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18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Monitoring recent lows.
• Crude oil weakens again. Hourly support can
be found at 34.53 (14/12/2015 low). The mediumterm
technical structure is clearly negative in a
context of oil oversupply. Expected to show
continued weakness.
• In the long-term, crude oil has not shown signs
of recovery. Strong support lies at 37.75
(24/08/2015) has been broken and 32.40
(18/08/2015 low) is now on target. Nonetheless,
crude oil is holding way below its 200-Day
Moving Average (setting up at 50). An very
unlikely break of the resistance at 60.72
(05/07/2015) would confirm an underlying
uptrend.

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Consolidating.
• Silver is back below 14.00. The metal keeps on
pushing lower. Strong support lies at 13.51
(19/08/2009 low). Hourly resistance can be found
at 15.45 (declining channel) seems way too far.
Yet, the overall technical structure suggests to
see back further weakness toward hourly support
at 13.51.
• In the long-term, the break of the major
support area between 18.64 (30/05/2014 low)
and 18.22 (28/06/2013 low) confirms an
underlying downtrend. Strong support can be
found at 11.75 (20/04/2009). A key resistance
stands at 18.89 (16/09/2014 high).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Back to key support.
• Gold's downside momentum keeps going.
Strong support area is given by the hourly
support at 1046 (03/12/2015 low) and by key
support at 1044 (05/02/2015 low). Hourly
resistance is given at 1110 (06/11/2015 high).
Expected to show further weakness.
• In the long-term, the underlying downtrend
(see declining channel) continues to favour a
bearish bias. A break of the resistance at 1223 is
needed to suggest something more than a
temporary rebound. A major support can be
found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Ready to bounce.
• EUR/GBP is trading sideways but remains in an
upside channel. Hourly resistance lies at 0.7373
(21/10/2015 high) and hourly support is given at
0.7164 (07/12/2015 low). The technical structure
suggests that an upside momentum may be
gaining some traction. Expected to show further
increase.
• In the long-term, prices are in an underlying
declining trend. The general oversold conditions
suggest a limited medium-term downside
potential. A key resistance lies at 0.7592
(03/02/2015 high).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Sharply declining.
• EUR/JPY is now pushing strongly lower. Hourly
resistance lies at 134.60 (04/12/2015 high).
Stronger resistance is located at 137.45
(17/09/2015 high). Hourly support lies at 129.67
(27/11/2015 low). The technical structure still
suggests a downside momentum. Expected to
show further decline.
• In the longer term, the break of the support at
130.15 validates a medium-term succession of
lower highs and lower lows. As a result, the
resistance at 149.78 (08/12/2014 high) has likely
marked the end of the rise that started in July
2012. Key supports stand at 124.97 (13/06/2013
low) and 118.73 (25/02/2013 low). A key
resistance can be found at 141.06 (04/06/2015
high).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Weakening.
• EUR/CHF is trading lower but remains between
hourly support at 1.0733 (28/08/2015 low) and
hourly resistance at 1.0956 (29/09/2015 high).
Expected to show further weakness on the shortterm
toward 1.0733.
• In the longer term, the technical structure
remains negative as long as prices remain below
the resistance at 1.1002 (02/09/2011 low). The
ECB's QE programme is likely to cause
persistent selling pressures on the euro, which
should weigh on EUR/CHF. Supports can be
found at 1.0184 (28/01/2015 low) and 1.0082
(27/01/2015 low).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Bearish breakout.
• AUD/USD is weakening. The pair has broken
the lower bound of the symmetrical triangle
which suggested a downside channel. Hourly
support can be found at 0.7017 (08/11/2015 low)
and hourly resistance at 0.7385 (12/04/2015
high). Expected to show further weakening.
• In the long-term, we are waiting for further
signs that the current downtrend is ending. Key
supports stand at 0.6009 (31/10/2008 low) . A
break of the key resistance at 0.8295 (15/01/2015
high) is needed to invalidate our long-term
bearish view. In addition, we still note that the
pair remains well below the 200-dma which
confirms selling pressures.

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Bearish consolidation.
• USD/CAD has set again a new 11-year high at
1.3987 before consolidating. Significant support
stands at 1.3225 (12/11/2015 low). Expected to
show continued bullish momentum as uptrend is
still in play.
• In the longer term, the break of the key
resistance at 1.3065 (13/03/2009 high) has
indicated increasing buying pressures, which
favours further medium-term strengthening.
Strong resistance is given at 1.4002 (18/05/2004).
Support can be found at 1.2832 (15/10/2015 low)
then 1.1731 (06/01/2015 low).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Holding below parity.
• USD/CHF is rising toward hourly resistance at
1.0034 (04/12/2015 high). Hourly support can be
found at 0.9786 (14/12/2015 low). Yet, the shortterm
technical structure shows an upside move.
Expected to show further consolidation.
• In the long-term, the pair has broken resistance
at 0.9448 and key resistance at 0.9957
suggesting further uptrend. Key support can be
found 0.8986 (30/01/2015 low). As long as these
levels hold, a long term bullish bias is favoured.

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Weakening.
• USD/JPY has moved strongly up and down
after BoJ meeting. Hourly support can be found
at 120.07 (28/10/2015 low). Hourly resistance lies
at 123.76(18/11/2015 high) has been broken.
Expected to further consolidate.
• A long-term bullish bias is favored as long as
the strong support at 115.57 (16/12/2014 low)
holds. A gradual rise towards the major
resistance at 135.15 (01/02/2002 high) is favored.
A key support can be found at 116.18
(24/08/2015 low).

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
Riding downtrend channel.
• GBP/USD's medium-term downside
momentum remains lively. The pair is riding the
downtrend channel. Hourly resistance is given at
1.5242 (13/12/2015 high). Stronger resistance can
be found at 1.5336 (19/11/2015 high). Hourly
support at 1.4985 (02/12/2015 low) has been
broken. Expected to further bounce back.
• The long-term technical pattern is negative
and favours a further decline towards the key
support at 1.5089 , as long as prices remain
below the resistance at 1.5340/64 (04/11/2015
low see also the 200 day moving average).
However, the general oversold conditions and
the recent pick-up in buying interest pave the
way for a rebound.

18/12/2015

Daily Technical Report (18 Dec 2015) :
-------------------------------------------------
(Still) trading in range.
• EUR/USD has bounced back from hourly
support at 1.0796 (07/12/2015 low). Stronger
support lies at 1.0524 (03/12/2015 low). Expected
to target resistance at 1.1096.
• In the longer term, the technical structure
favours a bearish bias as long as resistance
holds. Key resistance is located region at 1.1453
(range high) and 1.1640 (11/11/2005 low) is likely
to cap any price appreciation. The current
technical deteriorations favours a gradual
decline towards the support at 1.0504
(21/03/2003 low).

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