sectors currently do not have this core strength, which is why I am heavily invested in bank stocks.

I would also like to remind everyone that from the multiple judgments of logic and technology, there is currently no possibility of systemic risk outbreak in the Hang Seng Index as a whole. At least I think that before March 2023, it is impossible for the Hang Seng Index to fall sharply again, because the short-term bad news has also been exhausted, and it is currently in the recovery stage.

I know very well that many people have difficulty surviving in the stock market. As I have repeatedly emphasized before, the market has entered the knockout stage. With the recovery of the global epidemic blockade, most people will gradually return to their normal life track, and the stock market will not allow so many people who do not persist to survive in it. He will definitely not be able to make money when the stock market rises in the later period, so it may be a good thing to quit early!

Friends who know me know me well. I have experienced too many stock market upcycles, and only like me can survive in the stock market for a long time. I have my self-confidence, and I also have my stubbornness!

The last sentence, be yourself! In 2023, all industries must be washed away by big waves. We can only insist on keeping ourselves alive bravely, come on! If you think my analysis is helpful to your stock market investment, remember to pay attention, otherwise you won’t be able to find me next time.

27/12/2022

港股点评：假期结束，明天港股开市，一个字：涨！！！

上周，股市继续低迷。恒生指数最低跌至18885.2点，市场情绪低迷，但我并不悲观。对于本周的股市，我发表一下自己的看法，供大家参考。

1、上周恒生指数以缩量为主。缩量的主要原因是底部结构的技术博，对股市形成了较大的套现压力。

2、上周大消费仍是大赢家。消费股延续前期强势，符合政策基调，也验证了我之前的判断。不过，金融股表现一般，一定程度上打压了市场节奏，但不改金融股和消费股轮流拉动大盘上升的逻辑。

3、本周恒生指数将延续前期的底层逻辑。预计恒指本周将延续，消费股、金融股依次上涨的逻辑，符合政策方向、盘面逻辑和技术特征。

4、本周市场或将迎来全面反弹。主要原因是上周金融股回调充分，新能源、科技股短期动力不足。当然，消费股在中短期内仍然没有回调空间，多数个股和板块在本周反弹概率较大。

5、港股明天开市，一个字：涨！如果金融、科技、消费股一起上涨，恒指一定是中大阳线，但如果只有消费股上涨，那么恒指就是小阳线，就这么简单！

兄弟们，跨年度行情已经悄然拉开了序幕，懂的人已经跟着我们在大口吃肉了，不懂的人还在犹豫，每天只能面对股票的亏损而焦虑，这就是差距！！！

这周是2022年的最后一周，很多人都在囤药，但是真心奉劝大家，用囤药的钱去炒股，一定没错！！！

Comments on Hong Kong stocks: The holiday is over, and the Hong Kong stock market will open tomorrow. One word: up! ! !

Last week, the stock market continued to slump. The lowest Hang Seng Index fell to 18885.2 points, the market sentiment is depressed, but I am not pessimistic. Regarding this week's stock market, I would like to express my views for your reference.

1. Last week, the Hang Seng Index mainly shrank. The main reason for the shrinkage is the technical gambling of the bottom structure, which has formed a greater pressure on the stock market to cash out.

2. Big consumption last week was still the big winner. Consumption stocks continued their strength in the previous period, which was in line with the policy tone and verified my previous judgment. However, the average performance of financial stocks has suppressed the market rhythm to a certain extent, but it does not change the logic that financial stocks and consumer stocks take turns driving the market up.

3. The Hang Seng Index this week will continue the underlying logic of the previous period. It is expected that the Hang Seng Index will continue this week, and the logic of rising consumer stocks and financial stocks in turn is in line with the policy direction, disk logic and technical characteristics.

4. The market may usher in a comprehensive rebound this week. The main reason is that last week, financial stocks had a sufficient correction, and new energy and technology stocks lacked short-term momentum. Of course, consumer stocks still have no room for correction in the short to medium term, and most individual stocks and sectors have a higher probability of rebounding this week.

5. The Hong Kong stock market will open tomorrow, one word: up! If financial, technology, and consumer stocks rise together, the Hang Seng Index must be a medium and large positive line, but if only consumer stocks rise, then the Hang Seng Index will be a small positive line, it's as simple as that!

Brothers, the New Year’s market has quietly kicked off. Those who understand have followed us to eat meat, while those who don’t understand are still hesitating. They can only face the loss of stocks and worry every day. This is the gap! ! !

