08/02/2023
launched a new version of Bing ( 's ) and (Microsoft's ) on 07-Feb and share price reacted positively and rose 4.2%.
The new Bing brings conversational experience to users. Bing’s is more updated and can handle queries related to recent news, whereas ’s ChatGPT bot was trained on data up to 2021 only.
While the market is excited on the share price, option market is more calm. Option block trade on 07-Feb implied that:
MSFT will trade in a range of US$229.03 to US$335.76 on 19-Jan-2024, implying down 14.40% to up 25.49% (US$10.21 mn, net received: US$8.19 mn)
MSFT will be supported at US$217.82 on 17-Jan-2025, implying down at most 18.59% (US$4.44 mn, net received: US$4.44 mn) [short put]
Also, Microsoft's implied price trend shows stable price trend in the foreseeable future.
Investors should price in multiple scenarios of the potential value of ChatGPT to Microsoft and be mindful of potential pullback of the rally.
Invbots Option link (MSFT): https://lnkd.in/gbWbA9SU