15/06/2026
The US and Iran have agreed on a framework peace agreement, announced late on Sunday and due to be signed later this week. The memorandum of understanding, which sent markets soaring on Monday morning, should see the immediate toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices fell nearly 4% in early Asian trading, while equity markets jumped.
While the ceasefire news has cheered investors, some uncertainty remains. In some ways, it marks a new phase of negotiations, as the deal now gives the two sides time to haggle on the ‘finer’ points of the deal (including around Iran’s nuclear stockpile). There are also questions about the damage already done to regional infrastructure.
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