This week is the last week of 2022. Many people are hoarding medicines, but I sincerely advise everyone that it must be right to use the money from hoarding medicines to speculate in stocks! ! !

26/12/2022

关于即将到来的 2023 年的七项预测：

一、关于冠状病毒病。病毒将在2023年继续陪伴我们，绝大多数人会被二次感染，甚至三次感染。冠状病毒病不会这么快翻身，不排除以后会出现变异病毒，但基本靠自己。

第二、关于经济。全社会为开放付出了健康的代价，社会自然会期待这些代价能够换来经济复苏。由于2022年全球经济数据确实很糟糕，可能会出现2023年经济复苏的假象，GDP会增长，但这不是真实的状态。

第三、关于生育。2023年生育率再创新低，生育率将跌至历史低点，这种情况可能会持续到2024年甚至更长时间，这取决于经济复苏情况。与此同时，抑郁症患者越来越多，每个人在外都尽量避免与他人发生冲突。

第四，关于教育。内卷情况依然很严重，第三方培训开始死灰复燃，新一代家长不再关注孩子的学习成绩，而是更加关注孩子的身心健康。建议年轻父母首先要培养孩子的个人生存能力和照顾家庭的能力。男生要让他有责任感，女生要坚韧贤惠。

第五、关于就业。可以确定2023年就业难度更大。首先，毕业生人数会增加。第二，一些国际市场将不复存在。冠状病毒病后的产业转移将带来更多的失业。这样一来，各个行业的竞争就会越来越激烈，平躺、不结婚、不消费的声音也会越来越多。

第六、关于工作。保住工作，保住工作，保住工作，重要的事情说三遍。全球冠状病毒病释放后，部分人将被彻底淘汰。这个时候不要激进，把钱掌握在自己手里，不要盲目投资。

第七、关于股市。2023年，股市将逐渐好转，在众人不信的目光下，一个个创新高。这与很多人的感受恰恰相反，因为在经济形势越来越差、不确定性越来越大的情况下，股市会带头牛。

以上是我对即将到来的2023年的七大预测，如果你同意，请点赞支持转发，让更多人看到。如果您不同意，请留下您的意见。

最后，希望大家在2023年多存钱，保重身体。

Seven predictions for the coming year 2023:

1. Regarding the coronavirus disease. The virus will continue to accompany us in 2023, and the vast majority of people will be infected twice or even three times. The coronavirus disease will not recover so quickly, and it is not ruled out that there will be mutated viruses in the future, but it basically depends on itself.

Second, about the economy. Society as a whole has paid a healthy price for openness, and society naturally expects economic recovery in exchange for that price. Since the global economic data in 2022 is really bad, there may be a false sense of economic recovery in 2023, and GDP will increase, but this is not the real state.

Third, about childbirth. In 2023, the fertility rate will reach a new low, and the fertility rate will fall to an all-time low. This situation may continue until 2024 or even longer, depending on the economic recovery. At the same time, there are more and more patients with depression, and everyone tries to avoid conflicts with others outside.

Fourth, on education. The situation of involution is still serious, and third-party training has begun to revive. The new generation of parents no longer pay attention to their children's academic performance, but pay more attention to their children's physical and mental health. It is suggested that young parents should first cultivate their children's personal viability and the ability to take care of their families. Boys should let him have a sense of responsibility, and girls should be tough and virtuous.

Fifth, about employment. It can be determined that employment will be more difficult in 2023. First, the number of graduates will increase. Second, some international markets will cease to exist. Post-COVID industrial shifts will bring more job losses. As a result, the competition in various industries will become more and more fierce, and there will be more and more voices about lying flat, not getting married, and not consuming.

Sixth, about work. Keep your job, keep your job, keep your job, say the important things three times. After the release of COVID-19, some people will be completely eliminated. Don't be aggressive at this time, keep the money in your own hands, and don't invest blindly.

Seventh, about the stock market. In 2023, the stock market will gradually improve, and under the eyes of everyone's disbelief, they will hit new highs one by one. This is the exact opposite of how many people feel, as the stock market will lead the way as the economy gets worse and uncertainty grows.

The above are my seven predictions for the upcoming 2023. If you agree, please like, support and repost, so that more people can see it. If you disagree, please leave your comment.

Finally, I hope that everyone will save more money and take care of their health in 2023.

