18/06/2026
𝗙𝗼𝗿𝘁𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝗳𝗮𝘃𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗱.
🔵 𝗙𝗢𝗥𝗘𝗫 𝗢𝗨𝗧𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗞 – 𝗧𝗵𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝟭𝟴 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 (𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲/𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗼𝗻)
𝗜. 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧 𝗠𝗢𝗢𝗗 (𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗲𝗱)
𝗔𝗦𝗜𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡
Flows will remain cautious and position‑driven ahead of European and US data. 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗔𝗥 is likely to hold a firm base above 12,670, supported by Powell’s balanced tone. 𝗝𝗣𝗬𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗸𝗲𝘁 will stay capped by yield differentials, though official warnings near key levels will limit sharp declines. 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗 should trade between 4,320–4,365; safe‑haven demand will offset upward pressure on real yields. 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬 will coil around 160.00; a break above 160.50 will trigger heightened intervention risk. Majors will range: 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗 1.1560–1.1610, 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗨𝗦𝗗 1.3370–1.3420, 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗨𝗦𝗗 0.7040–0.7080.
𝗟𝗢𝗡𝗗𝗢𝗡 / 𝗘𝗨𝗥𝗢𝗣𝗘 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡
Volatility will rise on UK retail sales and final Eurozone inflation. 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗 will test 1.1620 if data beats, or fall toward 1.1550 if soft; ECB on hold removes directional momentum. 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗨𝗦𝗗 will react sharply to retail prints; a strong reading will lift toward 1.3450, while a miss will push it back below 1.3350. 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬 will stay sensitive to yield moves; verbal warnings will increase if it approaches 160.50. 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗 will look for a catalyst above 4,370; geopolitical hedging will remain a supporting factor. Crosses will follow legs: 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗝𝗣𝗬 214.30–215.50, 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗝𝗣𝗬 185.40–186.30.
𝗨𝗦 / 𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗗𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡
Focus will shift to housing starts, building permits, and flash PMIs. 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗔𝗥 will attempt to recover toward 12,720 if data firm, or slip to 12,650 if weak. 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬 will settle within intervention‑aware ranges. 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗 will consolidate into the close; yields will cap gains unless risk aversion spikes. 𝗨𝗞𝟭𝟬𝟬 will trade 7,520–7,590, driven by global rates and earnings expectations.
𝗘𝗫𝗣𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗘𝗗 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦:
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗔𝗥: Neutral‑Bullish – Yield advantage intact; policy clarity limited
• 𝗝𝗣𝗬𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗸𝗲𝘁: Neutral‑Bearish – Divergence remains; rhetoric only slows pace
• 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Neutral‑Bullish – Hedge demand vs. yields in balance
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Bullish – Upward structure; 160.50+ raises official response risk
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Neutral – Range‑bound; no new ECB signal
• 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Neutral – Data‑driven; direction follows USD
• 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Bullish – Correlated to USD/JPY; GBP resilient
• 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Neutral – Commodity support vs. USD strength offset
• 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Neutral‑Bullish – JPY weakness dominant driver
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Neutral – Sideways; limited impulse
• 𝗨𝗞𝟭𝟬𝟬: Neutral – Range‑bound; rates vs. earnings tug‑of‑war
𝗞𝗘𝗬 𝗙𝗢𝗖𝗨𝗦:
• UK retail sales reaction and GBP follow‑through
• US housing data and flash PMIs
• M*F/BoJ remarks near 160.50
• Geopolitical headlines in Middle East/Asia
• Real‑yield moves ahead of next week’s inflation prints
𝗜𝗜. 𝗞𝗘𝗬 𝗙𝗨𝗡𝗗𝗔𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧𝗔𝗟𝗦 – 𝗧𝗵𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝟭𝟴 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 (𝗕𝗦𝗧)
