10/23/2026
Is the Bank of Canada going to raise rates next week?
While the Big Banks have flipped back and forth, the consensus has shifted to a "yes." Naturally, I’m getting flooded with the same question: Is it time to lock in?
My answer remains a definitive no, and I stand by that strategy.
Here is why the math doesn't justify a panic move right now:
• Current Rates: Fixed rates are sitting in the mid-to-high 4% range, while variable rates are still below 4%. Switching to a fixed rate today would immediately cost you about $60 more per month per $100,000 of your mortgage balance.
• The Cost of a Hike: If the Bank of Canada does raise rates next week, it adds roughly $13 a month per $100,000 of balance.
• The Big Picture: Recent inflation data, unemployment numbers, and trade tariffs are driving this potential move. The central bank held off on hikes earlier this year when they had the chance, so a minor move now is no reason to panic.
If you want to look at how these numbers apply to your specific mortgage, I am more than happy to chat.
Have a great day and a wonderful weekend!
Mike Garganis
416-481-6444
[email protected]