20/12/2022

不要犹豫，调整结束，悄然发起进攻，开始买入，下午恒生指数就是一个字：涨！

今日恒指低开震荡走低，到目前为止，它已经下跌了1.61%。今天主要是大消费的零售股在下跌。近一个月来，大宗消费平均增幅超过40%，回调很正常，没什么大惊喜。

很多人看到今天恒指和很多板块又跌了，纷纷叫嚣股市是不是要崩盘了。请问这些看空的朋友，你们能不能好好看看今天的行情，你们真的看不出来吗？新一轮的攻击已经开始了？

通过盘面，我发现今天大量个股已经开始拒绝下跌，甚至逆势上涨。这是什么意思？说明攻击居然已经悄无声息的开始了！让我们看看今天下跌的板块都有哪些，前期高涨的不就是零售、食品、地产、医药板块吗？我有没有警告过你这些行业的风险吗？

我上周说了，这些板块短期见顶了，千万不要再傻傻的追涨，谁追谁亏损！只要避开这些板块，今天的下跌对你有杀伤力吗？虽然指数被这些板块拉低，但其他股票不涨吗？

昨天看到有人割肉的时候就知道，这帮人从来都是涨的时候追涨，跌的时候杀跌的人。在我的字典里，永远不会出现这种追涨杀跌的情况。只要大方向是对的，管它涨跌？

还是那句话，今天将开启新一轮攻势，大量个股拒绝下跌，开始率先反扑，这是一个好兆头！此刻恒指已经止跌企稳，震荡上行。我认为今天有必要红色收市。收盘后，你会发现攻击已经开始了！

如果您觉得我的分析对您的股市投资有帮助，记得关注哦，不然下次就找不到我了。

Don't hesitate, the adjustment is over, quietly launch an attack, start buying, the Hang Seng Index in the afternoon is just one word: up!

Today, the HSI opened lower and fluctuated lower. So far, it has fallen by 1.61%. Today, mainly retail stocks of big consumers are falling. In the past month, the average growth rate of bulk consumption has exceeded 40%. The correction is normal and there is no big surprise.

Many people saw that the Hang Seng Index and many sectors fell again today, clamoring whether the stock market is about to crash. I would like to ask these bearish friends, can you take a good look at today's market, can you really not see it? A new round of attacks has already begun?

Through the market, I found that a large number of individual stocks have begun to refuse to fall today, and even rose against the trend. What does it mean? It means that the attack has started quietly! Let's take a look at the sectors that have fallen today. Aren't the sectors that rose earlier were the retail, food, real estate, and pharmaceutical sectors? Did I warn you about the risks in these industries?

As I said last week, these sectors have peaked in the short-term, so don’t be foolish about chasing up, whoever chases will lose money! Just avoid these sectors, is today's drop killing you? Although the index is pulled down by these sectors, don't other stocks rise?

When I saw someone cut their flesh yesterday, I knew that this group of people has always been the one who chases the rise when it rises, and kills the fall when it falls. In my dictionary, there will never be such a situation of chasing ups and downs. As long as the general direction is right, do you care about its ups and downs?

Still the same sentence, a new round of offensive will start today, a large number of individual stocks refused to fall, and began to take the lead in counterattacking, this is a good sign! At this moment, the Hang Seng Index has stopped falling and stabilized, fluctuating upward. I think it is necessary to close the market in red today. After the market closes, you will find that the attack has begun!

If you think my analysis is helpful to your stock market investment, remember to pay attention, otherwise you won’t be able to find me next time.

20/12/2022

港股早盘分析：全球银行仍面临加息压力，周一美股表现不佳，道琼斯指数收盘下跌 162 点。今天大概率会影响恒指开盘，我不确定今天18,785点的缺口是否会被填补。你只需要知道，市场的每一次洗盘都会成为未来上涨的垫脚石！

目前市场情绪比较低迷，新兴产业的持续走低引发了群体焦虑和恐慌，但目前股市的发展还是有迹可循的。再次，不要担心恒生指数现在为什么下跌？其显着特征是技术性洗盘，最强的龙头回调出现在洗盘即将结束的时候。

技术面，恒指正在构建历史底部结构，风险不大。技术位置问题本质上没有这么强的逻辑，只是资金和情绪的短期共识，不会影响趋势的正常发展和逻辑主线。

我以为恒指上行趋势不变，耐心等待会有收获！短期内，我继续看好科技股和消费股，继续看空银行、保险、地产板块。

如果您觉得我的分析对您的股市投资有帮助，记得关注哦，不然下次就找不到我了

Hong Kong stock market analysis in early trading: Global banks are still under pressure to raise interest rates. US stocks performed poorly on Monday, with the Dow Jones index closing down 162 points. There is a high probability that it will affect the opening of the Hang Seng Index today. I am not sure whether the gap of 18,785 points will be filled today. You just need to know that every wash in the market will become a stepping stone for future rises!

