19/03/2026
The conflict in the Middle East has pushed oil prices to $106 a barrel this week, up more than 40% this month alone, and currency markets are moving with it.
The dollar has strengthened as safe haven demand increases and energy revenues continue to support USD assets. The euro and sterling are under real pressure. Europe and the UK are both heavily dependent on energy imports, meaning higher oil prices drive up costs across both economies, add inflationary pressure, and push rate cuts further out. EUR/USD has fallen to seven month lows as a result, and sterling has come under similar strain.
For businesses with payments or receivables in EUR or GBP, these moves are directly affecting what international transfers cost. Speak to your Orbis Account Manager about how the current environment is affecting your exposure and what can be done to protect it.