Koxinga Investments Fixed Income

10/12/2021

10th December 2021 : US Inflation Markets pricing in the highest CPI (inflation) of 6.8% since 1982 (~40yrs), with print coming in UTC 1330pm. Rate hikes in US rates priced-in half of nx year 2022.

This is on sustained high inflation over the past 6 months; and the term 'transitionary' had been retired from Fed speech in the last hearing.

28/10/2021

https://koxingamoolah.blogspot.com/2021/10/were-not-selling-same-old-story-anymore.html

25/10/2021

https://koxingamoolah.blogspot.com/2021/10/theres-only-one-story-inflation-25th.html

2nd post on thoughts of MooLah... intellectual/insightful comments welcome!!!

last post was about the (insane) spike in Natural Gas (and petrol prices);... since then, seems like the long CALL-OPTION was quite a good...

20/10/2021

https://koxingamoolah.blogspot.com/2021/10/yeah-who-needs-heating-anyway-20th-oct.html

Setting up blog outside of facebook, as pages no longer allows (long) articles.

So, I've noticed the past few weeks the petrol prices have gone *** insane ***. And so has the heating bill. Check-out the price of (Europ...

03/10/2021

https://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/xis-changing-plan

Six months ago, few Americans had heard of Evergrande. Now many worry this Chinese property developer’s downfall will start an economically devastating chain reaction.

13/08/2021

Is the Fed about to make a Policy Error?

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/feds-bostic-says-he-favors-balanced-fast-approach-tapering-2021-08-09/

Understandably, with recent Inflation print surging to all-time highs (latest few prints show between 9% to almost 20% year-on-year depending on the metric), markets are betting on earlier tapering (and then rate hikes).

Interestingly, (rates) option traders are betting on a tail-event, which follows the previous taper-tantrum narrative.

Namely, there are huge Call-Options on Mar-2025 Fed -rates at 0.5% (compared to current market-pricing of 1.46%); with the concentrated expiry of March 2022.

Word-on-the-street bet on this option is : Fed tries to taper due to Inflation concerns, but (equity) market crashes and the Fed is then forced to walk-back on tapering... which by default, then collapses any chance of future rate hikes.

14/12/2020

An executive order by the U.S. President led to indices providers taking pre-emptive actions and we saw heavy selling pressure on certain Chinese stocks ahead of complications.

JD Health surged on its public debut but shareholders of JD.com weren't pleased. I argue this is a buying opportunity for JD.com and I ate my own cooking.

While the valuation of JD Health has multiplied several times in a year, there appears to be much more room to grow and I initiated a position.

The jump in Baidu's share price sent it to the resistance level of its multi-month uptrend channel.

Fundamentally and operationally, there are recent developments to like. Short-term wise, there could be some pullback but longer-term, the uptrend seems intact.

Shareholders with a longer-term view should rejoice at the opportunity to grab more shares of JD.com at a deepening sum-of-the-parts discount.

02/08/2020

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