08/27/2026
π¦ RateStreet Rate Outlook β week of August 26
The Bank of Canada policy rate sits at 2.25%.
Going into the September 2 decision, our engine's call is a hold β hold 61% / cut 14% / hike 25% (medium confidence).
Our read: a hold at 2.25% β the data and market pricing don't yet justify a move.
The 5-year Government of Canada bond yield is at 3.26%, drifting up.
Renewing in the next year? The smart window to start shopping opens about 6 months out β and a broker compares dozens of lenders, not one.
We publish our call, the odds, and the data behind it before every decision: https://www.ratestreet.ca/rate-outlook?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=organic_social&utm_campaign=rate_outlook&utm_content=rate_outlook_weekly_2026-W35
Forecast and market commentary β not a rate offer or advice. RateStreet Financial Ltd.