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President Donald Trump's administration said on Friday Vietnam's actions to push down the value of its currency are "unr...
18/01/2021

President Donald Trump's administration said on Friday Vietnam's actions to push down the value of its currency are "unreasonable" and restrict U.S. commerce, but did not take immediate action to impose punitive tariffs.

Releasing the results of its so-called Section 301 investigation into Vietnam's currency practices, the U.S. Trade Representative's (USTR) office said it would continue to evaluate all available options to correct the situation. That process will pass to the administration of Democratic President-elect Joe Biden, who is due to take office on Wednesday.

The U.S. Treasury Department in December labeled Vietnam a "currency manipulator" due to its growing trade surplus with the United States, its large global current account surplus and heavy foreign exchange market intervention to hold down the value of its d**g currency.

Business groups and trade experts had feared this would lead to tariffs in the USTR investigation opened last October as a parting shot from the Republican Trump, who aggressively imposed tariffs during his four years in office.

The USTR said it consulted the Treasury Department on Vietnam's exchange-rate policies.

"Unfair acts, policies and practices that contribute to currency undervaluation harm U.S. workers and businesses, and need to be addressed," U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said in a statement. "I hope that the United States and Vietnam can find a path for addressing our concerns."

Vietnamese government said on Saturday it welcomed the decision of the USTR, describing it as "a positive result" of the efforts of the government and businesses from both Vietnam and the U.S.

"Vietnam will continue its efforts to open its market and enhance policy dialogues and strictly adhere to agreements between the two sides...to maintain a stable trade relation with a target for a balanced, sustainable and mutually-beneficial trade," the government said in a statement.

The Section 301 investigation - named after a provision in a U.S. trade law - was the same tool that Lighthizer used to launch a sweeping tariff war against China, which has left punitive U.S. tariffs on $370 billion worth of annual Chinese imports and prompted many companies to shift supply chains out of China. Vietnam has been a major beneficiary of investment from those companies seeking to avoid U.S. tariffs on China.

The USTR's decision to hold off on ordering tariffs against Vietnamese goods gives Biden's nominee as trade representative, Katherine Tai, some breathing room in deciding how to approach Vietnam.

A spokesman for Biden's transition team declined to comment on the USTR decision.

The Vietnamese government said its trade ministry and related agencies are willing to talk with the USTR to address the outstanding issues in the trade relations between the two countries to officially close the investigation.

The dollar was slightly up on Monday morning in Asia, holding onto gains seen at the end of the previous week, as invest...
18/01/2021

The dollar was slightly up on Monday morning in Asia, holding onto gains seen at the end of the previous week, as investors turned to the safe-haven asset amid disappointing U.S. economic data and the rising number of COVID-19 cases.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.05% to 90.800 by 10:46 AM ET (3:46 AM GMT), staying near a one-month high of 90.887 seen earlier in the session.

The euro, which saw a surge in 2020, has slipped more than 2% in 2021 and touched a six-week low over ever-increasing COVID-19 cases and an Italian political crisis that is casting doubts over the region’s economic recovery.

The USD/JPY pair inched down 0.10% to 103.77. The risk-adverse mood also supported the safe-haven yen against other majors.

The AUD/USD pair edged down 0.12% to 0.7692, a one-week low, and the NZD/USD pair edged down 0.13% to 0.7128, a three-week low.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.09% to 6.4858. Chinese industrial production grew 7.3% year-on-year in December, above the 6.9% in forecasts prepared by Investing.com, and the 7% growth seen in November, according to data released earlier in the day.

The data also showed that GDP rose 6.5% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, above the forecast 6.1% growth but below the 4.9% growth in the third quarter. The GDP also grew 2.6% quarter-on-quarter, this time below the forecast 3.2% and the 2.7% growth seen during the previous quarter.

The GBP/USD pair inched down 0.08% to 1.3575.

Meanwhile, investors are also digesting U.S. economic data released on Friday. The data showed that core retail sales contracted 1.4% month-on-month in December, larger than the 0.1% contraction in forecasts prepared by Investing.com and the 1.3% contraction recorded in November.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) grew 0.3% month-on-month in December, while retail sales contracted 0.7% month-on-month in December.

The dollar has been supported by the Democrat victories in the runoff Senate elections in the state of Georgia earlier in the month, which saw a surge in U.S. yields as Democrats gained control of the Congress and investors see fewer resections on a borrow-and-spend administration.

U.S. President-Elect Joe Biden and his administration are also due to be inaugurated in a heavily guarded ceremony on Wednesday. Alongside the risk that supporters of incumbent President Donald Trump will perpetrate further violence in the runup to the inauguration, investors are also beginning to question how much of the $1.9 trillion stimulus measures proposed by Biden during the previous week will make it through Congress.

Incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is also reportedly expected to rule out seeking a weaker dollar when she testifies on Capitol Hill on Tuesday.
The dollar was slightly up on Monday morning in Asia, holding onto gains seen at the end of the previous week, as investors turned to the safe-haven asset amid disappointing U.S. economic data and the rising number of COVID-19 cases.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.05% to 90.800 by 10:46 AM ET (3:46 AM GMT), staying near a one-month high of 90.887 seen earlier in the session.

