Sam's Investment - Forex, Gold, Derivatives

28/05/2026

Fellow Investor ,

In yesterday’s message from me, you read “given today’s pre-market moves lower in gold and silver futures, it seems that mining stocks could erase yesterday’s declines quite quickly.”

They did. The GDXJ closed below the final 2025 closing price, and 2026 is once again a down year.

I emphasized the following:

“My point here is that a pause is not the reason to drop one’s guard. It’s precisely this kind of no-volatility environment that can result in the biggest price moves.”

Gold just moved to a new monthly low. So did silver.

All this on a tiny tick up in the USD Index, and in a situation (ahead of GDP, PCE, and initial jobless claims numbers) where both would be expected to rally due to uncertainty.

This is no longer the “wait and see” time.

This is the time to be positioned for what’s to come. Since we’ll be wrapping up our special offer soon, and since the markets are screaming “warning!” from multiple directions, I strongly encourage you to take advantage of it.

22/05/2026

MY COUNTRY IN A NUTSHELL
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW: UNITED STATES 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
💰💰💰🏆🏆🏆🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸😎😎😎

Despite rising fuel prices and persistent inflationary pressures, the U.S. labor market continues to improve, and consumer spending remains resilient—contrary to claims of economic contraction. In fact, the U.S. economy demonstrates fundamental strength. As Memorial Day and the summer season approach, businesses, hotels, and airlines are operating at full capacity.

Major destinations—including Las Vegas, Los Angeles, New York City, Miami, and Orlando—are reporting robust performance and near-full bookings. Commercial activity is thriving and on a clear upward trajectory. Notwithstanding negative sentiment, U.S. equity markets and the nation’s top 50 companies continue to deliver strong profitability and solid financial results, with the year still in progress. We anticipate even stronger performance in the second half of 2026.

USA economy remains one of the most powerful and resilient in history. It has the world's largest nominal GDP, a deep and liquid financial system, dominant global reserve currency (the U.S. dollar), and unmatched innovation in technology, finance, and healthcare. The U.S. also benefits from flexible labor markets, strong consumer spending, and a culture of entrepreneurship that consistently produces world-leading companies. Despite challenges like debt, gynormous deficits, inequality, or political polarization, the fundamentals of our USA economy—size, adaptability, and global influence—keep it among the very best ever.

It is also worth noting that U.S. economic data remains exceptionally strong. Equity markets are climbing continuously, setting record highs on a daily basis. Corporate valuations and market capitalizations—many exceeding trillions of dollars—are nothing short of impressive.

This is the remarkable strength of the United States economy.
God is great !!! Truly a blessing 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA

21/05/2026

GOLD MARKETS
MAY 21 2026
GOLD RANGE (USD 4490 - 4570 = USD80)

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) April 28–29 meeting revealed that a majority of policymakers believe that policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation continued to run persistently above the 2% target. Officials broadly agreed that inflation risks were skewed to the upside and also acknowledged that the conflict in the Middle East could materially alter the balance of risks and complicate the appropriate policy path going forward. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in over a 50% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) in 2026.

The hawkish outlook, in turn, helps limit the overnight USD corrective slide triggered by renewed hopes for a de-escalation in the Iran conflict. In fact, US President Trump said on Wednesday that the US is in the "final stages" of talks with Iran. Adding to this, US Vice President JD Vance also struck an optimistic tone and stated that Iran wanted to make a deal. This, in turn, boosted investors' confidence, which undermined the Greenback's reserve currency status and offered some support to the Gold. The optimism, however, remains capped amid Trump's warning of more military action if Iran does not agree to a peace deal.

Iran criticized Trump's threat and warned against renewed US and Israeli attacks, saying that any such move could greatly escalate the war. Furthermore, investors remain skeptical about an elusive US-Iran peace deal amid major disagreements over Tehran's nuclear program and a standoff over the critical Strait of Hormuz. In fact, Iran launched a new “Persian Gulf Strait Authority” to control traffic through the strategic waterway. This keeps geopolitical risks in play, which contributes to limiting the downside for the USD and keeping a lid on any meaningful appreciating move in the Gold price, warranting caution for bulls.