At present, the market sentiment is relatively sluggish, and the continuous decline of emerging industries has caused group anxiety and panic, but the current development of the stock market is still traceable. Again, don't worry about why the Hang Seng Index is falling now? Its distinctive feature is technical washing, and the strongest leading callback occurs when the washing is about to end.

Technically, the Hang Seng Index is building a historical bottom structure with little risk. The issue of technical position does not have such a strong logic in essence. It is only a short-term consensus on funds and emotions, which will not affect the normal development of the trend and the main line of logic.

I thought that the upward trend of the Hang Seng Index remained unchanged, and waiting patiently would pay off! In the short term, I continue to be bullish on technology stocks and consumer stocks, and continue to be bearish on the banking, insurance, and real estate sectors.

If you think my analysis is helpful to your stock market investment, remember to pay attention, otherwise you will not find me next time

19/12/2022

港股午盘分析：今天恒生指数暴跌169点！不要惊慌，让我告诉你为什么？

今日恒生指数高开低走，至此，恒生指数下跌0.87%，最低触及19276点。为什么恒生指数今天跌这么多？其背后的原因是什么？不要恐慌，今天的市场下跌看似凶狠，实则蕴藏着大量的机会。

首先说说今天恒指为什么大跌，因为今天是恒生指数进入调整的第6个交易日，对大部分人来说杀伤力还是很大的。记住一句话，叫欲擒故纵，欲上则下。

今天上午的抛售对象主要有两个：一是以银行保险为首的大型金融板块；另一个是以黄金和贵金属、医药、医疗为首的题材板块。虽然这两大板块都在下跌，但背后的逻辑是不同的。

至于银行、保险、医药板块，上周我明确指出了他们的风险，因为最近涨的太多了，涨多了，自然会有大量的获利回吐，获利盘多了自然就有砸盘的需求。所以对于银行、保险、医药板块，我还是持同样的看法，千万别碰，至少短期内别碰！

所以总结一下，不要怕今天的恒生指数下跌，今天是调整的第六个交易日。午后逐渐企稳，尾盘跌幅收窄。继续看好科技股和消费股，记住，千万不要在黎明前跌倒！短期继续看空银行、保险、地产板块。

如果您觉得我的分析对您的股市投资有帮助，记得关注哦，不然下次就找不到我了。

Midday analysis of Hong Kong stocks: The Hang Seng Index plummeted 169 points today! Don't panic, let me tell you why?

Today, the Hang Seng Index opened higher and moved lower. So far, the Hang Seng Index has fallen by 0.87%, reaching a minimum of 19276 points. Why did the Hang Seng Index fall so much today? What is the reason behind it? Don't panic, today's market drop looks fierce, but it actually contains a lot of opportunities.

First of all, let me talk about why the Hang Seng Index fell sharply today, because today is the sixth trading day that the Hang Seng Index has entered the adjustment, and it is still very lethal to most people. Remember a sentence, that is, if you want to get caught, you will play hard.

There are two main selling targets this morning: one is the large-scale financial sector headed by bancassurance; the other is the theme sector headed by gold and precious metals, medicine, and medical care. While both sectors are down, the logic behind them is different.

As for the banking, insurance, and pharmaceutical sectors, last week I clearly pointed out their risks, because they have risen too much recently, and if they rise too much, there will naturally be a lot of profit-taking, and there will naturally be a lot of profit taking. demand. Therefore, I still hold the same view on the banking, insurance, and pharmaceutical sectors. Don't touch them, at least in the short term!

So to sum up, don't be afraid of the Hang Seng Index falling today, today is the sixth trading day of adjustment. It gradually stabilized in the afternoon, and the decline narrowed in late trading. Continue to be optimistic about technology stocks and consumer stocks, remember, don't fall before dawn! Continue to bearish on the banking, insurance, and real estate sectors in the short term.

If you think my analysis is helpful to your stock market investment, remember to pay attention, otherwise you won’t be able to find me next time.

林玖龍

04/01/2023

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