Impact Rating: 🔴 = High Impact • 🟠 = Medium Impact • 🟡 = Low Impact | Forecast / Previous — sourced Forex Factory
𝗔𝗦𝗜𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡 — 𝟬𝟬:𝟬𝟬 – 𝟬𝟳:𝟬𝟬 𝗕𝗦𝗧
• 01:30 🟡 𝗔𝗨𝗗 – RBA Assist Governor Speech: Will offer policy guidance / — / —
• 04:00 🟡 𝗝𝗣𝗬 – BoJ Board Member Speech: Will reinforce gradualism / — / —
• 06:00 🟡 𝗖𝗡𝗬 – House Price Index: +0.2% m/m / +0.1% – Modest support for risk tone
𝗟𝗢𝗡𝗗𝗢𝗡 / 𝗘𝗨𝗥𝗢𝗣𝗘 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡 — 𝟬𝟳:𝟬𝟬 – 𝟭𝟮:𝟬𝟬 𝗕𝗦𝗧
• 07:00 🔴 𝗚𝗕𝗣 – Retail Sales (MoM): +0.3% / -0.4% – Will set early GBP direction
• 09:00 🟠 𝗘𝗨𝗥 – Final CPI (YoY): +2.1% / +2.1% – Confirmation only, low surprise risk
• 10:30 🟡 𝗚𝗕𝗣 – BoE Credit Survey Follow‑up: No policy shift expected
𝗨𝗦 / 𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗔𝗗𝗔 𝗦𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡 — 𝟭𝟮:𝟬𝟬 – 𝟮𝟮:𝟬𝟬 𝗕𝗦𝗧
• 13:30 🟠 𝗨𝗦𝗗 – Building Permits: 1.42M / 1.41M – Expected mild improvement
• 13:30 🟠 𝗨𝗦𝗗 – Housing Starts: 1.38M / 1.36M – Will shape USD sentiment
• 14:45 🔴 𝗨𝗦𝗗 – Flash Services & Manufacturing PMIs: 52.2 / 52.4 – Will set risk tone
• 19:00 🟠 𝗨𝗦𝗗 – Fed Governor Waller Speech: Likely balanced, no new timeline
𝗘𝗫𝗣𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗘𝗗 𝗜𝗠𝗣𝗔𝗖𝗧:
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗔𝗥: Will remain supported if PMIs hold; housing data may soften momentum
• 𝗝𝗣𝗬𝗕𝗮𝘀𝗸𝗲𝘁: Will stay on the defensive unless intervention language sharpens
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Will react only to large misses/beats; range likely to persist
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Will extend higher if yields rise; capped by official warnings
• 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Will rise if PMIs disappoint; fall if activity prints firm
• 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Will swing on retail sales; strong print tests 1.3480, weak below 1.3340
• 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Will follow GBP/USD and USD/JPY combined moves
• 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗨𝗦𝗗: Will hold near term; China property data limits downside
• 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Will drift higher as JPY weakens further
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗝𝗣𝗬: Will trade sideways; no major catalyst
• 𝗨𝗞𝟭𝟬𝟬: Will react to rates and retail; range bound without fresh news
𝗜𝗜𝗜. 𝗖𝗢𝗥𝗥𝗘𝗟𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 𝗖𝗛𝗘𝗖𝗞
Bias Rating: 🟢 = Aligned Bullish • 🔴 = Aligned Bearish • 🟡 = Mixed / Sideways
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: 🟢 Bullish – Yield spread + trend remain aligned
• 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗝𝗣𝗬: 🟢 Bullish – Strong positive correlation to USD/JPY
• 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬: 🟢 Bullish – Same JPY weakness as key driver
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗝𝗣𝗬: 🟡 Mixed – ECB neutrality vs. USD strength
• 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗: 🟡 Mixed – Inverse yield vs. safe‑haven demand
• 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗: 🟡 Mixed – No fresh divergence signal
• 𝗨𝗦𝗗𝗢𝗟𝗟𝗔𝗥 / 𝗗𝗫𝗬: 🟡 Mixed – Data‑dependent, no clear breakout
• 𝗨𝗞𝟭𝟬𝟬: 🟡 Mixed – Rates headwind vs. earnings support
𝗜𝗩. 𝗧𝗘𝗖𝗛𝗡𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗟 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦 & 𝗟𝗘𝗩𝗘𝗟𝗦
(Derived from H4 / M15 structure)
🟢 𝗨𝗦𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵
• Resistance: 160.50, 161.20
• Support: 159.50, 158.80
🟢 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗝𝗣𝗬 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵
• Resistance: 215.50, 216.20
• Support: 214.20, 213.50
🟡🟢 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗝𝗣𝗬 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹‑𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵
• Resistance: 113.70, 114.30
• Support: 112.70, 112.00
🟡🟢 𝗫𝗔𝗨/𝗨𝗦𝗗 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹‑𝗕𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵
• Resistance: 4,370, 4,400
• Support: 4,310, 4,270
🟡 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗨𝗦𝗗 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹
• Resistance: 1.1630, 1.1680
• Support: 1.1560, 1.1510
🟡 𝗚𝗕𝗣/𝗨𝗦𝗗 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹
• Resistance: 1.3440, 1.3500
• Support: 1.3360, 1.3300
🟡 𝗔𝗨𝗗/𝗨𝗦𝗗 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹
• Resistance: 0.7090, 0.7140
• Support: 0.7030, 0.6980
🟡 𝗘𝗨𝗥/𝗝𝗣𝗬 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹
• Resistance: 186.50, 187.10
• Support: 185.20, 184.50
🟡 𝗨𝗞𝟭𝟬𝟬 – 𝗕𝗜𝗔𝗦: 𝗡𝗲𝘂𝘁𝗿𝗮𝗹
• Resistance: 7,600, 7,650
• Support: 7,510, 7,460
𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠𝗘𝗥
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