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA

20/05/2026

TRUMP VISITED BEIJING ON MAY 14.

PUTIN VISITED BEIJING ON MAY 19.

SAME CITY. SAME HOST. FIVE DAYS APART.

CHINA DID NOT CHOOSE BETWEEN THEM.

IT EXTRACTED FROM BOTH.

Trump came asking China to pressure Iran, stop arming Russia, and support American trade interests.

China offered words. No commitments on Iran. No guarantee on Russia. Some soybean purchases and beef licenses.

Five days later — Putin arrived.
Russia brought energy.

The Power of Siberia 2 pipeline which would permanently anchor Russian gas exports to Chinese demand for decades — is on the table.

Russia also brought something else: proof that the Iran war is making Russian oil more valuable to every country that cannot get Gulf supply through Hormuz.

Every day the strait stays closed — Russia earns more.
China pays less for oil that does not require passing through a war zone.

The war America is fighting is financially benefiting the country America just asked for help.

China knows this. Putin knows this.

And Putin flew to Beijing five days after Trump to make sure Xi knows exactly what Russia brings to the table versus what America asks for.

Let's see what comes out of this, but it's getting really interesting

20/05/2026

GOLD MARKETS
MAY 20 2026
RANGE BETWEEN (USD 4535 - 4455 = USD80)

US President ​Donald Trump said on Tuesday that America may need to strike Iran again if a deal is not reached and that he had been an ​hour away from ordering an attack before postponing it following a request from three Gulf leaders. Meanwhile, Vice ​President JD Vance said the US and Iran have made a lot of progress in their talks, and neither side wants to see a resumption ​of the military campaign. However, doubts over a long-elusive diplomatic agreement to end the Iran conflict remain amid major disagreements over Tehran's nuclear program and the Strait of Hormuz. This continues to underpin the Greenback's reserve currency status, which is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the Gold price.

Meanwhile, the uncertainty fueled by the US-Iran stalemate keeps Crude Oil prices elevated near the monthly peak, fueling inflationary concerns and lifting Fed rate hike bets. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are now pricing in over a 55% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs by at least 25 basis points (bps) in 2026. The outlook was reaffirmed by comments from Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson, who said that an appropriate rate increase is possible if growth exceeds potential or inflation threats arise. This led to the recent sharp increase in US Treasury bond yields, which further lends support to the buck and exerts some pressure on the non-yielding Gold price.

The USD bulls, however, seem hesitant and keenly await the release of FOMC Minutes, due later in the North American session, for more cues about the Fed's policy path. This, along with further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis, could provide some impetus to the precious metal. Nevertheless, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of the USD bulls and suggests that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the downside. Hence, any recovery attempt is more likely to get sold into and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.

Russian President Vladimir Putin met with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a two-day state visit to Beijing on May 19–20, 2026.

Hosted at the Great Hall of the People, the talks occurred just days after US President Donald Trump visited China.Key details and outcomes of the summit include:

Strategic Alignment: The leaders celebrated the 25th anniversary of the 2001 Sino-Russian Treaty of Friendship. The talks focused heavily on deepening geopolitical cooperation and expanding trade amid shifting US relations.

Energy Negotiations: A primary focus of the meetings was on Moscow's push to finalize long-term gas supply agreements, specifically the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline.

Symbolic Optics: The highly choreographed summit featured an honor guard, military band, and a one-on-one session over tea, with Putin greeting his counterpart using a poetic Chinese idiom to express his eagerness for the reunion.

18/05/2026

16/05/2026

The Trump-Xi summit was supposed to calm oil markets. Instead, it may have convinced traders that the global energy system is adapting to a prolonged Hormuz disruption rather than preparing for its resolution.

