10/29/2026
I think many homeowners need to hear this right now.
When you choose a variable-rate mortgage, the idea isn’t to panic and lock into a fixed rate the moment the Bank of Canada announces an increase. That defeats the purpose of the strategy.
Historically, variable rates have often come out ahead of fixed rates over a five-year term. That doesn’t mean they’ll always be cheaper, or that rates only move in one direction. There will be increases, decreases and periods where nothing changes. That’s part of being on a variable rate.
Of course, there are exceptions. COVID was a black swan event. Inflation took off, and the Bank of Canada had to raise rates aggressively to bring it under control.
But we’re not in the same situation today. One 0.25% increase doesn’t automatically mean we’re heading into another cycle of aggressive rate hikes.
Here’s what I really want people to understand.
For many borrowers, there is still a significant difference between their existing variable rate and what they would pay if they locked into a fixed rate today.
Depending on the rate you secured, you could see another increase or two and still be paying less interest than you would by switching to a fixed rate now.
And remember, locking in doesn’t necessarily mean you’re getting the same rate you have now, just without the fluctuations. You’re accepting the lender’s current fixed rate, and you need to consider the terms, conditions and potential penalties that come with it.
I'm not saying variable is always the right choice. There are definitely situations where a fixed rate makes more sense, especially if knowing exactly what your payments will be is important to you.
But don't making a decision about your mortgage based on one rate announcement.
When I recommend a variable rate, I’m not assuming rates will never increase. I take that possibility into account when looking at the options available to my clients.
It’s about looking at the bigger picture, not reacting to every headline.
If you’re thinking about locking into a fixed rate, let’s look at your actual numbers first. You might find that staying variable still makes more financial sense.