20/07/2026
Let’s look forward to some of the biggest stories unfolding this week.
1. Tesla heads into Q2 earnings with momentum from a 25% y/y jump in deliveries, which can help sustain its revenue growth. Still, it continues to face stiff EV competition, while higher costs can drag on profits. The stock remains anchored on the AI and robotaxi narrative, which markets will scrutinise. Progress is being made with expansion into more regions and the start of Cybercab production, but it is slow and regulatory hurdles loom.
2. Both companies are expected to post strong results on the back of AI proliferation. Google sees a historic uplift in its data centre business thanks to massive investments, while Intel benefits from the physical AI buildout, which increases demand for its CPUs. However, stretched valuations and high expectations leave room for disappointment, while macro-geopolitical uncertainty and rising costs create headwinds. Markets will also be watching for Google’s capex target update, as hyperscaler spending drives the chip industry.
3. The ECB could opt for a hold after its June pivot to rate hikes, as oil prices and inflation have cooled recently. This gives policymakers breathing room to assess their next steps and stay on a cautious path that won’t endanger a frail economy. However, a fresh Middle East flare-up sustains inflationary risks that keep the ECB under pressure for tightening. Either way, the ECB is unlikely to commit to future moves or break from its data-dependent approach.
4. Inflation could cool as energy prices have come down following the US-Iran MoU. A soft print can help the Bank of England stay on hold as it weighs price pressures against growth risks. However, inflation remains well above target and any cooling may prove short-lived. Oil is rising again after fresh Middle East hostilities that are disrupting flows, keeping the door open to BoE rate hikes.
Investments can go down as well as up. All of your capital is at risk.