The euro, which saw a surge in 2020, has slipped more than 2% in 2021 and touched a six-week low over ever-increasing COVID-19 cases and an Italian political crisis that is casting doubts over the region’s economic recovery.

The USD/JPY pair inched down 0.10% to 103.77. The risk-adverse mood also supported the safe-haven yen against other majors.

The AUD/USD pair edged down 0.12% to 0.7692, a one-week low, and the NZD/USD pair edged down 0.13% to 0.7128, a three-week low.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.09% to 6.4858. Chinese industrial production grew 7.3% year-on-year in December, above the 6.9% in forecasts prepared by Investing.com, and the 7% growth seen in November, according to data released earlier in the day.

The data also showed that GDP rose 6.5% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, above the forecast 6.1% growth but below the 4.9% growth in the third quarter. The GDP also grew 2.6% quarter-on-quarter, this time below the forecast 3.2% and the 2.7% growth seen during the previous quarter.

The GBP/USD pair inched down 0.08% to 1.3575.

Meanwhile, investors are also digesting U.S. economic data released on Friday. The data showed that core retail sales contracted 1.4% month-on-month in December, larger than the 0.1% contraction in forecasts prepared by Investing.com and the 1.3% contraction recorded in November.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) grew 0.3% month-on-month in December, while retail sales contracted 0.7% month-on-month in December.

The dollar has been supported by the Democrat victories in the runoff Senate elections in the state of Georgia earlier in the month, which saw a surge in U.S. yields as Democrats gained control of the Congress and investors see fewer resections on a borrow-and-spend administration.

U.S. President-Elect Joe Biden and his administration are also due to be inaugurated in a heavily guarded ceremony on Wednesday. Alongside the risk that supporters of incumbent President Donald Trump will perpetrate further violence in the runup to the inauguration, investors are also beginning to question how much of the $1.9 trillion stimulus measures proposed by Biden during the previous week will make it through Congress.

Incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is also reportedly expected to rule out seeking a weaker dollar when she testifies on Capitol Hill on Tuesday.

Some investors remained cautious, however.

“Optimism is being challenged as the reality of a tough few months is upon us,” ANZ analysts warned in a note to clients.

“The near-term outlook for consumption, the main driver of economic growth, is poor.”
Some investors remained cautious, however.

“Optimism is being challenged as the reality of a tough few months is upon us,” ANZ analysts warned in a note to clients.

“The near-term outlook for consumption, the main driver of economic growth, is poor.”

The dollar clung to gains on Monday and the Japanese yen edged higher as softening U.S. economic data and rising global ...
18/01/2021

The dollar clung to gains on Monday and the Japanese yen edged higher as softening U.S. economic data and rising global coronavirus cases kept investors cautious, while lockdowns and Italian political turmoil held the euro under pressure.

The euro dipped to a six-week low of $1.2066 in Asia and fell to a one-month low of 125.20 yen. The yen was last up about 0.2% at 103.70 per dollar and it also rose on the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars.

The Antipodeans were soft against the greenback and the Aussie touched a one-week trough of $0.7679, while the kiwi hit a three-week low of $0.7117. [AUD/]

Better-than-expected Chinese economic data headed off further selling, but was not enough to shift currency traders' mood.

The safety bid has added another layer of support for the dollar since the Democrats won control of U.S. Congress a fortnight ago, which triggered a surge in yields as investors priced in bigger stimulus from a borrow-and-spend Biden administration.

The mood soured after Friday data showed U.S. retail sales fell for a third straight month in December, stoking worries that the recovery is running into trouble as health authorities warned that the worst of the latest COVID-19 wave might be yet to come.

Europe is also facing surging cases and an Italian government that must survive crucial votes in parliament on Monday and Tuesday in order to cling to power.

The dollar index steadied after touching a one-month high and last traded at 90.827. Sterling on Monday sat near at a one-week low of $1.3567.

Nevertheless, many investors appear to be sticking in crowded dollar shorts, which hit an almost 10-year high last week, even though the bounce has carried the dollar index about 1.9% higher and pushed the euro more than 2% lower in two weeks.

"The market is in a bit of a wait and see mode debating about the dollar, in terms of whether higher U.S. yields could provide support or whether we see further decline," said Bank of Singapore currency analyst Moh Siong Sim.

"I think the balance of risks is still in favour of a reflationary environment, and therefore risk sentiment should stay positive and we should see a further dollar decline."

Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar slipped 0.2% after reports that Joe Biden plans to soon rescind permission for the Keystone XL pipeline, a project which would link oil sands in Alberta to refineries in Texas.

Later in the week, President-elect Biden is due to be inaugurated in a heavily-guarded Washington. Tensions are high after mob violence a few weeks ago.

Biden's pick for Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, is expected to rule out seeking a weaker dollar when testifying on Capital Hill on Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal reported.

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