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Data Driven Stocks Two PhD degrees, extensive market knowledge, not only charting - but but also option flows, macro-economy, bonds and politics. I love posting political memes.

Europe’s emergency diesel reserve are in a bad stateRomania and Slovakia have less than a month of diesel in reserve. Hu...
10/10/2026

Europe’s emergency diesel reserve are in a bad state

Romania and Slovakia have less than a month of diesel in reserve. Hungary, Portugal and the Netherlands have drawn down a large share since fighting in the Gulf began in late February.

The EU as a whole still has about two months of cover, though still better than in 2022. If supply tightens this winter, the countries with the thinnest reserve have the least room to absorb it.

U.S. diesel is $6.20 a gallon in Monday’s EIA survey, down from a record $6.53 on Sep 21.That record sat 88% above Janua...
10/09/2026

U.S. diesel is $6.20 a gallon in Monday’s EIA survey, down from a record $6.53 on Sep 21.

That record sat 88% above January’s $3.48, the biggest rise inside one year in 32 years of EIA weekly data. The 2005 hurricanes and the 2022 Ukraine shock topped out at +61%.

Distillate stocks are 105 million barrels, the lowest for this time of year since weekly records began in 1982, 7 weeks running.

Today Trump said 23th time "U.S. has productive talks with Iran"
10/08/2026

Today Trump said 23th time "U.S. has productive talks with Iran"

Stock market of 2026
10/07/2026

Stock market of 2026

09/27/2026

Big Bac for $11.11 about to come soon. Fries sold separately, financing available by Klarna.

Diesel is at $6.53 a gallon, up 74% in a year. Every bun, pickle and paper bag rode a truck to get there.

Restaurant prices are already up 3.4% on the year. Our model has them near 4.8% by April if diesel cools the way the EIA expects. If diesel stays where it is, closer to 5.6% by summer 2027.

Cooking at home? Groceries peak somewhere between 4.4% and 6.5%.

The tip screen will still suggest 25%.

Kebab - an important part of world cuisine - is not produced in the countries most associated with it. The United States...
09/27/2026

Kebab - an important part of world cuisine - is not produced in the countries most associated with it. The United States, China, and Brazil are the world’s largest producers of kebab meat.

In the late 90s, chicken-based kebab meat overtook beef-based kebab meat, and the trend has continued since then.

Recently Brazil and Austrlia ramped up their kebab meat production. While Turkiye did the opposite - less kebab produced!

09/27/2026

Despite rising unemployment rates in Europe, labor-force participation remains strong. That does not mean more people are simply unemployed: more people are working and more people are looking for work.

Let's see if Bitcoin gets destroyed by the "FAKE BULL RALLY" or not. But "FAKE BULL RALLY" is really a strong resistance...
09/26/2026

Let's see if Bitcoin gets destroyed by the "FAKE BULL RALLY" or not. But "FAKE BULL RALLY" is really a strong resistance for Bitcoin

Poland's August CPI: diesel +31%, heating oil +51%, butter -25%, sugar -15%. Overall 3.4%, up from 2.5% in June.Pay rose...
09/25/2026

Poland's August CPI: diesel +31%, heating oil +51%, butter -25%, sugar -15%. Overall 3.4%, up from 2.5% in June.

Pay rose 5.6%, so real wages grew just 2.1%, level with April as the weakest since September 2023. In March 2024 it was 9.7%.

August also missed forecasts. Industrial output 4.3% vs 6.1-6.8% expected, wages 5.6% vs 6.4-6.6%, retail 3.8% vs 4.2%.

09/22/2026

Ever notice the S&P 500 drifting toward a big strike in the last hour with no news at all? A lot of the time that's charm.

Dealers who own same-day options hedge them with stock. As the clock runs, the hedge they need changes by itself. When price sits just below a heavy strike, their hedge shrinks, so they buy it back. When price is above the strike, the hedge grows, so they sell. Either way, price gets pulled toward the level, not through it.

In the morning the pull is weak. Into the close it gets much stronger, but it also narrows. If price is close to the level, it feels most of that pull in the final hour. If it's far away, it barely feels it at all.

It fails in three cases. Price is too far from the level. There's a pocket of positive charm in the way, which pushes price away instead (though if price goes through, it will push it up!).

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