Brent crude surged toward $110 today after traders reassessed the implications of comments made by US President Donald Trump following his two-day meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing. Rather than signaling coordinated pressure on Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Trump emphasized plans for significantly expanded Chinese purchases of American oil exports.

“They’ve agreed they want to buy oil from the United States,” Trump said in an interview with Fox News. “We’re going to start sending Chinese ships to Texas and to Louisiana and to Alaska.”

That message appears to have fundamentally altered market psychology.

Before the summit, many investors had hoped Beijing would use its leverage as the largest buyer of Iranian oil to pressure Tehran into ending shipping disruptions and reducing tensions in the Gulf. A credible Hormuz reopening would likely have triggered a sharp collapse in crude prices by removing much of the war premium embedded in energy markets.

But instead of hearing a pathway toward reopening the Strait, markets increasingly heard something very different: a rerouting of global supply chains around a continuing disruption.

That distinction matters enormously.

If China increasingly replaces Iranian barrels with American energy supplies, Beijing may have less strategic incentive to defend Iranian export infrastructure or oppose more aggressive US actions against Tehran. Some traders interpret the summit outcome as raising — not lowering — the probability of future military escalation.

As a result, oil markets are beginning to shift toward pricing a more structural fragmentation of global energy trade flows. The summit did not solve the war. It may simply have reorganized the winners and losers. That helps explain why oil prices are accelerating higher rather than retreating despite two days of high-level diplomacy.

Technically, as Brent crude's rise from 96.03 resumed through 108.45 resistance today, the key focus is on 61.8% projection of 96.03 to 108.45 from 103.88 at 111.56. Firm break there could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 116.30.

Send a message to learn more

13/05/2026

GOLD MARKETS
MAY 13 2026
RANGE (USD 4725 - 4650)

The recent retreat in Gold has been led by a resurgent haven demand for the US Dollar (USD) alongside higher US Treasury bond yields amid hot inflation-led growing Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike bets.

The Greenback consolidates its upswing, underpinned by hotter-than-expected US consumer inflation data, while capitalizing on fading hopes for a US-Iran peace deal.

“The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.8% in the 12 months through April, the biggest year-on-year increase since May 2023, as the oil shock triggered by the war with Iran pushed prices higher,” per Reuters.

Gold has also received a blow from one of its world’s biggest importers, India. Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens on Sunday to avoid buying Gold for a year to help protect foreign exchange ​reserves.

Furthermore, the government announced on Wednesday that it raised import tariffs on gold and silver to 15% from 6% to ease the pressure on the country’s foreign exchange reserves.

Additionally, Gold traders prefer to switch to the sidelines ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting, scheduled for later this week, especially after US President Donald Trump stated that trade will be the priority in the Summit with Xi, not Iran.

On the economic calendar front, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data could also offer some trading incentives later in the North American session.

PLEASE RANGE TRADE (USD 4725 - 4650 = USD75)

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA

11/05/2026

GOLD MARKETS
May 11 2026

The optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal and the de-escalation of conflict faded quickly amid renewed hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz. Adding to this, US President Donald Trump and Iran both rejected each other’s peace proposals for ending the war and the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz amid major disagreements over Iran's nuclear program. In fact, the Wall Street Journal reported that Iran has rejected US demands to dismantle its nuclear facilities and suspend uranium enrichment for 20 years. Trump quickly lashed out at the Iranian response, calling it "totally unacceptable." This keeps geopolitical risks in play and regains some positive traction on Monday, which, in turn, is seen exerting some pressure on the Gold price.

US inflation figures – the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. Apart from this, investors this week will confront the release of US monthly Retail Sales, which, along with speeches from influential FOMC members, will drive the USD and provide some impetus to the Gold price. Meanwhile, the lack of follow-through selling warrants caution before confirming that the recent rebound from the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-month low touched last week, has run out of steam.

I am still BULLISH on GOLD and thus its BUY on ALL DIPS ok.
Bottom should be contained to $4500 and upside $4800. Trade this bandwith ok. But preferably buy on dips ok.

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA

11/05/2026

SILVER MARKETS UPDATE
MAY 11 2026

Silver bulls are quietly winning an important battle — even if prices are not exploding higher yet. Under normal market conditions, Silver should have suffered a much deeper pullback by now. Dollar has rebounded broadly after US-Iran peace talks stalled over the weekend. Oil prices have surged back above 105, reviving inflation fears and reducing expectations that global central banks can quickly pivot dovish again. Yet Silver is still holding firmly above the $80 level.

That resilience matters. The rally from 70.83 is clearly beginning to lose momentum, and the easy part of the move may already be behind the market. But what stands out is that sellers still cannot force a meaningful breakdown despite a macro backdrop that has temporarily turned less supportive for precious metals. Instead of collapsing, Silver is consolidating strength.

Part of the explanation is that investors still see a powerful longer-term structural story underneath the market. Geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated. Inflation risks tied to energy markets have not disappeared. Industrial demand linked to electrification, solar infrastructure, and AI-related expansion continues supporting the broader outlook for Silver consumption. That combination is keeping underlying bullish pressure alive even while short-term momentum fades.

The next major move, however, likely needs a fresh catalyst. One of the most bullish developments for Silver could eventually be peace in the Middle East. A genuine US-Iran breakthrough would likely pull oil prices sharply lower, soften inflation fears, reduce pressure on global central banks to stay hawkish, and weaken Dollar in the process. That macro chain reaction could become exactly the type of environment needed to reignite Silver’s rally.

Alternatively, the market could get a more Silver-specific shock. Supply disruptions, tighter physical inventories, or another acceleration in industrial demand could quickly push prices higher again. Unlike Gold, Silver sits at the intersection of both monetary and industrial demand, making it particularly sensitive to sudden supply-demand imbalances.

Technically, Silver could be approaching an extremely important test. Another temporary dip below 80 cannot be ruled out, especially if Dollar strength extends a little further. But unless 76.95 resistance turned support gives way decisively, such weakness may ultimately prove more of a stop-clearing move than a genuine bearish reversal.

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA

06/05/2026

GOLD DAILY
MAY 06 2026

Gold’s rebound is suddenly turning into something much bigger. After defending the 4,500 psychological level earlier this week, the metal has surged sharply as markets aggressively sell Dollar on signs that the US and Iran may be moving toward a formal agreement to end the war.

The first catalyst came when President Donald Trump abruptly paused “Project Freedom,” signaling that Washington was prioritizing diplomacy over military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz. Momentum then accelerated dramatically after reports that the US and Iran are now close to a peace memorandum framework.

Trump added in a post on Truth Social that great progress has been made toward a complete and final agreement with representatives of Iran. This follows earlier comments from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth that the US was not seeking to re-escalate tensions with Iran, and that the US-Iran ceasefire holds for now. Furthermore, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced that the US-led ‘Operation Epic Fury’ launched against Iran, jointly with Israel, on 28 February, is over.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the XAU/USD pair has bottomed out near the $4,500 mark and positioning for further gains. Traders now look to the US ADP report on private-sector employment, due later during the early North American session. Moreover, speeches from influential FOMC members and geopolitical developments will drive the USD demand. The focus, however, will remain glued to the closely-watched US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which will play a key role in determining the near-term trajectory for the buck and the Gold price.

Technically, the decisive break above 4,660 resistance suggests that the pullback from 4,889 has already completed at 4,500. The rebound is now expected to extend toward a retest of 4,889 soon. Obstacles on the upside are only 4722; 4776; 4810; 4855 and then 4889.

Working 24hours a day 5days a week 💪🏻💪🏻👏🏻👏🏻
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 SAM KIMA